The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have looked like one of the NFL's most complete teams the past two weeks, which could spell trouble for the aimless New York Giants when the teams meet on Monday Night Football. Tom Brady threw for 369 yards in a 45-20 dismantling of the Raiders last week and leads the league's third-best passing attack. Meanwhile, the Tampa Bay (5-2) defense ranks third in total yards and first against the run. The Giants (1-6) rank second-to-last in total offense and have counted on a strong defense to give them a chance.
Kickoff is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a 13-point favorite in the latest Giants vs. Buccaneers odds at William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 47. Before making your Buccaneers vs. Giants picks, you need to check out the latest NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 15-7 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model also enters Week 8 on an incredible 111-72 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, it has broken down Giants vs. Buccaneers. You can head to SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL odds and trends for Giants vs. Bucs:
- Giants vs. Buccaneers spread: Tampa Bay -13
- Giants vs. Buccaneers over-under: 47 points
- Giants vs. Buccaneers money line: Tampa Bay -750, New York +525
- TB: Had a 100-yard rusher in four of seven games, led by Ronald Jones' three.
- NYG: QB Daniel Jones has rushed for a team-high 295 yards, averaging 9.5 per carry.
Why the Bucs can cover
Tampa Bay is 5-2 against the spread in its past seven games against teams with a losing record, and the Bucs are averaging 31.7 points and outscoring opponents by more than 11. Brady has the balanced offense humming, with Ronald Jones ranking fourth in the league with 506 rushing yards entering Week 8.
Brady has thrown for 1,910 yards and 18 touchdowns, and Mike Evans (six TDs), Scotty Miller (16.6 yards per catch) and Rob Gronkowski (22 catches) are excelling.
The Bucs have 12 takeaways and 25 sacks, while Daniel Jones has been hauled down 20 times and the Giants have 13 turnovers. Jason Pierre-Paul (5.5 sacks), Devin White (four) and Shaquil Barrett (three) make life miserable for opposing quarterbacks, and linebacker Lavonte David and safety Antoine Winfield make plays all over the field.
Why the Giants can cover
The Giants beat the Bucs in the teams' last meeting. Daniel Jones led a 32-31 comeback victory in his first NFL start in Week 3 last season after he threw for 336 yards and two touchdowns. Tight end Evan Engram caught a 75-yard touchdown pass in that game and is one of Jones' top targets this year with 26 receptions.
The Giants, who are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as an underdog, have the defense to keep the score close. Linebacker Blake Martinez is relentless and is second in the league with 73 tackles and has two sacks. The unit has 18 QB takedowns and has forced nine turnovers, while the Bucs have coughed up the ball seven times. Dexter Lawrence and Leonard Williams are formidable up front, combining for five sacks, while linebacker Kyler Fackrell has three.
How to make Giants vs. Buccaneers picks
The model is leaning Over, calling for 50 total points. It also says one side of the spread hits in more than 50 percent of simulations. You can head to SportsLine to see it.
So who wins Bucs vs. Giants on Monday Night Football? And which side of the spread is hitting more than 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to find out which side of the Giants vs. Buccaneers spread you should be all over, all from the model on a 111-72 roll on its top-rated NFL picks.
