The NFC East takes center stage with a high-profile Week 1 matchup on Sunday Night Football. The Dallas Cowboys visit MetLife Stadium to take on the New York Giants in East Rutherford. The Cowboys lead the all-time series by a 73-47-2 mark, including the postseason, and Dallas won both meetings last season. Dallas was 13-6 last season, including a 5-5 road mark, while New York was 10-8-1 overall and 5-3-1 at home a season ago.
Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET. For this game, SportsLine Consensus lists the Cowboys as 3.5-point road favorites, while the over/under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 45 in the latest Cowboys vs. Giants odds. Before locking in any Giants vs. Cowboys picks, make sure you check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 163-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 17-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has analyzed Cowboys vs. Giants from every angle and locked in its NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting trends for Giants vs. Cowboys:
- Cowboys vs. Giants spread: Cowboys -3.5
- Cowboys vs. Giants over/under: 45 points
- Cowboys vs. Giants money line: Cowboys -170, Giants +145
- DAL: Cowboys were 11-8 against the spread, including playoffs, in 2022
- NYG: Giants were 14-5 against the spread, including playoffs, in 2022
- Cowboys vs. Giants picks: See picks here
Why the Cowboys can cover
Dallas posted a top-five mark in scoring offense last season, averaging nearly 28 points per game with a balanced attack. On the other side, however, the Cowboys were arguably better. Dallas allowed only 20.1 points per game, No. 5 in the NFL, and led the league with 33 takeaways and 17 fumbles recovered in 2022. Dallas also finished in the top three with 54 sacks, and New York allowed the highest rate of pressure on quarterback drop-backs (43.4%) in the NFL last season.
The Cowboys also had top-10 marks in passing yards allowed (3,415), interceptions (16), third down efficiency allowed (37.7%), and red zone efficiency allowed (52.0%) last season. New York struggled with explosiveness, producing only 26 plays of 25 yards or more (tied for third-fewest in the NFL), and the Cowboys have one of the game's best defenders in Micah Parsons. The two-time All-Pro generated 13.5 sacks and 26 quarterback hits in 2022, and Parsons had 26.5 sacks in his first two seasons, the sixth-most of any player in NFL history over his first two campaigns. See which team to pick here.
Why the Giants can cover
New York's offense projects to improve in 2023. Quarterback Daniel Jones was tremendously efficient a year ago, throwing for 3,205 yards with three times as many touchdown passes as interceptions. Jones is also a dynamic threat in the running game, racking up 708 yards and seven rushing touchdowns while averaging 5.9 yards per carry. Jones is also 16-5 against the spread in his last 21 starts for the Giants, including a 9-3 ATS mark in the last 12 home starts. As a team, New York had the best ATS record (13-4) in the NFL last season, and Jones is surrounded by quality weapons.
In the backfield, Saquon Barkley is a Pro Bowl player who rushed for 1,312 yards and 10 touchdowns a season ago. Barkley also added 57 catches out of the backfield, and he is joined by newly acquired tight end Darren Waller. Waller, a former Pro Bowl selection, ranks No. 3 among NFL tight ends in receiving yards per game over the last four seasons combined. Beyond the talent, the Giants were elite in taking care of the ball last season, leading the NFL with only six interceptions and finishing No. 2 in turnovers (16). See which team to pick here.
How to make Giants vs. Cowboys picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 49 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Giants vs. Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Giants vs. Cowboys spread you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model on a 163-113 roll on NFL picks, and find out.
