The Miami Heat will take on the Denver Nuggets at 7:30 p.m. ET Monday at FTX Arena. Miami is 13-7 overall and 6-1 at home, while Denver is 9-10 overall and 2-6 on the road. These teams met in early November in which the Nuggets were victorious at home by a score of 113-96.
Miami is favored by 7.5 points in the latest Heat vs. Nuggets odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 207.5. Before entering any Nuggets vs. Heat picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 7 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $1,500 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 117-77 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen HUGE returns.
- Heat vs. Nuggets spread: Heat -7.5
- Heat vs. Nuggets over-under: 207.5 points
What you need to know about the Heat
The Heat came out on top in a nail-biter against the Chicago Bulls this past Saturday, sneaking past 107-104. Miami got its win on the backs of several key players, and it was point guard Kyle Lowry out in front picking up 19 points, six assists and five rebounds. The Heat also got 40 points from their bench, led by Gabe Vincent who had 20 points and shot 4-for-8 beyond the arc.
Miami's two leading scorers are both questionable to suit up Monday as Jimmy Butler has a tail bone contusion while Tyler Herro is dealing with soreness. But the strength of Miami is on the defensive end of the court as it ranks second in points allowed per game and fourth in defensive efficiency. The Heat are elite on the defensive end despite being a poor shot-blocking team as their 2.4 blocks per game ranks last in the NBA.
What you need to know about the Nuggets
Meanwhile, the matchup between Denver and the Milwaukee Bucks this past Friday was not particularly close, with Denver falling 120-109. A silver lining for the Nuggets was the play of power forward Aaron Gordon, who had 18 points in addition to nine boards. It was MVP Nikola Jokic's (wrist) fourth straight missed game and Denver has lost all four as part of an overall six-game losing streak.
Jokic is questionable for Monday, while Jamal Murray (knee) and Michael Porter Jr. (back) are out, potentially leaving the Nuggets without their three best players. The top healthy scorer is Will Barton who is averaging 16.3 points to go along with 5.4 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game. With all of the injuries, Denver is struggling on offense as it ranks 26th in scoring after ranking eighth last season.
How to make Heat vs. Nuggets picks
The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Heat 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Over, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits in over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.