The Golden State Warriors will take on the Miami Heat at 10 p.m. ET Monday at Chase Center. The Warriors are 28-7 overall and 16-3 at home, while Miami is 23-14 overall and 11-10 on the road. Both teams are 7-3 over their last 10 games but only the Warriors won their most recent game.

Golden State is favored by 11 points in the latest Warriors vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 215. Before entering any Heat vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 12 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 50-27 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning almost $2,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Heat. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for Heat vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Heat spread: Warriors -11
  • Warriors vs. Heat over-under: 215 points
Featured Game | Golden State Warriors vs. Miami Heat

What you need to know about the Warriors

The Dubs netted a 123-116 win over the Utah Jazz this past Saturday. Golden State relied on the efforts of small forward Otto Porter Jr., who had 20 points and eight assists along with seven rebounds, and point guard Stephen Curry, who shot 6-for-12 from downtown and finished with 28 points, nine assists and six boards.

Draymond Green missed that game and the previous one due to health and safety protocols, but he's been cleared prior to Monday's game. While Curry leads the offense, Green is the captain of the defense and has powered the Warriors to the No. 1 defensive rating in the league. The Warriors are allowing six fewer points per game in the 31 games Green has played in as opposed to the four contests he's missed.

What you need to know about the Heat

Meanwhile, Miami was close but no cigar on Sunday as it fell 115-113 to the Sacramento Kings. Despite the loss, Miami had strong showings from center Omer Yurtseven, who posted a double-double on 22 points and 16 boards, and point guard Kyle Lowry, who dropped a double-double on 14 points and 12 dimes in addition to five rebounds.

Miami was down six players due to protocols on Sunday, including Duncan Robinson, P.J. Tucker and Max Strus. Their statuses are up in the air for Monday's game, but the Heat will definitely be without Bam Adebayo (thumb), Markieff Morris (neck) and Dewayne Dedmon (knee). With all of the various absences, Miami will have to rely even more on Jimmy Butler who is one of two NBA players averaging at least 20 points, five rebounds, five assists and two steals per game.

How to make Warriors vs. Heat picks

The model has simulated Heat vs. Warriors 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.