The Buffalo Bills were on a roll after losing their season-opener against the Pittsburgh Steelers, winning five of six games, with each victory by 15 or more points. However, they struggled mightily last week, failing to score a touchdown while dropping a 9-6 decision on the road against the Jacksonville Jaguars, who entered the contest with a 1-6 record. Buffalo will hope to get back on track and avoid a third straight road loss when it visits the AFC East-rival New York Jets on Sunday. The Bills are 13-point favorites in the latest Week 10 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and many will jump on them with their NFL survivor pool picks.
Other favorites that could attract attention for NFL knockout pool picks include the Indianapolis Colts (-10.5 against the Jacksonville Jaguars), Arizona Cardinals (-10.5 against the Carolina Panthers) and Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-9.5 against the Washington Football Team). Before making any Week 10 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,600 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. The model enters Week 10 of the 2021 season on an incredible 128-88 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
It also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format, as the team winning the most model simulations each week is 8-1. The 49ers in Week 1 (75 percent), Buccaneers in Week 2 (79 percent), Cardinals and Ravens in Week 3 (79 percent), Bills in Week 4 (87 percent), Patriots in Week 5 (78 percent), Colts in Week 6 (81 percent), Cards in Week 7 (84 percent) and Rams in Week 8 (91 percent) were winners for survivor contestants who used those teams over the first eight weeks. You can only see who the model is backing in Week 10 at SportsLine.
Top Week 10 NFL survivor pool predictions
For Week 10, the model is shying away from the Dallas Cowboys against the Atlanta Falcons. A week after defeating the Minnesota Vikings with Cooper Rush filling in at quarterback, Dallas came up with an uninspired effort against the Denver Broncos in Dak Prescott's return from a calf injury. The Cowboys were outgained 407-290 in total yards and 190-78 on the ground en route to a 30-16 loss in which it trailed 30-0 late in the fourth quarter.
Prescott did not resemble the quarterback who threw for 1,813 yards and 16 touchdowns over his first six games before getting injured, completing only 8-of-23 pass attempts for 102 yards before recording 130 yards and a pair of TDs on Dallas' final two drives of the game. The Cowboys' ground attack also was sub-par, as Ezekiel Elliott was limited to 51 yards on 10 carries due to a knee injury he suffered early in the contest. Dallas still is 3-1 at home, but the Falcons have won three of four and are too dangerous for the model's projections this week.
How to make Week 10 NFL survivor pool picks
Instead, the model is backing a team that's thriving on the road this season. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 11, it also will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the Week 10 play over at SportsLine.
Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 10 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 10, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.