The No. 3 seed Minnesota Timberwolves will try to put the finishing touches on an impressive first-round series when they face the No. 6 seed Phoenix Suns on Sunday night. Minnesota has won three straight games by double digits to get within one win of a sweep in the Western Conference series. The Timberwolves outscored the Suns by 16 points in the third quarter on Friday en route to a 126-109 win. Phoenix averaged 116.2 points per game during the regular season but averages less than 100 points in this series.

Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Phoenix is listed as a 1-point favorite in the latest Suns vs. Timberwolves odds from SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 213.5. Before making any Timberwolves vs. Suns picks or NBA predictions, be sure to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the second week of the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 90-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Suns vs. Timberwolves and just locked in its picks and Game 4 predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Timberwolves vs. Suns:

  • Suns vs. Timberwolves spread: Phoenix -1
  • Suns vs. Timberwolves over/under: 213.5 points
  • Suns vs. Timberwolves money line: Minnesota -107, Phoenix -113
  • MIN: The Timberwolves have covered the spread in six of their last eight road games
  • PHX: The Suns are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games against Minnesota
  • Suns vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Suns can cover

Phoenix still has a talented roster filled with superstars who can help turn this series around. Kevin Durant and Devin Booker both averaged 27.1 points per game during the regular season, while Bradley Beal added 18.2 points and 5.0 assists. Beal had 36 points in a win at Minnesota to close the regular season, and he added 28 points in Friday's Game 3 loss. 

Fourth-leading scorer Grayson Allen, who averages 13.5 points, 3.9 rebounds, and 3.0 assists, missed Game 3 due to an ankle injury. He had 20 points in the win at Minnesota in the regular-season finale and could return for Game 4. The Suns have covered the spread in six of their last seven home games against Minnesota, which had failed to cover in nine straight meetings between these teams prior to the start of this series. See which team to back at SportsLine

Why the Timberwolves can cover

Minnesota's best players have performed at a high level throughout the series, but its depth and balance have been the difference between these teams. The Timberwolves have seven players scoring in double figures through three games, paced by Anthony Edwards at 28 points per game. Center Rudy Gobert is dominating Phoenix in the paint, averaging a double-double with 17 points and 13 rebounds.

The Suns are relying heavily on Durant and Booker, who are both sitting well below their season average in points per game during this series. Even if Allen returns, Phoenix has not proven that it can match Minnesota's depth. The Suns have only covered the spread once in their last five games, while the Timberwolves have covered in six of their past eight road games. See which team to back at SportsLine

How to make Suns vs. Timberwolves picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 220 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time. You can see the picks only at SportsLine

So who wins Timberwolves vs. Suns, and which side of the spread hits over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Suns vs. Timberwolves spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 90-58 roll on top-rated NBA picks this season, and find out.