2020 AFC Championship Game odds, line: Titans vs. Chiefs picks, optimal predictions from expert who's 22-11

The Titans will try to punctuate a stunning turnaround with a trip to the 2020 Super Bowl when Tennessee visits Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs in the 2020 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. The Titans are 10-7 against the spread this season, while Kansas City is 11-5. The under has hit in eight games for each team this season. Running back Derrick Henry has rushed for 377 yards in the NFL Playoffs 2020 and the Titans have upset defending champion New England and the league's top team, Baltimore.

Kickoff is set for 3:05 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a seven-point favorite in the latest Titans vs. Chiefs odds, while the over-under for total points scored has dropped steadily ahead of kickoff and now stands at 51.5. Before making any Chiefs vs. Titans picks, check out the NFL predictions from SportsLine expert Mike Tierney.

A veteran sportswriter, whose work has appeared in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered football of all levels for decades. He has been SportsLine's most profitable NFL handicapper this season, posting a record of 62-35 in his last 97 NFL picks, returning $2,351 to $100 players. Tierney also has had a sharp eye for the trajectories of these clubs, posting a stunning record of 22-11 on his last 33 spread picks involving the Titans or Chiefs.

In the wild-card round of the 2020 NFL Playoffs, Tierney told SportsLine members that the defending champion New England Patriots' elite defense would have trouble with Titans running back Derrick Henry. And it certainly did, as the workhorse ran for 182 yards as Tennessee (+4.5) pulled off the 20-13 upset. Anyone who has followed Tierney is way up.

Now, he has locked in on Titans vs. Chiefs from every angle and released another confident point-spread selection. You can go to SportsLine to see it. Here are several NFL lines for Chiefs vs. Titans in the AFC Championship Game 2020:

  • Titans vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -7
  • Titans vs. Chiefs over-under: 51.5 points
  • Titans vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -337, Tennessee +271
  • TEN: RB Derrick Henry has rushed for 1,273 yards in his last eight games.
  • KC: QB Patrick Mahomes has topped 250 passing yards 11 times in his 14 full games.

Why the Chiefs can cover 

The Chiefs are 9-3-1 against the spread in conference games this season, and Mahomes also ran for 53 yards on Sunday to become the first player to throw for more than 300 yards with five touchdowns and at least 50 rushing yards in a playoff game. He threw for 446 yards and three TDs in a loss to Tennessee in Week 10, with Kelce catching seven balls for 75 yards. The All-Pro tight end had 97 catches for 1,229 yards in the regular season, averaging 12.7 per catch. 

Mahomes also has big-time receivers, including Sammy Watkins, who had 76 yards on just two catches against Houston. Tyreek Hill had 11 for 157 yards in the loss to the Titans, while Mecole Hardman had a 63-yard touchdown catch in that game. Running back Damien Williams also had three touchdowns last Sunday and had 30 receptions and 711 total yards in the regular season. On defense, Chris Jones, who led the team with nine sacks, is questionable with a calf injury.

Why the Titans can cover 

Tennessee has covered the spread in its past five road games, and Henry has been the catalyst. He had a 66-yard run on his way to 195 and threw a touchdown pass in the 28-12 win against the Ravens. The offense has averaged 29.3 points in its last 12 games with Tannehill starting, and he threw for 2,742 yards and 26 touchdowns in the regular season. Receiver A.J. Brown (20.2 yards per catch) and tight end Jonnu Smith (43 catches for 601 yards) have been prime targets.

The Titans have covered the spread in five of their past six visits to Arrowhead Stadium, and the defense is strong at linebacker and in the secondary. Rashaan Evans had 111 tackles and 2.5 sacks and scored on a fumble return from his inside linebacker spot, while Harold Landry led the team with nine sacks in the regular season from his outside spot. Cornerback Logan Ryan and safeties Kenny Vaccaro and Kevin Byard have an interception in the 2020 NFL Playoffs.

How to make Titans vs. Chiefs picks 

We can tell you Tierney is leaning under on the total, but he also says a critical x-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back. He's sharing what it is, and which side to back, only at SportsLine.

Who wins Titans vs. Chiefs in the NFL Playoffs 2020? And what critical x-factor makes one side a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chiefs vs. Titans spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the expert who's 22-11 in his last 33 picks involving these teams.

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