A pair of division winners from a year ago will battle on Sunday when the Green Bay Packers take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Packers (1-1) are coming off a 27-10 win over the Chicago Bears, while the Buccaneers (2-0) defeated the New Orleans Saints 20-10. Tampa Bay will be without at least one wide receiver in Mike Evans, who was suspended by the league in his role in a second-half melee at New Orleans last week. Chris Godwin (hamstring) is also out for Tampa Bay.

Kickoff from Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla., is set for 4:25 p.m. ET. Tampa Bay is a 1.5-point favorite in the latest Packers vs. Buccaneers odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 42. Before making any Packers vs. Buccaneers picks, you need to check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 3 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-102 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Packers vs. Buccaneers, and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Packers vs. Buccaneers:

  • Packers vs. Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -1.5
  • Packers vs. Buccaneers over-under: 42 points 
  • Packers vs. Buccaneers money line: Packers +100, Buccaneers -120 
  • GB: Under has hit in both Packers games this season
  • TB: Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against NFC opponents 
  • Packers vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks here
Featured Game | Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Green Bay Packers

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Tampa Bay is led by future Hall of Famer Tom Brady. Even without a number of key weapons on offense, Brady still strikes fear in opposing defenses. For the season, he has completed 36 of 61 passes (59 percent) for 402 yards and two touchdowns. In 17 games last season, Brady completed 485 of 719 passes (67.5 percent) for 5,316 yards and 43 touchdowns.

Defensively, the Buccaneers remain formidable, holding opponents to just 6.5 points per game. Linebacker Devin White led the team with 11 tackles and had a sack and his fifth-career forced fumble last week against the Saints. White will be looking for his third game in a row with a sack and fourth game in a row with a tackle for loss. He had 10 tackles, one sack and three tackles for loss in the last meeting against the Packers.

Why the Packers can cover 

Despite that, the Buccaneers are not a lock to cover the Packers vs. Buccaneers spread. That's because Green Bay is led by a future Hall of Famer at quarterback as well. Aaron Rodgers passed for two touchdowns versus zero interceptions and a 131.1 rating in Week 2 and became just the fifth QB ever with 450 or more career touchdown passes (451). He became the second quarterback ever (Drew Brees) with 40 or more career games with a 130-plus rating. He has two or more TD passes in seven of his past eight games on the road. Rodgers has 295 or more passing yards and a 105 or better rating in two of his past three games against the Buccaneers.

Rodgers' top weapon so far this season has been running back Aaron Jones. He had 170 scrimmage yards and two touchdowns, including one rushing and one receiving, in Week 2. He has six games with 150 or more yards from scrimmage and two TDs since 2018, tied for third-most in the NFL. Jones is looking for his third game in a row against Tampa Bay with a rushing score and is looking for his eighth road game in a row with 50 or more yards from scrimmage.

How to make Packers vs. Buccaneers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the point total. In fact, it's calling for 40 total points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins Packers vs. Buccaneers? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Buccaneers spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that is up more than $7,000 on NFL picks, and find out.