Few years seem as wide open to crown a Super Bowl champion as the 2023 NFL playoffs. All four remaining teams are +330 or shorter to win the Super Bowl per the latest NFL odds as we enter the Championship Round NFL schedule. Caesars Sportsbook has the Eagles as +250 Super Bowl favorites, giving them the longest 2023 Super Bowl odds of any favorite entering Conference Championship weekend since at least 1980. Philadelphia is a 2.5-point favorite to beat the 49ers and advance to the Big Game in the latest Championship Round NFL odds, while the Kansas City Chiefs are favored by 1.5 against the Cincinnati Bengals. All of the Championship Round NFL lines are listed below and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and predictions you need to make the best Championship Round NFL picks now.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the AFC Championship and NFC Championship of the 2023 NFL playoffs on an incredible 162-113 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 16-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season.
The model ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Top Championship Round NFL predictions
One of the model's strongest Championship Round NFL picks is that the NFC Championship Game 2023 hits the Under. The Eagles' success this year has been predicated on a complex running game that found the end zone a league-high 32 times. But what the Niners do best is shut down the run, as they've allowed just three rushing touchdowns over their last nine games. While Philadelphia will still likely be able to move the ball on the ground, drives that normally end in touchdowns may result in field goal attempts on Sunday.
On the other side of the ball, the Eagles' historic pass rush should give San Francisco issues. Philadelphia is the first team in NFL history to have four players with 10-plus sacks, while Brock Purdy has more times sacked (seven) than TD passes (six) over his last three games. Sacks are the ultimate drive-killers and could leave the Niners ending drives with punts and field goals rather than touchdowns.
With two elite defenses, both teams are projected to score at least six fewer points than what they averaged on the season. Eagles vs. 49ers is projected to go under in well over 60% of simulations per the SportsLine model. See which other teams to pick here.
How to make Championship Round NFL picks
The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Championship Round schedule, and it says one underdog wins outright in almost 50% of simulations. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.
So which NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which underdog is a must-back? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.
Championship Round NFL odds, spreads, lines, schedule
Sunday, Jan. 29
2023 NFC Championship Game: 49ers vs. Eagles (-2.5, 46)
2023 AFC Championship Game: Bengals vs. Chiefs (-1.5, 48)