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The Chicago Bears will try for their third straight victory against Seattle when they visit the Seahawks in Week 2 of the 2022 NFL preseason on Thursday. Chicago won the last two regular-season meetings between the teams, posting a 25-24 victory at Seattle in Week 16 last season and defeating the Seahawks 24-17 at home three years earlier. The Bears recorded a 19-14 victory over Kansas City last Saturday in their first exhibition game of 2022, while Seattle suffered a 32-25 loss at Pittsburgh.

Kickoff from Lumen Field in Seattle is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET. Seattle is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Seahawks vs. Bears odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is 39. Before making any Bears vs. Seahawks picks or NFL bets, be sure to check out the NFL predictions from SportsLine's Josh Nagel

Nagel is a Nevada-based handicapper with more than 20 years of experience in the sports wagering industry. SportsLine's assistant managing editor has covered the wagering industry on a variety of platforms and has won numerous sports handicapping contests. He has hit 56 percent of his NFL spread picks since the start of the 2017 season and has a documented 40-22 record on all SportsLine proposition-bet specials, which includes a 5-0-1 mark in the 2019 NFL conference championship games.

In addition, Nagel has gone 17-6 on his last 23 picks involving the Seahawks, returning $1,040. Anyone who has followed him is way up.

Now, Nagel has zeroed in on Bears vs. Seahawks and just locked in his NFL picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks and analysis. Here are the NFL odds and betting lines for Seahawks vs. Bears:

  • Seahawks vs. Bears spread: Seattle -3.5
  • Seahawks vs. Bears over/under: 39 points
  • Seahawks vs. Bears money line: Seattle -175, Chicago +150
  • SEA: Seahawks allowed 185 yards on the ground in their preseason opener
  • CHI: Bears recorded a 25-24 comeback victory at Seattle in Week 16 of the 2021 season
  • Seahawks vs. Bears picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Seattle Seahawks vs. Chicago Bears

Why the Seahawks can cover

Drew Lock's bid to replace Wilson as Seattle's No. 1 quarterback took a hit after he tested positive for COVID-19 this week and will miss Thursday's contest. That opens the door wider for Geno Smith, who hasn't held the starting job since his second season with the New York Jets in 2014. The 31-year-old veteran, who made three starts for the Seahawks last season while Wilson spent time on injured reserve, completed 10-of-15 pass attempts for 101 yards and ran for a touchdown against the Steelers last Saturday.

Smith hopes to have DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett as targets on Thursday after neither of Seattle's top two receivers played in the preseason opener. The Seahawks also were without Marquise Goodwin (hamstring), Freddie Swain (back) and Dee Eskridge (hamstring) in that contest, and Cody Thompson landed on injured reserve after injuring his shoulder against Pittsburgh. They added depth by acquiring J.J. Arcega-Whiteside from Philadelphia on Monday. A second-round draft pick in 2019, the 25-year-old had 16 catches for 290 yards and a TD in 40 games over three seasons with the Eagles.

Why the Bears can cover 

First-year coach Matt Eberflus plans to limit Chicago's starters to just 6-to-10 snaps since the team will have had just four days off between games. That could mean plenty of playing time for quarterbacks Trevor Siemian and Nathan Peterman, who saw action in the preseason opener after Justin Fields was taken out of the contest after three possessions. The 30-year-old Siemian, who started four games for New Orleans last season, completed 7-of-13 pass attempts for 89 yards and two touchdowns against the Chiefs last Saturday.

Peterman signed with the Bears in May after spending the last two campaigns with Las Vegas. The 28-year-old, who was selected by Buffalo in the fifth round of the 2017 NFL Draft, was 4-of-6 for 36 yards and ran for 13 more last weekend. Chicago hopes to get a look at a pair of rookies who missed the preseason opener with undisclosed injuries as wideout Velus Jones Jr. and cornerback Kyler Gordon, a Washington State native, returned to practice after being sidelined for more than a week. David Montgomery (undisclosed), who ran for 849 yards and seven TDs last season, also has been practicing and could make his preseason debut.

How to make Bears vs. Seahawks picks

Nagel has analyzed this matchup and while we can tell you he's leaning Under the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and who to back, at SportsLine.

Who wins Bears vs. Seahawks on Thursday? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread hit hard? Visit SportsLine now to see Josh Nagel's Seahawks vs. Bears picks, all from the NFL expert who's 17-6 on his last 23 picks involving Seattle, and find out.