NFL: Houston Texans at Los Angeles Chargers
Kelvin Kuo-USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Bengals will take on the Los Angeles Chargers at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday at Paul Brown Stadium. The Bengals had the NFL's worst record last year at 2-14. The Chargers were 5-11 and placed last in the AFC West. Both sides will be breaking in a new starting quarterback in this matchup.

Los Angeles is favored by three points in the latest Bengals vs. Chargers odds from William Hill. The over-under is set at 41.5. Before entering any Chargers vs. Bengals picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago. It also enters the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Bengals vs. Chargers. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Chargers vs. Bengals:

  • Bengals vs. Chargers spread: Bengals +3
  • Bengals vs. Chargers over-under: 41.5 points
  • Bengals vs. Chargers money line: Cincinnati +140, Los Angeles -160

Why the Bengals can cover

Joe Burrow, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 draft, begins a new era at quarterback for Cincinnati. Joe Mixon had 772 scrimmage yards in eight home games last season. Star wide receiver A.J. Green is healthy for the opener and Tyler Boyd is coming off a pair of 1,000-yard campaigns. 

Carlos Dunlap had nine sacks last season. He is just one of two NFL players with seven-plus sacks in each of the past seven seasons. The Bengals have won four of their past five meetings vs. the Chargers. 

Why the Chargers can cover

Veteran QB Tyrod Taylor makes his Chargers debut, and he is known as a dual threat who throws a good deep ball. Austin Ekeler had 819 scrimmage yards and eight 8 TDs in eight road games last season. Keenan Allen is gunning for his eighth game in row with five-plus catches.

Hunter Henry reached career highs in catches (55) and receiving yards (652) last season. Joey Bosa totaled 11.5 sacks last year and has three career seasons of 10-plus sacks. Melvin Ingram had seven sacks in 2019.  

How to make Chargers vs. Bengals picks

The model has simulated Bengals vs. Chargers 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning over on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Bengals vs. Chargers? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chargers vs. Bengals spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 96-65 roll.