The Duke Blue Devils will look to continue their recent dominance over the Miami (Fla.) Hurricanes when they meet in a key Atlantic Coast Conference matchup on Monday. The Blue Devils (7-5, 5-3), who have won seven of the past 10 meetings with the Hurricanes (6-10, 2-9), are looking to replicate last year's fortunes which saw Duke tie for second in the conference with Virginia and Louisville at 15-5 and finish 25-6 overall. Miami, which has lost four in a row, tied for 10th in the ACC with Virginia Tech and Boston College at 7-13 and was 15-16 overall in 2019-20. The Hurricanes are 14-10 at home over the past two seasons.
The game from Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Fla., is scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET. Duke is averaging 74.2 points per game, while Miami is averaging 65.5. The Blue Devils are 11-point favorites in the latest Duke vs. Miami odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is set at 136.5. Before making any Miami vs. Duke picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Duke vs. Miami. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Miami vs. Duke:
- Duke vs. Miami spread: Duke -11
- Duke vs. Miami over-under: 136.5 points
- Duke vs. Miami money line: Duke -700; Miami +475
- DU: The Blue Devils are 261-149 (.637) in true road games under coach Mike Krzyzewski
- MIA: Is holding opponents to 28.1 percent shooting from 3-point range in its six wins and to 44.1 percent in its 10 losses
Why Duke can cover
The Blue Devils were led by a balanced offensive attack with five players reaching double figures in Saturday's 26-point win over Clemson. Duke is 7-0 this season when scoring 75 or more points and is 4-0 when shooting better than 50 percent from the floor. Freshman forward Jalen Johnson has been a big part of the Blue Devils' success and is averaging 12 points, 7.4 rebounds, 2.4 assists, 1.6 blocks and 1.2 steals per game. He is hitting on 54.5 percent of his field goals, and has reached double figures in four games, including a 24-point performance at Pittsburgh on Jan. 19.
Freshman guard Jeremy Roach got back on track in Saturday's win, scoring 12 points against the Tigers after being held scoreless in two straight games. He has reached double figures in seven games, including 22 points in a loss at No. 20 Virginia Tech on Jan. 12. He also scored 14 points in a win at Notre Dame on Dec. 16. For the season, Roach is averaging 9.3 points, 2.6 rebounds, 2.8 assists and 0.8 steals per game.
Why Miami can cover
The Hurricanes have five players averaging nine points or better, led by sophomore guard Isaiah Wong. He is averaging 17.4 points, 5.5 rebounds, 2.1 assists and 1.3 steals per game. He has reached double figures in 14 of 16 games, including one double-double. Wong poured in a season-high 30 points against No. 16 Louisville on Jan. 16, and had 17 points and 12 rebounds in a win over Stetson on Dec. 4.
Senior guard Kameron McGusty has reached double digits in three consecutive games, including 20 points against Notre Dame on Jan. 24 and 17 at Wake Forest on Saturday. He has scored 10 or more points in six of his nine games. For the season, McGusty is averaging 12.2 points, three rebounds, 2.1 assists and 1.2 steals per game. He is also stellar at the line, hitting 84.2 percent of his free throws.
How to make Miami vs. Duke picks
The model is leaning over on the total, projecting both teams combine for 141 points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Miami vs. Duke? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.
