It's fun to keep track of the Average Draft Position data on CBS Sports, and it's something I continue to study every day. We monitor players rising and falling, and you can learn plenty about the guys who are gaining and losing momentum.
The best thing is that as every day turns on the calendar in August, more drafts are happening. And the data keeps changing. So here we are.
ADP is a good tool to study to see how you want to build your team for this season. Let's take a look at what continues to change as real drafts are going on.
ADP Review
Risers and Fallers
QB Riser
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Stafford was QB19 when we first started looking at ADP at the beginning of August, but now he's up to QB15 at No. 114.1 overall. I like Stafford as a top 12 quarterback, so this is still a value pick to get him in this spot. He was a top-three quarterback in points per game in 2019 (25.4) before missing the final eight outings with a back injury, but he's 100 percent now. He's a solid starter in all leagues that you're getting at a discounted price.
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Other quarterback risers: Jared Goff (up to QB13), Daniel Jones (up to QB16), Ben Roethlisberger (up to QB18)
QB Faller
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I had Allen in this spot last week, and I'm using him again because he went from QB7 at No. 56.7 overall to now QB9 at No. 64.1 overall. I don't understand that, and he's now behind Tom Brady and Drew Brees. I'd rather have Allen, who should improve as a passer in 2020 and gives you plenty of upside with his rushing. He's a breakout quarterback this season, and if he continues to slide then consider it a good thing if you plan to target him in your leagues.
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Other quarterback fallers: Baker Mayfield (down to QB17), Joe Burrow (down to QB19), Kirk Cousins (down to QB22)
RB Risers
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Edmonds is a lottery ticket, but he's also someone who has the chance to be a potential flex option in deeper leagues. Kenyan Drake is the starter for the Cardinals, but Kliff Kingsbury seems like he wants to use Edmonds as more than just a backup. And should Drake miss any time due to injury, we could see Edmonds in a starring role. He's up to RB51 at No. 146.8 overall, but I would draft Edmonds in Round 9 or 10 in all leagues.
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Jones is now being drafted ahead of teammate Ke'Shawn Vaughn, which is the right move, and Jones' ADP is at No. 73.5 overall as RB30. I would draft Jones in Round 6 in all leagues, and he should be Tampa Bay's best running back this season, even with the addition of LeSean McCoy. Jones could be limited in the passing game, but he's the Buccaneers' best bet to lead the team in rushing yards and work at the goal line. I like him better in non-PPR leagues compared to 0.5 PPR or PPR, but Jones has the chance to be a low-end starter in all formats this year.
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I hope the Washington Football Team gives Love the chance for a prominent role along with Antonio Gibson instead of sticking with Adrian Peterson, who is 35. Love is coming back from a torn ACL suffered at Stanford in 2018, and he didn't play as a rookie last year. But he should open the season as the No. 2 running back behind Peterson, and hopefully he gets consistent playing time sooner rather than later in 2020, while Gibson is expected to play on passing downs.
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Other running backs risers: Clyde Edwards-Helaire (up to RB7), Ronald Jones (up to RB27), Phillip Lindsay (up to RB38)
RB Fallers
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Gordon is down to RB19 at No. 39.6 overall, and he might continue to slip. He's dealing with a rib injury, which is considered minor, but he's also looking like someone in a potential 50-50 timeshare with Phillip Lindsay. We'll see how the Broncos plan to divy up touches with Gordon and Lindsay, but Gordon might not produce like a top 20 running back this season.
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I love Dobbins as a talent, but he's not expected to have a big workload as long as Mark Ingram is healthy. So if you want to stash Dobbins as a lottery ticket who could get some work, then that's fine. But it might be hard to justify doing that as RB31 at No. 89.4 overall. I'd only draft Dobbins in Round 8 in non-PPR leagues and Round 9 at the earliest in PPR.
