When Tyreek Hill is on his game, he's a top-five Fantasy receiver with potential to be the studliest stud in the game. After what he did last year (21.1 PPR points per game), you already knew that. But when the speedster was banged up in 2019, he wasn't quite as good as his annual draft status would suggest (15.2 PPR points per game). The truth is that Hill is the most explosive receiver in the NFL thanks to his break-neck speed and his quarterback, Patrick Mahomes. So long as he's healthy, Hill will give your Fantasy team a real shot to win every week. A schedule that includes suspect secondaries in L.A., Las Vegas, New York, Philadelphia, Tennessee, Dallas and Cincinnati only makes his case stronger. That's why you'll consider him with a top-15 overall pick in every single draft you're in. Don't be shy to take him ahead of every other wideout in non-PPR formats, and pretty much every receiver except for Davante Adams in PPR.
The Chiefs have open competition for roles behind Hill at wide receiver, Herbie Teope of The Kansas City Star reports. It's possible Sammy Watkins' departure leads to Hill and Travis Kelce handling even larger target shares, but the Chiefs likely prefer that another receiver -- namely Mecole Hardman -- steps up to the challenge. In any case, Watkins was far from a target hog in his three years with Kansas City, averaging 5.9 in 34 regular-season games (he missed 14). The biggest thing for Hill is simply that he and QB Patrick Mahomes stay healthy, as the 27-year-old speedster has been a top-five receiver (both real life and fantasy) whenever that's happened.
Hill caught seven of 10 targets for 73 yards during Kansas City's 31-9 loss to the Buccaneers in Super Bowl LV. He also had one carry for five yards. Hill dropped 269 receiving yards and three scores when he last met the Buccaneers in Week 12 of the regular season, and he went over 100 yards in each of the Chiefs' last two postseason games, so holding him to just 73 yards on 10 targets should be considered a huge victory for Bucs' defensive coordinator Todd Bowles. The constant pressure that Patrick Mahomes faced while trying to survive without both starting tackles heavily impeded Hill's ability to operate as a deep threat, but the 26-year-old also dropped a potential touchdown in the first half, and his average catch (10.4 yards) was his lowest of the playoffs. The soon-to-be 27-year-old logged six 100-yard performances during the 2020 regular season, plus a career-high 15 touchdowns en route to 87 catches for 1,276 yards. A relatively quiet Super Bowl performance won't do anything to take away from his status as one of the unquestioned top fantasy wideouts come 2021.
Hill reeled in nine of 11 targets for 172 yards during Sunday's 38-24 win against the Bills in the AFC Championship Game. During Kansas City's divisional-round win against the Browns, Hill and Travis Kelce became the second set of teammates in Chiefs franchise history to each eclipse 100 receiving yards in a playoff game, joining Ed Podolak and Elmo Wright (1971). Both Hill and Kelce surpassed the century mark again Sunday, with Hill's 71-yard catch-and-run in the third quarter very nearly providing his first score of the postseason. The three-time All-Pro has totaled 17 playoff receptions for 282 yards heading into a Super Bowl matchup on Sunday, Feb. 7 against a Tampa Bay defense that conceded nine catches, 67 yards and a TD to Green Bay's Davante Adams in the NFC Championship Game.
Hill caught eight of 10 targets for 110 yards and added nine yards on three rushing attempts in Sunday's 22-17 win over the Browns in the AFC divisional round. Hill had 78 receiving yards before Patrick Mahomes' (concussion) third-quarter departure, then made a circus 23-yard catch on a Chad Henne pass in the fourth, pressing the ball against his thigh to secure possession as he went to the ground. Hill saved his most important play for last, coming open for a five-yard catch to pick up 4th-and-inches and allow Kansas City to run out the clock. While Hill's stock would take a hit if Mahomes is unable to play in next week's AFC Championship Game against the Bills, the speedster still has the big-play ability to make a major impact, even without his starting quarterback.
Hill (hamstring) doesn't appear on Kansas City's injury report in advance of Sunday's divisional-round game against the Browns. Hill didn't play Week 17 with Kansas City having already secured the top seed in the AFC. The team's ensuing bye week gave the playmaking wideout some added healing time for his hamstring, so he'll be ready to go for the team's postseason opener. Hill concluded the regular season with a career-high 17 touchdowns (15 receiving, two rushing) while accounting for 1,399 yards from scrimmage in 15 games.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|3||09/26||Los Angeles Chargers||7||20.25|
|6||10/17||@Washington Football Team||5||19.35|
|8||11/01||New York Giants||9||20.38|
|9||11/07||Green Bay Packers||6||19.56|
|10||11/14||@Las Vegas Raiders||23||24.25|
|14||12/12||Las Vegas Raiders||23||24.25|
|15||12/16||@Los Angeles Chargers||7||20.25|
Red Zone Trends
|3 Year Avg||120||77||1205||11||52||15.65||201|