Fantasy Football Dynasty Rankings Update: Don't expect much from aging receivers like A.J. Green, T.Y. Hilton

There's been no shortage of discussion about aging running backs and I'm sure we'll talk about Mark Ingram plenty heading into 2020. After all, he's crossing that magical threshold into his 30s. Truth be told, there's nothing special about 30 other than our preference for round numbers. Still, we do have a preference for round numbers and it's not just running backs where age matters.

In the past 20 years, 12 wide receivers have posted multiple top-12 seasons after their 30th birthday. And this not a trend that modern medicine seems to be helping.

This used to happen more often. Number of top-12 seasons by WRs age 30 or older
2000-2004 17
2005-2009 17
2010-2014 10
2015-2019 9
— Heath Cummings (@heathcummingssr) January 14, 2020

In 2019, Julian Edelman and Julio Jones were the only receivers in the top 12 on the wrong side of 30. In fact, they were the only 30-plus receivers in the top 30! Jones certainly fell in my latest Dynasty rankings, though I still understand that a "win-now" squad may view him as a top-10 option. Edelman has already been fully discounted for his age and will fall even more if Tom Brady leaves. But there are several other guys who are more interesting.

T.Y. Hilton and A.J. Green both battled injuries in 2019 and are now both over 30. While I don't think they're necessarily done as starting options, it's increasingly unlikely they'll ever reach their peak performance again. This seems especially true for Green, who has indicated he won't participate in camp if the Bengals tag him with the franchise tag. Shortly after the Bengals draft, Joe Burrow may be the final sell-high window for the soon-to-be 32-year-old receiver.

Adam Thielen, John Brown, Alshon Jeffery and Marvin Jones are four more receivers who will be 30 years old when the 2020 season starts. Of those, Brown is the only one whose value is on the upswing, and I would not be hesitant to try to capitalize on that. Thielen could likely still fetch a fair price in most Dynasty leagues and I'd certainly be shopping him to see what that price is. The Vikings offensive philosophy makes me nervous about everyone in the passing game.

Here are the rest of the Dynasty risers and fallers from the 2019 season:

Dynasty WR Risers and Fallers

Player	PREV	RANK
Chris Godwin	20	8
DK Metcalf	29	12
A.J. Brown	46	13
Courtland Sutton	50	15
D.J. Chark	75	23
Terry McLaurin	76	25
Michael Gallup	62	27
DeVante Parker	74	37
Brandin Cooks	11	26
Robby Anderson	33	43
Dede Westbrook	28	45
Corey Davis	26	46
Sammy Watkins	36	50
Dante Pettis	31	77

Here are my complete Dynasty wide receiver rankings. Expect another update in February.

Prev	Rank	Player	Team	Age
3	1	Michael Thomas	NO	27
1	2	DeAndre Hopkins	HOU	28
6	3	Mike Evans	TB	27
5	4	Davante Adams	GB	27
8	5	Tyreek Hill	KC	26
13	6	D.J. Moore	CAR	23
2	7	JuJu Smith-Schuster	PIT	23
20	8	Chris Godwin	TB	24
12	9	Amari Cooper	DAL	26
14	10	Kenny Golladay	DET	26
4	11	Odell Beckham Jr.	CLE	27
29	12	D.K. Metcalf	SEA	22
46	13	A.J. Brown	TEN	23
10	14	Stefon Diggs	MIN	26
50	15	Courtland Sutton	DEN	24
7	16	Julio Jones	ATL	31
9	17	Keenan Allen	LAC	28
18	18	Tyler Boyd	CIN	25
19	19	Calvin Ridley	ATL	25
35	20	Allen Robinson	CHI	27
22	21	Cooper Kupp	LAR	27
24	22	Tyler Lockett	SEA	27
75	23	D.J. Chark	JAC	23
25	24	Christian Kirk	ARI	23
76	25	Terry McLaurin	WAS	24
11	26	Brandin Cooks	LAR	26
62	27	Michael Gallup	DAL	24
37	28	Jarvis Landry	CLE	27
21	29	Robert Woods	LAR	28
39	30	Deebo Samuel	SF	24
42	31	Marquise Brown	BAL	23
27	32	Mike Williams	LAC	25
23	33	T.Y. Hilton	IND	30
15	34	Adam Thielen	MIN	30
17	35	A.J. Green	CIN	32
NR	36	Darius Slayton	NYG	23
74	37	Devante Parker	MIA	27
32	38	Sterling Shepard	NYG	27
51	39	Anthony Miller	CHI	25
38	40	Will Fuller	HOU	26
41	41	Curtis Samuel	CAR	24
30	42	N'Keal Harry	NE	22
33	43	Robby Anderson	NYJ	27
48	44	John Brown	BUF	30
28	45	Dede Westbrook	JAC	26
26	46	Corey Davis	TEN	25
80	47	Preston Williams	MIA	23
58	48	Mecole Hardman	KC	22
44	49	Julian Edelman	NE	34
36	50	Sammy Watkins	KC	27
NR	51	John Ross	CIN	25
40	52	Alshon Jeffery	PHI	30
43	53	Miles Boykin	BAL	23
78	54	Hunter Renfrow	OAK	24
45	55	Tyrell Williams	OAK	28
47	56	Marvin Jones	DET	30
53	57	James Washington	PIT	24
64	58	Diontae Johnson	PIT	24
NR	59	Breshad Perriman	TB	26
55	60	Parris Campbell	IND	23
57	61	Andy Isabella	ARI	23
61	62	J.J. Arcega-Whiteside	PHI	23
NR	63	Greg Ward	PHI	25
68	64	Jamison Crowder	NYJ	27
49	65	Marquez Valdes-Scantling	GB	25
60	66	Golden Tate	NYG	32
59	67	Emmanuel Sanders	SF	33
72	68	DeSean Jackson	PHI	33
69	69	Larry Fitzgerald	ARI	37
71	70	Kenny Stills	HOU	28
79	71	Kelvin Harmon	WAS	23
77	72	Trey Quinn	WAS	24
56	73	Geronimo Allison	GB	26
70	74	Tre'Quan Smith	NO	24
65	75	Hakeem Butler	ARI	24
NR	76	Jalen Hurd	SF	24
31	77	Dante Pettis	SF	24
67	78	Zay Jones	OAK	25
52	79	Keke Coutee	HOU	23
63	80	DaeSean Hamilton	DEN	25