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The North Carolina Tar Heels will look to continue their recent mastery of the No. 19 Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes when they meet in a key Atlantic Coast Conference showdown on Monday night. The Tar Heels (16-9, 8-6 ACC), who snapped a three-game losing streak on Saturday with a 91-71 win over Clemson, has beaten Miami in five of the last six meetings. The Hurricanes (20-5, 11-4), who are 5-4 away from home, bounced Louisville 93-85 on Saturday. Miami is looking for its first win at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, UNC, since posting a 91-88 in on Feb. 27, 2018.

The game will tip off at 7 p.m. ET. Miami is averaging 79 points per game, while UNC averages 78.4. The Tar Heels are 5.5-point favorites in the latest Miami vs. North Carolina odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 155.5. Before making any North Carolina vs. Miami picks, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. The model enters Week 15 of the season 66-38 on all-top rated college basketball picks this season, returning almost $1,700 for $100 players. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. Miami and just locked in its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for Miami vs. UNC:

  • Miami vs. North Carolina spread: North Carolina -5.5
  • Miami vs. North Carolina over/under: 155.5 points
  • Miami vs. North Carolina money line: Miami +158, North Carolina -190
  • MIA: The Hurricanes are 17-4 against the spread in their last 21 games following an ATS loss
  • UNC: The Tar Heels are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 Monday games
  • Miami vs. North Carolina picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why North Carolina can cover

Junior guard RJ Davis has been on fire of late, reaching double digits in scoring in three consecutive games. He poured in 17 points in the win over Clemson on Saturday. He has scored 20 or more points five times this season and has reached double figures in 22 games, with a pair of double-doubles. His last double-double was a 22-point and 10-rebound performance against Georgia Tech on Dec. 10. For the season, he averages 15.8 points, 4.9 rebounds, 3.4 assists and 1.1 steals per game.

Senior forward Pete Nance, a transfer from Northwestern, is averaging 10.1 points, six rebounds and 1.5 assists per game. He is connecting on 43.1% of his field goals and 77.8% of his free throws. Nance has averaged double-digit scoring in each of his past three seasons, including 14.6 in 2021-2022 for the Wildcats. He has three double-doubles on the year, including an 11-point and 10-rebound performance on Tuesday at Wake Forest.

Why Miami can cover 

Junior guard Isaiah Wong powers the Hurricanes, and has reached double-digit scoring in 20 games, including each of the last six. In the win over Louisville on Saturday, Wong poured in 21 points, while grabbing four rebounds and dishing out four assists. He scored a season-high 36 points in a 107-105 win over Cornell on Dec. 7, and has registered one double-double -- a 22-point and 10-assist performance against St. Francis (Pa.) in a 91-76 win on Dec. 17. He is averaging 16.2 points, 4.4 rebounds, 3.5 assists and 1.5 steals per game.

Senior guard Jordan Miller is averaging 14.7 points, 5.6 rebounds, 2.7 assists and 1.4 steals per game. He is connecting on 53% of his field goals, including 35.2% from 3-point range, and 81.7% from the free-throw line. He has reached double-figure scoring in 19 consecutive games and has registered one double-double. Miller scored 17 points and grabbed 10 rebounds in a 68-61 win over Rutgers on Nov. 30 in the ACC/Big Ten Challenge.

How to make Miami vs. UNC picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 150 combined points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine

So who wins UNC vs. Miami? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50% of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned almost $1,700 on its college basketball picks this season, and find out.