When you're setting your NFL survivor pool picks, the key to winning each week is understanding the biggest traps and saving reliable teams for later in the year. Just last week, the Kansas City Chiefs were 11-point favorites over the Indianapolis Colts, but Indy pulled off an upset that knocked out thousands of players who rode Patrick Mahomes and company with their NFL knockout pool picks. This week, the Ravens are 11.5-point favorites over the winless Bengals, and the Cowboys are laying a touchdown against the Jets. Can you trust either team with your NFL pool picks? And what if your NFL survivor strategy already involved burning Dallas and New England? Luckily, the proven computer model at SportsLine has your back with its Week 6 NFL survivor picks and strategy.

Since its inception, this model is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks. On straight-up picks, it ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch for the third straight year and beat over 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it is way up. 

The model advanced with the Eagles, Ravens, Cowboys, Chargers and Patriots the first five weeks, and now it's revealing its optimal NFL knockout picks for Week 6 only at SportsLine.

We can tell you the model isn't going with the Chiefs, even though they're winning over 65 percent of simulations against the visiting Texans.

The Chiefs are coming off that disheartening loss to the Colts. Indianapolis loaded up against the run, got the Chiefs into clear passing downs and distances and put plenty of pressure on quarterback Patrick Mahomes, allowing just 36 yards rushing and sacking him four times.

Meanwhile, Indianapolis' offense attacked a Chiefs defense that ranks 30th against the run, piling up 180 yards on the ground and dominating the clock with over 37 minutes of possession. Even though the model expects Kansas City to bounce back, the possibility that the Texans could implement a similar attack makes Kansas City a risky pick that you should save for a surer spot later in the season.

There's a team that's winning more often than the Chiefs, and it's the top play for your NFL football pools. Picking this team also sets you up for the rest of the season. You need to see who it is before locking in any NFL survivor picks.

So which team is a must-back in your Week 6 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 6, all from the proven computer model that's ranked in the top 10 in straight-up picks three years running.