If you drafted Justin Jefferson, Ja'Marr Chase, or Cooper Kupp you probably thought you would be free of lineup decisions in at least one position this season. And honesty, after the way Adam Thielen played the first two months of the season, he gave off that same vibe. As we prepare for the Fantasy playoffs that doesn't appear to be the case.

None of the above are must-sit players (well besides Jefferson since he has a bye in Week 13) but none are surefire starters either. For me, Kupp is the riskiest. He has two good games all season and is playing through an ankle injury that was clearly hampering him on Sunday. He projects outside of my top-20 for Week 13 and if we see another single-digit performance, he may not be a top-30 wide receiver in Week 14.

While most people would expect Thielen to be the guy I'm most concerned about, I'm giving him at least one more week with a new regime. He's healthy and the QB has given him all of these targets is healthy, so I'm mostly ignoring last week's blip.

The guy I am surprisingly concerned about is Chase. No, I'm not benching him this week (unless you happen to have three of my top-10 wide receivers), but I'm watching him very closely. He only caught four passes in his first full game with Jake Browning and two of those bounced off of someone else's hands first. As bad as things were for Browning and Bengals in Week 12, they could have been much worse.

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As for Jefferson, I don't expect him to be himself, but I will view him as a must-start in Week 14 when he returns and likely in Week 15 no matter what happens in that game. Joshua Dobbs was awful on Monday night, but he's a better passer than Bryce Young or Browning right now. Once Jefferson is healthy, he's in my lineup.

  • Heath's Week 13 Previews: QB | RB | WR | TE

You can find more in my weekly projections over at SportsLine. Now here is the rest of the Week 13 WR Preview:

Week 13 WR Preview

WR Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play Week 13 at this time. Here's what it means:

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Chris Olave WR
NO New Orleans • #12
Age: 23 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Rashid Shaheed is also expected to be out. A.T. Perry could be the teams No. 1 wide receiver. Both Juwan Johnson and Taysom Hill are top-12 tight ends.
Demario Douglas WR
NE New England • #81
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
DeVante Parker would be the Patriots No. 1 wide receiver if Douglas is out.
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
  • 149.9 -- Keenan Allen is on pace for 149.9 receptions this season. The NFL record is 149. The Chargers may not have much else to play for down the stretch.
  • 21 -- Adam Thielen saw 21 targets in the two weeks before he saw three in Week 12. I'm going back to Thielen for at least one more game.
  • 6.8 -- Cooper Kupp has not scored more than 6.8 PPR Fantasy points in a game since Week 6.
  • 31.3% -- Rashee Rice's 31.3% target share was the highest of his career. He's trending towards must-start.
  • 5 -- Jayden Reed has five rush attempts in his last two games. That gives him a little extra floor and upside.
  • 2.58 -- Nico Collins' 2.58 YPRR is seventh amongst wide receivers, trailing only Tyreek Hill, Brandon Aiyuk, Justin Jefferson, CeeDee Lamb, A.J. Brown, and Amon-Ra St. Brown.
  • 48% -- Calvin Ridley has been targeted on 48% of Trevor Lawrence's throws into the end zone. Only Courtland Sutton has a higher rate.
WR Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
Jaylen Waddle WR
MIA Miami • #17
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ WAS MIA -9.5 O/U 50

OPP VS WR

12th

PROJ PTS

15.1

WR RNK

7th

YTD Stats

REC

52

TAR

74

REYDS

691

TD

3

FPTS/G

14
Tyler Lockett WR
SEA Seattle • #16
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ DAL DAL -9 O/U 46.5

OPP VS WR

22nd

PROJ PTS

10.6

WR RNK

28th

YTD Stats

REC

54

TAR

79

REYDS

575

TD

4

FPTS/G

12.5
Christian Watson WR
GB Green Bay • #9
Age: 25 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs KC KC -6.5 O/U 42

OPP VS WR

11th

PROJ PTS

8.4

WR RNK

34th

YTD Stats

REC

21

TAR

44

REYDS

351

TD

3

FPTS/G

9.3
Drake London WR
ATL Atlanta • #5
Age: 22 • Experience: 3 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NYJ ATL -2.5 O/U 34

