We've got another exciting Western Conference matchup on Friday's NBA schedule as the Dallas Mavericks will host the Golden State Warriors. Dallas is 46-30 overall and 23-15 at home, while Golden State is 42-34 overall and 23-15 on the road. The Mavs have won two of three meetings this season, but Golden State prevailed, 104-100, when they just met on Tuesday. Dallas is 44-32 against the spread in the 2023-24 NBA season, while Golden State is 41-33-2 versus the line.
Tip-off is at 8:30 p.m. ET at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. The Mavs are favored by 5 points in the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds, per SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 225.5 points. Before entering any Mavericks vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 23 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 81-55 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,300. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
The model has set its sights on Golden State vs. Dallas. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Mavs:
- Mavericks vs. Warriors spread: Mavericks -5
- Mavericks vs. Warriors over/under: 225.5 points
- Mavericks vs. Warriors money line: Mavericks: -202, Warriors: +167
- Mavericks vs. Warriors picks: See picks at SportsLine
What to know about the Mavericks
On Thursday, Dallas enjoyed a cozy 109-95 victory over the Atlanta Hawks for its eighth victory over its last nine games. However, the one defeat during that span came to the Warriors on Tuesday. In the win over the Hawks, Luka Doncic was his typical stat-stuffing self with 25 points, 12 rebounds and eight assists. Kyrie Irving led Dallas with 26 points, while PJ Washington added 19 points.
This nine-game stretch has thrust the Mavs into the No. 5 spot in the Western Conference standings, two games back of the Clippers for the coveted No. 4 seed, which hosts a first-round playoff series. The Mavs are on an astounding 12-2 ATS run over their last 14 games, and they're also 9-3 ATS on the second night of a back-to-back this season. Dereck Lively II (leg) is out for Dallas on Friday. See which team to pick here.
What to know about the Warriors
Meanwhile, the Warriors came tearing into Thursday's matchup with five straight wins (a stretch where they outscored their opponents by an average of 11 points), and they left with even more momentum. They put the hurt on the Houston Rockets with a sharp 133-110 win. Stephen Curry had 29 points with six assists and six rebounds, while Klay Thompson was another key contributor, going 7 for 11 from beyond the arc en route to 29 points.
While Dallas is 12-2 outright over its last 14 games, Golden State is 12-2 ATS over its last 14 games. The Warriors are now four games ahead of Houston for the final play-in spot, while Golden State is 1.5 games back of the Lakers for the No. 9 spot. The team has covered in five of its last six games, and the Warriors' 26-12 ATS road record is the best in the NBA. Jonathan Kuminga (knee) is not expected to play after missing the last five games. See which team to pick here.
How to make Mavericks vs. Warriors picks
The model has simulated Warriors vs. Mavericks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Mavs vs. Warriors, and which side of the spread hits almost 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Warriors vs. Mavs spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 81-55 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.
