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The Indiana Pacers will face off against the Denver Nuggets at 3:30 p.m. ET on Sunday at Ball Arena. Denver is 27-13 overall and 16-4 at home, while Indiana is 23-15 overall and 10-7 on the road. The Nuggets have dominated this series in recent years, winning eight of the last 10 meetings with the Pacers. 

The Nuggets are favored by 10.5 points in the latest Nuggets vs. Pacers odds, while the over/under is 240.5 points. Before entering any Pacers vs. Nuggets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023-24 NBA season on a sizzling 112-62 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning well over $4,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Indiana vs. Denver. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA betting lines for the game:

  • Nuggets vs. Pacers spread: Nuggets -10.5
  • Nuggets vs. Pacers over/under: 240.5 points
  • Nuggets vs. Pacers money line: Nuggets: -555, Pacers: +407
  • Nuggets vs. Pacers picks: See picks here

What you need to know about the Pacers

The Pacers entered their tilt with the Hawks with two consecutive wins but they'll enter their next game with three. Indiana enjoyed a comfortable 126-108 win over Atlanta on Friday. Winning is a bit easier when you work as a team to rack up 16 more assists than your opponent, as the Pacers did against the Hawks.

Indiana will enter Sunday's showdown full of confidence after winning nine of its last 10 games. However, the Pacers will be without Tyrese Haliburton (hamstring) on Sunday. Haliburton is averaging 23.5 points, 12.5 assists and 4.2 rebounds per game. That means players like Myles Turner and Buddy Hield will have to step up if Indiana wants to pull off the upset on the road against Denver. 

What you need to know about the Nuggets

Meanwhile, Denver earned a 125-113 win over New Orleans on Friday. The Nuggets pushed the score to 100-80 by the end of the third, a deficit the Pelicans cut but never quite recovered from. Nikola Jokic continued his habit of posting crazy stat lines, dropping a triple-double with 27 points, 10 rebounds, and 14 assists. For the season, Jokic is averaging 25.5. points, 11.7 rebounds and 9.3 assists per game. 

The Nuggets are 16-4 in their last 20 games at home and they've won 12 of their last 13 home games against the Pacers. Denver is holding its opponents to just 111.1 points per game this season, which ranks second in the NBA. Offensively, the Nuggets are scoring 116.2 points per game on average. 

How to make Nuggets vs. Pacers picks

The model has simulated Nuggets vs. Pacers 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning Under, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in almost 70% of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Pacers vs. Nuggets, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that's on a 112-62 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.