NFL: Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Charles LeClaire / USA TODAY Sports

The Pittsburgh Steelers come off an unplanned bye week to host the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday at Heinz Field. The Steelers (3-0) were set to play Tennessee last Sunday, but that game was postponed to Oct. 25 because of positive COVID-19 tests within the Titans organization. Instead, Pittsburgh enjoyed a day off and will now have to play 13 straight weeks without a bye. Meanwhile, the Eagles (1-2-1) earned their first win of the season last week in a 25-20 victory at San Francisco. The win moved them atop the NFC East standings.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. Pittsburgh is a seven-point favorite in the latest Steelers vs. Eagles odds from William Hill, while the over-under for total points scored is 44.5, down from an open of 47. Before you make any Eagles vs. Steelers picks, check out the NFL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,300 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It's off to a strong 7-4 roll on top-rated NFL picks this season. The model enters Week 5 on an incredible 103-69 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has simulated Eagles vs. Steelers 10,000 times. You can visit SportsLine to see the picks. Here are the NFL lines and trends for Steelers vs. Eagles:

  • Steelers vs. Eagles spread: Pittsburgh -7
  • Steelers vs. Eagles Over-Under: 44.5 points
  • Steelers vs. Eagles moneyline: Pittsburgh -350, Philadelphia +290
  • PIT: Steelers lead the league in sacks with 15.
  • PHI: QB Carson Wentz has 102 rushing yards and two TDs in the last two weeks.

Why the Steelers can cover

Pittsburgh has the ability to put pressure on Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz. Led by T.J. Watt's 3.5, the Steelers rank second in the league with 15 sacks (just two behind the Eagles, who have played one more game) and have 29 tackles for loss. Each one of those stats projected over the entire season would be NFL records. 

Wentz has not performed well under pressure. So far this season, the much-maligned quarterback has a passer rating of 28.0 when pressured. That ranks 37th out of 40 quarterbacks who have attempted at least five passes under pressure this season.

Why the Eagles can cover

The defensive line is coming off arguably its best game of the season. The unit had five sacks and 15 quarterback hits in Sunday's 25-20 win over the 49ers, the reigning NFC champs. Defensive end Genard Avery had five of those quarterback hits, and only one of the Eagles' eight linemen did not record at least one hit on Sunday.

In addition, Philadelphia will arguably be the best team Pittsburgh has faced so far this season. The Steelers' three victories have come against the Giants, Broncos and Texans. Those teams are a combined 1-11 and have been outscored by 111 points.

How to make Steelers vs. Eagles picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total. In fact, it says Ben Roethlisberger will easily clear 270 yards passing, while Miles Sanders will accumulate over 75 all-purpose yards. It has also generated a strong against-the-spread pick that cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick here

So who wins Eagles vs. Steelers? And which side of the spread cashes in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Eagles spread to jump on Sunday, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,300 on its NFL picks over the past five-plus seasons, and find out.