The Atlanta Braves will try to build on their 3-0 win over the Philadelphia Phillies when the teams meet for Game 3 of the NLDS on Friday afternoon. Philadelphia picked up a 7-6 win in the series opener before Atlanta responded with a win in Game 2. This will be the Phillies' first home playoff game since 2011 when they lost to St. Louis in five games in the NLDS. Philadelphia has played 14 consecutive road games this season dating back to the end of the regular season.
First pitch at Citizens Bank Park is set for 4:37 p.m. ET. Both sides are listed at -110 (risk $110 to win $100) in the latest Braves vs. Phillies odds from Caesars Sportsbook. The over/under for total runs scored is 6.5. Before making any Phillies vs. Braves picks, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it entered the divisional round on a 20-11 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks, returning more than $600. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Braves vs. Phillies, and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Phillies vs. Braves:
- Braves vs. Phillies money line: Philadelphia -110, Atlanta -110
- Braves vs. Phillies over/under: 6.5 runs
- Braves vs. Phillies run line: Philadelphia -1.5 (+196)
- ATL: The Braves are 13-1 in their last 14 Friday games
- PHI: The Phillies are 5-1 in their last six games against a National League opponent
- Braves vs. Phillies picks: See picks here
Why you should back the Braves
Atlanta enters this game with as much confidence as any team in the majors, as it is the defending World Series champion and was able to pull off a miraculous comeback against the Mets to win the NL East this season. The Braves have won six of their last nine games against Philadelphia, including a dominant performance on Wednesday. Star slugger Ronald Acuna Jr. has been fantastic to open the postseason, racking up four hits in seven at-bats.
Catcher Travis d'Arnaud and first baseman Matt Olson have each gone deep in this series, driving in four runs apiece. Rookie pitcher Spencer Strider has been phenomenal this season, going 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA. He will likely be limited to just a few innings in this game, though, as he is coming off an oblique injury.
Why you should back the Phillies
Citizens Bank Park will likely be the loudest atmosphere of any playoff game so far this season, as the fan base has been starved for postseason baseball over the past decade. The Phillies are playing their first home playoff game since 2011 and their first home game this season since Sept. 25. They were able to steal home-field advantage in Game 1 of this series, giving their fans even more of a reason to be optimistic.
Slugger Bryce Harper had been in an injury-induced slump at the end of the regular season, but he has racked up six hits in 14 at-bats this postseason. Atlanta will likely have to use multiple bullpen arms to get through this game, while Aaron Nola should pitch the majority of the contest for Philadelphia. He threw 6.2 scoreless innings against St. Louis in his postseason debut, so he will not shy away from this moment.
How to make Braves vs. Phillies picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 8.3 total runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Braves vs. Phillies? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of Phillies vs. Braves you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.
