NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, bets, predictions for Week 11, 2023: Model loving Panthers, Steelers

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Dolphins vs. Raiders has Miami as a 14-point favorite in the Week 11 NFL odds despite Las Vegas winning both of its games under interim head coach Antonio Pierce. The Dolphins are coming off a bye, and coincidentally, they were also 14-point favorites off their bye last season. They ended up covering by a point in a 30-15 victory over the Texans. Meanwhile, the Rams are favored by two points over the Seahawks in the NFL spreads. Matthew Stafford returns for L.A. after sitting last game, and the Rams won on the road as underdogs in Week 1. Which teams should you back in your Week 11 NFL bets for these games and all others? All of the Week 11 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL betting advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 11 NFL picks now.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 11 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 11 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL matchup. Head here to see every pick.

Top Week 11 NFL predictions

We can tell you one of the model's strongest Week 11 NFL picks is that the Panthers (+10.5) cover at home against the Cowboys. Dallas being a double-digit road favorite may cause angst considering the lack of success teams in these situations have had this year. Road favorites of seven-plus points are winless in nine games against the spread this season (0-7-2). That includes the Cowboys being 11-point road favorites at Arizona in Week 3, only to lose outright in the largest spread upset in 2023.

Carolina has covered in two of its last three games after starting the year winless ATS across its first six games. Bryce Young is discernibly better at home, with a completion percentage 11 points higher than on the road and with a passer rating that's 10 points higher. The Carolina defense has also played better than expected, as it ranks among the top 10 in total yards allowed, passing yards allowed and third-down percentage. The model doesn't foresee this as a double-digit game as it has Carolina (+10.5) covering well over 50% of the time. See which other teams to pick here.

Another one of its Week 11 NFL predictions: The Steelers (+2) stay within the spread on the road when they take on the Browns. The Browns remain in the NFL playoff picture, but they'll have to go forward without starting quarterback Deshaun Watson, who will miss the rest of the season with a shoulder injury. Former Cardinals quarterback Joshua Dobbs is the next man up at QB for Cleveland.

That downgrade under center has led to the line falling from -4 to -2 for Cleveland. SportsLine's model has factored in that Pittsburgh is undefeated in one-score games this season and has thrived with a 6-3 spread record, including a 4-2 mark as the underdog. The model projects that this will be a low-scoring game and Pittsburgh running back duo of Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren combine for almost 100 yards. That helps keep this game competitive as Pittsburgh stays within the number in well over 50% of simulations. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 11 NFL picks

The model has also made the call on who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 11 NFL schedule and also just revealed three coveted A-rated picks. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence, and which A-rated picks can you place right now? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned well over $7,000 since its inception, and find out.