The Green Bay Packers hope to continue their surge toward a playoff spot when they visit U.S. Bank Stadium to face the Minnesota Vikings on Sunday Night Football. The Packers have won five of their past eight games to move to 7-8, the same mark as the Vikings, who have lost four of five. The Packers are coming off a 33-30 victory over the Panthers, while the Vikings suffered a 30-24 setback against the Lions in their last outing.
Kickoff at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minn., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Minnesota is favored by 1-point according to the latest Packers vs. Vikings odds via SportsLine consensus, and the over/under for total points scored is 42.5. Before making any Vikings vs. Packers picks, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 17 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 178-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 32-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has simulated Packers vs. Vikings 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting trends for Vikings vs. Packers:
- Vikings vs. Packers spread: Minnesota -1
- Vikings vs. Packers over/under: 42.5 points
- Vikings vs. Packers money line: Minnesota -115, Green Bay -105
- GB: Is 14-6 ATS in its last 20 games as an underdog.
- MIN: Is 10-8-2 ATS in its last 20 games following a loss.
- Vikings vs. Packers picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Vikings vs. Packers streaming: fubo (try for free)
Why the Vikings can cover
All six of Minnesota's losses have been by one score, and of the past four, one went to overtime and two others were by a combined three points. The quarterback situation has been a major issue since Kirk Cousins (Achilles) was injured, but the Vikings should be able to run the ball on Sunday night. Alexander Mattison (659 yards) and Ty Chandler (4.4 per carry) are both capable backs, and the Packers' defense allows 4.5 yards per carry (26th in the NFL) and 136 rushing yards per game (30th).
Of course, the Vikings also have elite receiver Justin Jefferson, who just posted his fourth game with at least 140 yards this season (eight starts). He had 141 yards and a touchdown on six catches against the Lions. The Vikings have won four of the past six meetings with the Packers, including the past two at home. They will force Green Bay to throw the ball, and Danielle Hunter (NFL-high 21 tackles for loss and 15.5 sacks) should make it a tough night for Jordan Love. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why the Packers can cover
While Minnesota struggles at quarterback, Green Bay's Jordan Love has made huge strides in his first full season as the starter. He is third in the NFL with 37 touchdown passes, throwing 13 over the past six games. Love has one interception over that span, while the Vikings have 11 over the past five games. Green Bay is even in turnover margin, while Minnesota is minus-9, third-worst in the league. Receivers Romeo Doubs and Jayden Reed have combined for 1,238 yards and 14 TDs.
With star rookie Luke Musgrave banged up, tight end Tucker Kraft has 12 catches for 181 yards over the past three games. Running backs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon have struggled at times but have combined for 1,427 total yards despite some injuries. The Packers will make it a priority to get pressure on rookie Jaren Hall. Green Bay's Rashan Gary (nine sacks), Preston Smith (seven) and Kenny Clark (6.5) will get after him, and the defense has 11 interceptions. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Packers vs. Vikings picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over the total, projecting 45 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model's NFL picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Vikings vs. Packers on Sunday Night Football, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Vikings spread to back, all from the model on a 178-129 roll on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
