The New York Giants look to sweep their division rival, the Washington Commanders, as they play for the second time in five weeks on Sunday afternoon. New York (2-8) was blown out in Dallas, 49-17 last Sunday, while Washington narrowly fell in Seattle, 29-26. The Giants won the teams' Week 7 matchup, 14-7. New York is 2-7-1 against the spread, while Washington is 5-4-1 ATS in 2023.
Kickoff from FedEx Field in Landover, Md., is set for 1 p.m. ET. Washington is a 9-point favorite in the Commanders vs. Giants odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 38.5. Before making any Giants vs. Commanders picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the computer simulation model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Giants vs. Commanders and just locked in its picks and NFL Week 11 predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Commanders vs. Giants:
- Commanders vs. Giants spread: Commanders -9
- Commanders vs. Giants over/under: 38.5 points
- Commanders vs. Giants money line: Commanders -440, Giants +337
- Commanders vs. Giants picks: See picks at SportsLine
- Commanders vs. Giants live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why the Giants can cover
New York has been abysmal offensively, generating only 259.2 yards per game and ranking dead last in the NFL by a sizable margin. With quarterback Daniel Jones out for the season due to a knee injury and his backup, Tyrod Taylor, out with a serious injury to his ribs, undrafted rookie free agent Tommy DeVito is the Giants' starter for now. Last week against Dallas, he completed 14 of 27 passes for 86 yards, with two late touchdown passes and one interception.
If there is a bright spot for the Giants offense, it's running back Saquon Barkley, the team's most dynamic playmaker. Unfortunately without the threat of a reliable passing attack, teams are stacking the box to effectively shut down Barkley. In the Week 7 victory over Washington, he totaled 118 rushing/receiving yards and a touchdown. It's likely that New York's best chance to win on Sunday will be to keep the game low-scoring as they did last month. See which team to pick here.
Why the Commanders can cover
Though he's taken an astounding 47 sacks, Sam Howell has been a bright spot as Washington's quarterback this season. He's completing nearly two-thirds of his passes for 2,783 yards with 17 touchdown passes and nine interceptions. Against Seattle in Week 10, Howell threw for 312 yards and three touchdowns, leading the team back from a fourth quarter deficit only to lose on the game's final play.
Running backs Brian Robinson, Jr. and Antonio Gibson starred in the passing game last week against the Seahawks. Robinson caught six passes for 119 yards including a 51 yard touchdown, while Gibson had five catches for 42 yards and a score. With receiving weapons Terry McLaurin, Jahan Dotson and tight end Logan Thomas, Howell has plenty of pass catchers at his disposal to shred the Giants defense. See which team to pick here.
How to make Giants vs. Commanders picks
The model has simulated New York vs. Washington 10,000 times and the results are in. It is leaning Over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model's Commanders vs. Giants pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Giants vs. Commanders on Sunday, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Commanders vs. Giants spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the model on a 174-125 roll on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.
