After his breakout 2020, T.J. Hockenson should be drafted as a top-five tight end as early as Round 7. The truth is, we're hopeful 2020 was just the beginning of the breakout, as Hockenson has a huge target opportunity with Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones, and Danny Amendola all gone. Still, Hockenson hasn't been particularly efficient in his young career and he's facing a downgrade at quarterback, so it's best not to reach too high on the potential future star. Hockenson is closer in redraft value to the likes of Noah Fant and Logan Thomas than he is to Darren Waller and George Kittle.
Hockenson is "poised for even more" this season, according to Benjamin Raven of MLive.com. Despite having major ankle surgery at the end of his rookie season, Hockenson bounced back in Year 2 to start 16 games, handling a 73.2 percent snap share and 101 targets. The eighth overall pick from the 2019 Draft could now see even more work in his third NFL season, after the Lions traded QB Matthew Stafford for Jared Goff and then lost WRs Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones in free agency. Touchdowns may be hard to come by on a rebuilding team, but Hockenson is one of the few tight ends in the league who is considered the favorite to lead his team in targets. The volume alone should make him a fantasy asset, and there's plenty of upside if he takes another step forward while Goff turns in a competent season.
Hockenson caught three of three targets for 25 yards during Sunday's 37-35 loss to Minnesota. Hockenson's numbers are a little disappointing given the mouthwatering matchup, but he still tied for third on the team in targets on a day during which Marvin Jones stole the show with eight catches for 180 yards and two scores on 11 looks. Hockenson will now turn the page on a highly successful sophomore campaign that saw the 2019 first-round pick grab 67 receptions for 723 yards and six touchdowns in 15 games after recording 32 catches for 367 yards and two scores in 12 games as a rookie. While Hockenson has yet to flash the upside that makes Travis Kelce and George Kittle such valuable fantasy assets at the tight end position, the sky is the limit for the 23-year-old who will be going to his first Pro Bowl this winter.
Hockenson caught four of six targets for 23 yards in Saturday's 47-7 loss to the Buccaneers. Matthew Stafford hurt his ankle on Detroit's first drive, and the combination of Chase Daniel and David Blough guided the offense to zero points, leading to underwhelming performances from all of the team's skill position players. This was the fifth-lowest yardage total of Hockenson's breakout sophomore season, and the tight end has been held to fewer than 25 yards in consecutive games heading into next week's season finale against Minnesota.
Hockenson caught two of four targets for 18 yards and carried once for no yards with one fumble during Sunday's 46-25 loss to Tennessee. After seeing 20 total targets in his first two games with Darrell Bevell as interim head coach, Hockenson was keyed on by a Titans secondary that entered the game allowing the fourth-highest completion rate (76.8 percent) and eighth-most yards per target (8.3) to tight ends in 2020. D'Andre Swift's involvement near the goal line also played a role in Hockenson's disappointing turnout, and Hockenson also fumbled on an end-around on a critical third-and-one during a potential game-tying drive in the fourth quarter. While Hockenson seemingly has a solid chance to rebound in Week 16 against a Buccaneers team allowing a league-high 79.7 percent completion rate to tight ends, fantasy managers should keep in mind the possibility for Detroit, with nothing to play for at this point, to rest quarterback Matthew Stafford for the team's final two games of the regular season.
Hockenson caught six of 11 targets for 43 yards and one touchdown during Sunday's 31-24 loss to Green Bay. With Kenny Golladay (hip) still out and Detroit playing from behind most of the day, Hockenson was busy and saw a new season high in targets. The Packers didn't let him do much with those opportunities though, and Hockenson's touchdown came on a designed shovel pass from one yard out. While the potential absence of Matthew Stafford (ribs) in Week 15 is not good news for the young tight end, a downgrade in quarterback play isn't the end of the world for a top-shelf talent like Hockenson against a Titans defense that has given up the fourth-most yards per target to tight ends (8.1) in 2020.
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|1||09/12||San Francisco 49ers||1||4.50|
|2||09/20||@Green Bay Packers||5||5.78|
|7||10/24||@Los Angeles Rams||8||6.33|
|18||01/09||Green Bay Packers||5||5.78|
Red Zone Trends
|3 Year Avg||80||50||545||4||30||10.90||78|