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The Denver Nuggets travel to face the Golden State Warriors in a crucial Game 5 showdown on Wednesday night. Golden State won the first three matchups before Denver pulled off a 126-121 win in the last game. The Warriors were a great team at the Chase Center and went 31-10 in the regular season. 

Tip-off is at 10 p.m. ET. Golden State is favored by 8.5-points in the latest Nuggets vs. Warriors odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 225.5. Before locking in any Warriors vs. Nuggets picks, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Warriors, and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Warriors vs. Nuggets:

  • Nuggets vs. Warriors spread: Golden State -8.5
  • Nuggets vs. Warriors over-under: 225.5 points
  • Nuggets vs. Warriors money line: Denver +330, Golden State -430
  • DEN: The Nuggets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 road games
  • GS: The Warriors are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State has a lethal backcourt filled with sharpshooters. Guard Klay Thompson is a gifted and pure shooter from beyond the arc. Thompson is an elite 3-point marksman who can shoot right over defenders. The five-time All-Star is averaging 24.5 points and is shooting 50 percent from downtown. 

Guard Jordan Poole is another scoring option for the Warriors. Poole has a smooth offensive game with the ability to score at all three levels. The Michigan product has the strength to play through contact and finish at the rim. He is putting up 24.3 points, 5.8 assists, and 1.5 steals per game. In Game 3, Poole recorded 27 points, three rebounds, and three assists. 

Why the Nuggets can cover

Center Nikola Jokic is an all-around stud for the Nuggets. Jokic is leading the team in points (31.2), rebounds (11.8) and assists (5.2). The four-time All-Star can dominate on the glass with a variety of moves to get a bucket. Jokic recorded three double-doubles thus far and had a monster performance in his last game. In the Game 4 win, he posted 37 points, eight rebounds and six assists. 

Forward Aaron Gordon is physically gifted with the explosiveness to fly to the rim. Gordon constantly hustles and plays with high energy on defense. The Arizona product has a reliable jumper from the perimeter and can knock it down if given space. He is logging 13.5 points and seven rebounds per contest. He's scored 18-plus in back-to-back games, including 21 points, six rebounds and four assists in his last contest. 

How to make Nuggets vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 222 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the model's Warriors vs. Nuggets picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Nuggets vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.