OPP VS WR

32nd

PROJ PTS

10

WR RNK

26th

YTD Stats

REC

45

TAR

67

REYDS

565

TD

2

FPTS/G

11.4
Adam Thielen WR
CAR Carolina • #19
Age: 33 • Experience: 11 year

Weekly Breakdown

@ TB TB -5.5 O/U 37

OPP VS WR

21st

PROJ PTS

13.8

WR RNK

20th

YTD Stats

REC

77

TAR

100

REYDS

728

TD

4

FPTS/G

16
WR Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 13 Adds (WR Preview)
Demario Douglas WR
NE New England • #81
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs LAC LAC -5.5 O/U 40.5

OPP VS WR

31st

WR RNK

NR

ROSTERED

58%

YTD Stats

REC

36

TAR

55

REYDS

410

TD

0

FPTS/G

7.8
If Douglas is cleared to play in Week 13 I will rank him as a borderline top-25 wide receiver this week and rest of season. If he's not, DeVante Parker is pretty interesting in deeper leagues. Douglas' 27% TPRR ranks top-10 on the season.
Curtis Samuel WR
BUF Buffalo • #4
Age: 27 • Experience: 8 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs MIA MIA -9.5 O/U 49.5

OPP VS WR

32nd

WR RNK

35th

ROSTERED

53%

YTD Stats

REC

47

TAR

63

REYDS

443

TD

3

FPTS/G

10.1
There is no clear pecking order for the Commanders, but with a matchup against the high-flying Dolphins there may be enough targets for everyone to eat. Samuel has five games this season with at least six targets. He's scored at least 12 PPR Fantasy points in three of them and just hung 25 on the Cowboys.
Jonathan Mingo WR
CAR Carolina • #15
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ TB TB -5.5 O/U 37

OPP VS WR

22nd

WR RNK

46th

ROSTERED

15%

YTD Stats

REC

28

TAR

57

REYDS

286

TD

0

FPTS/G

5.7
Mingo has seen 19 targets in his last three games and has a very good matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Expect somewhere around 10 PPR Fantasy points with an upside around 16.
Stashes (WR Preview)
Odell Beckham Jr. WR
MIA Miami • #3
Age: 31 • Experience: 10 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs LAR BAL -7.5 O/U 44.5

OPP VS WR

27th

WR RNK

NR

ROSTERED

56%
Beckham's 41.4% TPRR leads the NFL and ranks sixth in the NFL over the past two weeks. If the bye week allowed him to get healthy he could be a full-time player and a must-start receiver in the Fantasy playoffs.
WR Preview
DFS Plays
Top DFS Play (WR Preview)
Projections powered by Sportsline
Keenan Allen WR
CHI Chicago • #13
Age: 32 • Experience: 12 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

@ NE LAC -6 O/U 40.5

OPP VS WR

4th

PROJ PTS

18.3

WR RNK

3rd

YTD Stats

REC

97

TAR

129

REYDS

1117

TD

8

FPTS/G

23.4
Tyreek Hill is the only wide receiver I have projected to score more FanDuel points than Allen this week and Hill is $1,000 more. There is no safer cash game in Fantasy right now as Allen has three straight games with at least 10 targets and at least 17 FanDuel points. He's scored in the single digits just once all season.
Contrarian DFS Play (WR Preview)
Projections powered by Sportsline
Nico Collins WR
HOU Houston • #12
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.

Weekly Breakdown

vs DEN HOU -3.5 O/U 47

OPP VS WR

8th

PROJ PTS

14

WR RNK

10th

YTD Stats

REC

50

TAR

73

REYDS

800

TD

5

FPTS/G

16
Collins was a great play last week because his teammate Tank Dell was so much more popular. This week it's because he's nearly the same price as Jaylen Waddle, who will be a staple due to a great matchup with Washington. The upside and floor is similar with these two players, but the roster rate will strongly favor Waddle due to the matchup and pedigree.
WR Preview
Heath's Projections

My full set of Week 13 Fantasy Football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 13. Projected stats for all starting quarterbacks are available at Sportsline.