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The Cleveland Guardians (11-11) have lost four of their last five series after starting the season 5-2. But if there's ever a series for them to rebound in, the Guardians can't ask for much better than a three-game series at home against the Colorado Rockies (6-17) beginning on Monday. The Rockies have lost 11 of their last 12 games. Although the Guardians have struggled to win series as of late, they haven't been swept all year.

The game is scheduled to begin at 6:10 p.m. ET at Progressive Field in Cleveland. Cleveland is the -205 favorite (risk $205 to win $100) and the over/under is 8 in the latest Guardians vs. Rockies odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Before making any Rockies vs. Guardians picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons, and it is on a 26-21 run dating back to the end of last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has dialed in on Guardians vs. Rockies and revealed its predictions and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's MLB picks. Here are the MLB odds and betting trends for Rockies vs. Guardians:

  • Guardians vs. Rockies money line: Guardians -205, Rockies +170
  • Guardians vs. Rockies over/under: 8 runs
  • Guardians vs. Rockies run line: Guardians -1.5 (+105)
  • CLE: The Guardians swept the Rockies in Colorado last year 
  • COL: The Rockies are 3-1 on the run line over their last four games
  • Guardians vs. Rockies picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Guardians

The Guardians have the best hitter on the field in third baseman Jose Ramirez. He has two home runs and seven RBI over his last four games, including going 2-for-4 with a home run and four RBI on Sunday. Ramirez has finished fifth in MLB in total bases in two of the last three seasons. The 30-year-old leads all Guardians starters in batting average (.267), on-base percentage (.350), home runs (3), RBI (16) and hits (23).

Rockies left-handed starting pitcher Austin Gomber has had a rough start to the season. He has yet to make it out of the fifth inning in his last three starts, including allowing nine runs over two innings in his last start on Wednesday, resulting in a 14-3 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Gomber has a 12.12 ERA in 16 1/3 innings over four starts. In comparison, Guardians right-hander Cal Quantrill has been one of the more reliable pitchers in baseball over the last three years. He pitched six shutout innings in a 3-2 win over the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday in his last outing and has a 3.22 ERA since 2021. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back the Rockies

It's been difficult to find positives for the Rockies over the last few weeks. But the same could be said about the Guardians, who have lost four of their last five series and are 2-5 over their last seven games. The Rockies have played opponents tight lately, dropping two one-run games to the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend after winning the first game of the series, 5-0.

Charlie Blackmon has been a mainstay in the Rockies lineup over his entire 13-year career. This year is no exception as he has reached base safely in the last five games with a .367 on-base percentage over that span. Blackmon has a career .355 on-base percentage in Colorado and had a .400 on-base percentage over 21 games this spring. See which team to pick here

How to make Guardians vs. Rockies picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the run total, as the simulations have the teams combining for 8.7 runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Guardians vs. Rockies? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model that is on a 26-21 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks, and find out.