The 2022 MLB playoffs continue on Friday and Game 3 of the NLDS between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Diego Padres is perhaps the most intriguing matchup of the day. The Dodgers won Game 1 by a final score of 5-3 and the Padres evened the series with a 5-3 win over their own in Game 2. Now an interesting pitching matchup has oddsmakers listing this game close to even with Tony Gonsolin (16-1, 2.14) taking the mound for the Dodgers while Blake Snell (8-10, 3.38) gets the ball for the Padres. So which side should you be backing in this crucial NLDS Game 3 matchup?
The first pitch is set for 8:37 p.m. ET from Petco Park. Los Angeles is listed at -120 on the money line (risk $120 to win $100) in the latest Padres vs. Dodgers odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 7.5. Before making any Dodgers vs. Padres picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it enters the divisional round on a 20-11 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning more than $600. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Dodgers vs. Padres, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Padres vs. Dodgers:
- Dodgers vs. Padres money line: Dodgers -120, Padres +100
- Dodgers vs. Padres run line: Dodgers -1.5 (+140)
- Dodgers vs. Padres over/under: 7.5 runs
- SD: The Padres returned +845 as underdogs this season
- LAD: The Dodgers were 19-5 in Gonsolin starts this season
- Dodgers vs. Padres picks: See picks here
Why you should back the Dodgers
Gonsolin has been one of the biggest surprises in baseball this season and the Dodgers will be hoping that he's fresh having pitched only two innings in the last seven weeks. Gonsolin dominated the Padres in both of his starts against them in 2022 and the Dodgers won those two games by a combined score of 13-2.
Meanwhile, Trea Turner has been an offensive catalyst for the Dodgers during the first two games of the series. Turner is 3-for-9 with a home run in each of the first two games of the series. Turner his .298 with 21 home runs, 100 RBI and 27 stolen bases during the season and he'll need to continue to stay hot for the favored Dodgers against their NL West rivals.
Why you should back the Padres
While Gonsolin was a poor matchup for San Diego during the regular season (one earned run allowed in 12 2/3 innings), he's only pitched one two-inning outing against the Rockies on Oct. 3 since suffering a right forearm strain in late-August. So expect the San Diego offense to look to jump on Gonsolin early and test the 28-year-old's stuff.
Manny Machado got the party started in Game 2 with a two-run home run off Clayton Kershaw that helped spark San Diego's victory. Machado is now 3-for-9 in the series and slashed .298/.366/.531 with 32 home runs, 102 RBI and nine stolen bases during the regular season. Machado now has five home runs against his former team this season.
How to make Dodgers vs. Padres picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 7.3 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all of the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Padres vs. Dodgers? And which side of the money line has all of the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.
