TD Garden hosts a headline-grabbing NBA matchup on Thursday as the Golden State Warriors visit the Boston Celtics in a game between two titans. The Warriors are 22-22 overall this season, while the Celtics bring the NBA's best record at 33-12 overall, including a 17-5 mark at home. Jaylen Brown (adductor) is listed as questionable for the Celtics. Jonathan Kuminga (foot), Andre Iguodala (hip), JaMychal Green (leg), and James Wiseman (ankle) are out for the Warriors.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Boston as a 7-point home favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 240.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. Before you make any NBA predictions with the Celtics vs. Warriors match-up, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 45-20 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,200. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Celtics and just locked in its picks and NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Celtics vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Celtics spread: Celtics -7
- Warriors vs. Celtics over/under: 240.5 points
- Warriors vs. Celtics money line: Celtics -260, Warriors +210
- GSW: The Warriors are 5-16 against the spread in road games
- BOS: The Celtics are 13-9 against the spread in home games
- Warriors vs. Celtics picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Warriors can cover
The Warriors are keyed by Stephen Curry, who is coming off a 41-point game against the Washington Wizards on Monday. Curry leads the NBA in 3-pointers per game (4.9) and he is averaging 29.3 points, 6.4 rebounds, and 6.3 assists per game. He is the biggest reason Golden State leads the league in 3-pointers (16.3 per game), and the Warriors are No. 1 in the NBA in assists (29.3 per game) and assist percentage (68.9%).
The Warriors are firmly in the top 10 of the NBA in free throw accuracy, 2-point accuracy and 3-point accuracy, and Golden State generates almost 15 fast-break points per game. Boston is in the bottom five of the NBA in turnover creation (13.1 per game) on defense, and the Celtics are dead-last in the league with 6.4 steals per game. On defense, Golden State is also feisty, with the Warriors creating 14.9 turnovers per game and holding opponents to less than 47% shooting from the field.
Why the Celtics can cover
Boston is led by a true MVP candidate in Jayson Tatum. The talented forward exploded for 51 points in a win over the Charlotte Hornets on Monday, and Tatum is averaging 33.5 points per game in his last 16 outings. For the season, Tatum is No. 3 in the NBA in scoring with 31.1 PPG, and he adds 8.3 rebounds per game with strong defense. Tatum is the centerpiece of the NBA's best offense, with the Celtics scoring more than 1.17 points per possession.
Boston is a top-five team in assists, averaging 26.9 per game, and the Celtics commit only 13.3 turnovers per game. Golden State allows more free throw attempts (26.2 per game) than any team in the league on defense, and Boston is a top-eight team in 3-point shooting (37.1%) and 2-point shooting (57.5%). The Celtics round out their offense with the league's best free throw shooting, making 83.2% of attempts at the charity stripe.
How to make Celtics vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 243 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.
