The Packers will try to rebound from a disappointing loss and maintain at least a tie for first place in the NFC North when Green Bay visits the New York Giants on Sunday. The Packers had hoped to prove their mettle against the 49ers, but they couldn't stop big plays in a 38-7 rout that dropped them to 8-3. Still, they are tied with the Vikings atop the division and need to avoid a letdown against New York. The Giants have lost seven in a row and been dealing with injuries and the growing pains of a rookie quarterback. Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium. Green Bay is a 6.5-point favorite in the latest Packers vs. Giants odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 44, off 2.5 from the opener. Before you make any Giants vs. Packers picks of your own, make sure to see the latest NFL predictions from SportsLine's proven model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception four years ago. It has nailed its recent top-rated NFL picks, entering Week 13 of the 2019 NFL schedule on a strong 31-20 run that dates back to last season. It's also on an incredible 93-63 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season, The model has also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch the past three years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up and consistently beaten NFL odds.

Now, the model has set its sights on Packers vs. Giants. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in more than 50 percent of simulations. Head to SportsLine to see it. Now, here are the betting lines and trends for Packers vs. Giants:

  • Packers vs. Giants spread: Green Bay -6.5
  • Packers vs. Giants over-under: 44
  • Packers vs. Giants money line: Green Bay -300, New York +245
  • Packers: QB Aaron Rodgers is 3-1 in four regular-season games against the Giants.
  • Giants: WR Darius Slayton has 14 catches for 188 yards and two touchdowns over the past two games.

The model knows favorite is 3-0-1 against the spread in the last four meetings between these teams and Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers is completing 64.5 percent of his passes. He also protects the ball, throwing just two interceptions against 18 touchdowns. Aaron Jones has run for 627 yards and also has 35 catches for 354 yards. Davante Adams is the most frequent contributor with 46 catches in just seven games, while veteran tight end Jimmy Graham has 28 grabs. 

Green Bay's defense had issues with the Niners, but the Giants don't have a formidable offense and the Packers are 4-0 against the spread in their last four games following a straight-up loss. The Packers have 28 sacks this year and should be able to get to Giants rookie quarterback Daniel Jones, who has been brought down 33 times. Preston Smith and Za'Darius Smith have a combined 20.5 sacks. Jones also has eight interceptions in 10 games.

Green Bay might look a lot better on paper, but that doesn't mean it will cover the Giants vs. Packers spread on Sunday.

That's because the Giants are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 games after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous game. They come off a 19-14 setback to the Bears, but should be able to run the ball against a Packers team that allows 125.5 yards per game on the ground (26th in the NFL). Saquon Barkley has run for 459 yards in eight games.

New York's defense also has been hit by injuries, but the home team is 3-0-1 against the spread in the last four meetings between the teams. Antoine Bethea is the playmaker on defense, with 75 tackles, and interception and two fumble recoveries. Cornerback Janoris Jenkins has batted down 13 passes and has four interceptions, while Markus Golden leads the team with 7.5 sacks.

So who wins Giants vs. Packers? And which side of the spread can you bank on in more than 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Packers vs. Giants spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up over $7,000 on its top-rated NFL picks, and find out.