Kyle Tucker USATSI Houston Astros
USATSI

The New York Yankees look to bounce back from a devastating loss and avoid falling further back in the playoff race when they visit the MLB-best Atlanta Braves for the opener of a three-game set on Monday (7:20 p.m. ET) at Truist Park. New York (60-58) dropped an 8-7 decision at Miami on Sunday, allowing five runs in the ninth inning as it squandered a 7-1 lead to fall to 1-8-3 in series since the beginning of July. The Yankees are five games out of the third wild-card spot in the American League and last in the AL East, 13 games behind Baltimore. The Braves (75-42) remained 11 games ahead of Philadelphia in the NL East after Sunday's loss to the New York Mets.

On Monday, the Yankees' Clarke Schmidt (8-6, 4.23 ERA) takes the mound opposite Atlanta's Max Fried (3-1, 2.50). The Braves are -199 favorites (risk $199 to win $100) while the Yankees are +166 underdogs, per SportsLine consensus. The over/under for total runs scored is 9, and the game is one of nine on the MLB schedule for Monday evening. Elsewhere, the Tampa Bay Rays (-136) visit the San Francisco Giants in a battle of wild-card hopefuls, and the San Diego Padres (-143) host the Baltimore Orioles. Before making any MLB picks or parlays, be sure to check out the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It went 331-285 on top-rated MLB money-line picks (+357) over the past two seasons. It entered Week 21 of the 2023 MLB season 61-47 on all top-rated MLB picks this season and has excelled on top-rated run-line picks, going 12-4 (+468). Anybody following the model has seen big returns.

For Monday, the model has locked in four confident MLB best bets for games that begin at 6:40 p.m. ET or later. If you successfully parlay the picks, you'd be looking at a payout of almost 15-1. You can see the model's MLB picks only at SportsLine

Top MLB picks today

After simulating every game on Monday 10,000 times, the model is picking the Padres (-143) to defeat the Orioles. Baltimore has not had an easy time since winning seven of eight games from July 30-Aug. 6. The Orioles are 3-3 since that surge and have won their last two contests, but both of those victories came in extra innings, and the other was a 5-4 triumph over Houston in which the Astros stranded the go-ahead run at second base in the ninth inning.

The Padres have lost six of their last seven contests after squandering a late two-run lead in a 5-4 setback at Arizona on Sunday. But a lineup that is fourth in the NL with 150 home runs and includes Fernando Tatis Jr., Manny Machado, Juan Soto and Xander Bogaerts is capable of erupting at any time. Gary Sanchez has belted 15 homers in 56 games since being claimed off waivers from the Mets in late May, and two-time All-Star Jake Cronenworth has been on fire of late at the plate after a rough first 3.5 months this season, going 23-for-60 (.383) over his last 15 contests. See the model's top MLB picks here.

How to make Monday MLB parlays

The model also locked in three other best bets for Monday. You can see the model's MLB best bets and parlay only at SportsLine.

What MLB picks should you target for a payout of almost 15-1? Visit SportsLine now to see the MLB best bets from an advanced model that is 61-47 on all top-rated MLB picks this season, and find out.