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The Utah Jazz will look to take advantage of a depleted Dallas Mavericks roster due to COVID-19 protocols when they meet in a Western Conference matchup that concludes the 2021 NBA Christmas Day schedule. The Mavericks (15-16), who are second in the Southwest Division, will be down at least five key players, including guard Luka Doncic, the team's leading scorer. The Jazz (22-9), who lead the Northwest Division, have won 10 of 12, including two in a row, and they come into this game at full strength. Utah has also had Dallas' number of late, winning 13 of the last 17 meetings.

The game from Vivint Arena in Salt Lake City, Utah, is scheduled for 10:30 p.m. ET. The Mavericks are averaging 104.4 points per game this season, while the Jazz average 115.8. Utah is a 13.5-point favorite in the latest Mavericks vs. Jazz odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 213.5. Before making any Jazz vs. Mavericks picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 46-23 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $1,900. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Mavs vs. Jazz, and just locked in its Christmas Day NBA picks. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Jazz vs. Mavs:

  • Mavericks vs. Jazz spread: Jazz -13.5 
  • Mavericks vs. Jazz over-under: 213.5 points 
  • Mavericks vs. Jazz money line: Mavericks +650, Jazz -1000
  • DAL: The Mavericks are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 road games 
  • UTA: The over is 3-0-1 in the Jazz's last four games following a straight-up win
Featured Game | Utah Jazz vs. Dallas Mavericks

Why the Jazz can cover

Center Rudy Gobert has been dominant this season and has registered 25 double-doubles, including in each of his last eight games. He scored 23 points and grabbed 21 rebounds in a 112-102 win over Charlotte on Monday and followed that up with a 20-point, 17-rebound game in a 128-116 victory over Minnesota on Thursday. He has started all 31 games for Utah and is averaging 15.5 points, 15.1 rebounds, 2.3 blocks and 1.1 assists per game. He is also hitting 71.4 percent of his field goals. He has also played well against the Mavericks. For his career, he is averaging 13.8 points and 11.5 rebounds in 25 games against Dallas.

Point guard Mike Conley is also having a solid season, averaging 13.9 points, 5.4 assists, 2.4 rebounds and 1.1 steals per game, giving Utah a solid secondary scorer in the backcourt to pair with Donovan Mitchell (25.1 ppg). In the win over the Timberwolves on Thursday, Conley was 7 of 10 from the floor, including 2 of 3 from 3-point range as he finished with 17 points, six assists and four rebounds. In nine games this month, he has scored in double figures eight times and has had at least five assists seven times. In 43 career games against the Mavericks, Conley has averaged 15.1 points, 4.6 assists and 2.8 rebounds per game.

Why the Mavericks can cover 

Despite the heavy losses to the roster due to COVID-19, Dallas has played well of late. The Mavericks battled the defending champion Milwaukee Bucks to the wire on Thursday before losing a 102-95 decision despite having a patch-work lineup, which was without All-NBA player in Doncic (COVID-19). The Mavericks have also been tough on the road, winning four of their past six games away from home and are 7-8 on the road in 2021-22.

If he's available, Kristaps Porzingis (questionable, toe) will be counted on heavily against the Jazz. In 22 games this season, he is second on the team in scoring at 19.4 points per game. He is also averaging 7.9 rebounds, two assists and 1.6 blocks. Porzingis has reached double figures in each of his last eight games he has played, and has scored 20 or more points in four games during that stretch. He has also registered four double-doubles, including a 23-point and 12-rebound effort in a 107-104 overtime loss to the Lakers on Dec. 15.

How to make Mavericks vs. Jazz picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 210 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Jazz vs. Mavs pick at SportsLine

So who wins Mavericks vs. Jazz? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Mavericks vs. Jazz spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up nearly $1,900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.