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Kelley is down to RB57 at No. 162.1 overall, but I expect that to change. It was reported earlier last week that Justin Jackson was the leading candidate as the No. 2 running back for the Chargers, but Kelley seems to have moved ahead of Jackson in that competition behind Austin Ekeler. I have touted Kelley as a sleeper since the NFL Draft, and I expect him to win this battle. He's a steal if he stays at this ADP.
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Other running back fallers: Le'Veon Bell (down to RB16), Leonard Fournette (down to RB20), Sony Michel (down to RB42)
WR Risers
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I've actually moved Hilton down a couple of spots in my rankings, but I guess he's rising to WR21 at No. 60.3 overall following his return from the hamstring injury that kept him out for the start of training camp. I don't mind Hilton in Round 6, but I would rather have several guys going after him, including DK Metcalf, Courtland Sutton, Terry McLaurin, Stefon Diggs and D.J. Chark.
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I've been a Crowder fan for a long time, and he should be the No. 1 receiver for the Jets this year. He also should lead the team in receptions by a wide margin over guys like Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims. He's up to WR42 at No. 118.4 overall, and that's fine for him in non-PPR leagues. But in PPR, I would draft Crowder as early as Round 8, and he's a definite starting option in three-receiver leagues.
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I've been excited with every positive report we've gotten from Williams in training camp since he's coming off last year's torn ACL. And on Saturday, the Palm Beach Post reported that Williams continues to turn heads in practice. He's going to start opposite DeVante Parker, and Williams could be better than Parker this season. He's a steal as WR56 at No. 140.1 overall, but I expect his ADP to keep rising over the next three weeks.
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Other wide receiver risers: Christian Kirk (up to WR41), John Brown (up to WR47), DeSean Jackson (up to WR60)
WR Fallers
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Green has been out of practice for a week now with his hamstring injury, so it's understandable why he's dropping. He's now down to WR28 at No. 80.5 overall, and we'll see if he continues to fall as drafts heat up toward the end of the month. I think this is a good spot for Green, who we know is injury prone, but if he's ready for Week 1, he can still be a No. 3 Fantasy receiver with upside.
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By next week we're going to be talking about Lamb as a wide receiver on the rise. He continues to make plenty of plays in training camp, and he's worth drafting at the spot he's currently at as WR37 at No. 108.7 overall. There will be some struggles for the rookie receiver, especially sharing the field with Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Ezekiel Elliott and Blake Jarwin. But Lamb could be the best rookie receiver this season in the NFL, and he's not bad as a No. 3 Fantasy receiver this year.
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I'm fascinated to see how the Giants receivers will perform this year. Slayton has the highest ceiling if he hits, but he could struggle for targets with Sterling Shepard, Golden Tate, Saquon Barkley and Evan Engram all healthy. I like Slayton over Shepard and Tate in non-PPR, but I'll take Shepard first in PPR, followed by Slayton. He's down to WR43 at No. 119.5 overall, and I'd be happy to get him in that range in any format.
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Other wide receiver fallers: Deebo Samuel (down to WR46), Justin Jefferson (down to WR51), Allen Lazard (down to WR54)
TE Riser
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Jarwin is up to TE18 at No. 150.9 overall, and he's in a good spot this season as the starter for the Cowboys. With Jason Witten gone, there are 83 tight end targets available in Dallas, and Jarwin had 41 targets himself in 2019. If he can manage to get at or above 100 targets this season, he could be a top-10 Fantasy tight end in 2020. He's well worth the investment at this spot in all leagues.
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Other tight end risers: Hayden Hurst (up to TE11), Jonnu Smith (up to TE14), Eric Ebron (up to TE17).
TE Faller
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I'm not quite sure what to make of Hockenson this season. He's extremely talented and in a great spot to succeed with the Lions. But he's still not over the ankle injury that he dealt with in 2019, which is a concern. That said, he's reportedly been making plenty of plays in training camp, so he's still worth investing in as a high-end No. 2 Fantasy tight end in all leagues. And he's a good price right now based on his ADP as TE15 at No. 137.9 overall.
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Other tight end fallers: Evan Engram (down to TE7), Hunter Henry (down to TE8), Dallas Goedert (down to TE20)
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