The Jaguars haven't finished above .500 since 2007. Since then, they've won an average of 4.7 games per season. They're fresh off a 3-13 campaign.
So naturally, Jaguars general manager Dave Caldwell is operating under the belief that they're in win-now mode. On Tuesday night, Caldwell described the team's decision to draft running back Leonard Fournette fourth overall last week as a "win-now" move.
"Leonard's a guy we think can come in and make an immediate impact," Caldwell told SiriusXM NFL Radio. "We're in a 'win-now' mode, as we should be."
Nice try. We're not falling for that one again.
A year ago, the Jaguars were a trendy playoff pick. They won the offseason by signing Malik Jackson. They had a great draft by getting two top-10 defensive talents in Jalen Ramsey and Myles Jack. Two of our seven experts predicted a playoff berth. Sports Illustrated was ready to publish a lengthy feature on the Jaguars' rise (check out the awesome annotated version here).
The Jaguars ended up winning three games. They fired coach Gus Bradley before it was even over.
So, they brought in Tom Coughlin to fix the team. His first move? Getting rid of the ping-pong table. His second move? Taking a running back in the top five.
All jokes aside, Fournette is a good prospect, but it's tough to see the Jaguars rebounding from a three-win season with a playoff berth. The AFC South still isn't good, but the other three teams have a much clearer path to improvement. The Texans might have a passable quarterback in Deshaun Watson, the Titans can expect another year of growth from Marcus Mariota, and the Colts finally have a competent front office.
In the end, the Jaguars' playoff hopes will come down to Blake Bortles. They have a solid team in place surrounding him, but Bortles hasn't shown any signs of developing into a franchise quarterback. That's why I'm expecting another bad year for the Jaguars, who ensured Bortles won't have any more excuses with an offense-focused draft.
Until they fix the quarterback position, they'll be forever stuck in win-never mode.