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The first week of preseason action ended Sunday night with Vance McDonald and Mike Davis shining for the 49ers, and Lamar Miller quietly looking like a star for the Texans. We also saw an inconsistent performance from Blaine Gabbert, who still appears the favorite to start at quarterback for San Francisco ahead of Colin Kaepernick.

It feels like we're in the middle of the season with an abundance of analysis on players in meaningless games. But this is just another step in the process of breaking down players to prepare you for Draft Day.

With that in mind, let's look at some preseason Week 1 winners and losers and how it relates to Average Draft Position.

Winners

  • Ryan Mathews. He played, he didn't get hurt and scored a touchdown against Tampa Bay. That should keep his ADP around Round 4 in the majority of leagues.
  • Big plays from receivers: Sterling Shepard, Tyler Boyd, Terrelle Pryor and Charles Johnson all made at least one big catch this week. Shepard is a rising star in Round 8 based on ADP, but Boyd, Pryor and Johnson could become options in deeper formats, especially Boyd.
  • Michael Thomas. He had a strong training camp and a solid NFL debut with four catches for 67 yards against the Patriots. He's a steal if his ADP stays in the Round 11 range.
  • Solid RB duos: Chris Ivory and T.J. Yeldon for the Jaguars and DeMarco Murray and Derrick Henry for the Titans. The starters held serve with Ivory (six carries for 26 yards and a touchdown and one catch for 4 yards against the Jets) and Murray (six carries for 93 yards and a touchdown against the Chargers) both playing well, but don't overlook the backups as Yeldon (four carries for 26 yards and one catch for 8 yards) and Henry (10 carries for 74 yards and a touchdown) also shined. Henry is starting to justify his Round 7 ADP.
  • Rashad Jennings. He started for the Giants as expected against the Dolphins and had three carries for 11 yards and a touchdown. If he stays in the Round 8 range based on his ADP, you should draft him whenever possible.
  • Melvin Gordon. Same as the note for Mathews. He played, didn't get hurt and scored a touchdown against Tennessee on a 44-yard reception. He also added three carries for 12 yards, and I'm excited for him as a bounce-back player in Round 5.
  • Backups shining: Christine Michael, Spencer Ware, Terrance West and Benny Cunningham. Michael (Thomas Rawls in Seattle) and Ware (Jamaal Charles in Kansas City) are starting to establish themselves as handcuffs in prominent situations, and West could be carving out a role in a crowded backfield in Baltimore. And every owner who invests in Todd Gurley in Round 1 might want to take a flier on Cunningham as well. Michael, who currently doesn't have an ADP, is about to see a tremendous rise.

Losers

  • Matt Jones. His tenure as the Redskins starter didn't begin on a positive note with two carries for 1 yard against Atlanta. Luckily for him, Keith Marshall struggled also with five carries for minus-1 yard and two catches for 10 yards. Jones is being drafted in Round 4 based on ADP, which could be too high.
  • Sammie Coates. He's had a lot of hype in training camp, but he fell flat on his face in the preseason opener against Detroit with three catches for 18 yards and two fumbles (one lost). His ADP is Round 15 and might not rise much if this type of play continues.
  • Jay Ajayi. Arian Foster didn't play against the Giants, and Ajayi was unimpressive as the starter with two carries for 6 yards and nearly caused an interception on a tipped pass. The entire Dolphins offense struggled, but Ajayi's stock will continue to drop from his current spot in Round 5.
  • Laquon Treadwell. He played well against the Bengals with four catches for 41 yards, but he's clearly behind Stefon Diggs and Johnson, who caught a touchdown from Teddy Bridgewater. In re-draft leagues, Treadwell might not be worth selecting in Round 10.
  • Jordan Howard. The entire Bears offense struggled against the Broncos, but Howard was fourth on the depth chart behind Jeremy Langford, Ka'Deem Carey and Jacquizz Rodgers. He had five carries for 12 yards and is being drafted in Round 10, which might be too high.
  • Dorial Green-Beckham. He was already having a bad training camp, and then Titans coach Mike Mularkey called him out for being "still inconsistent" against the Chargers, when he had one catch for 15 yards. He is not worth his Round 8 ADP.
  • Josh Ferguson. Frank Gore was rested against the Bills, and Ferguson failed to impress with eight carries for 3 yards. He's still worth drafting as the handcuff for Gore, but he will need a Gore injury to likely have standout Fantasy value. He currently does not have an ADP on CBS Sports.

First-round review

Here's what the first-round looks like based on ADP:

  1. Antonio Brown, WR, Steelers
  2. Todd Gurley, RB, Rams
  3. Adrian Peterson, RB, Vikings
  4. Le'Veon Bell, RB, Steelers
  5. Rob Gronkowski, TE, Patriots
  6. Odell Beckham, WR, Giants
  7. Julio Jones, WR, Falcons
  8. Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys
  9. David Johnson, RB, Cardinals
  10. DeAndre Hopkins, WR, Texans
  11. Jordy Nelson, WR, Packers
  12. Devonta Freeman, RB, Falcons

Most drafts haven't happened yet in the majority of leagues on CBS Sports, so we're not seeing dramatic movement in ADP for the first round. It will be interesting to see where Bell ends up if his four-game suspension holds, and what happens with guys battling injuries like Elliott (hamstring) and Nelson (knee).

Johnson looked great against the Raiders with three carries for 31 yards, including a great block on blitz protection. He's firmly entrenched as the main running back for the Cardinals and well worth drafting in Round 1.

Freeman struggled against the Redskins with five carries for 9 yards and no catches, but there's no reason to panic with him yet. That said, he should not be drafted in the first round in the majority of leagues. He's a safer pick toward the end of Round 2 or beginning of Round 3.

Quarterbacks

Good value

I might be getting overly optimistic with Matthew Stafford, but I expect him to remain a top-12 quarterback this season after he was No. 9 in standard leagues last season. Losing Calvin Johnson is a devastating blow to his Fantasy value, but I like the additions of Marvin Jones and Anquan Boldin to Golden Tate, Eric Ebron, Theo Riddick and Ameer Abdullah.

The Lions plan to use a more up-tempo offense under new coordinator Jim Bob Cooter, and Stafford could be among the league leaders in pass attempts. He's the perfect quarterback to wait for based on his ADP in Round 13.

Bad value

Ben Roethlisberger should still be among the better Fantasy quarterbacks this season, but the loss of Martavis Bryant (suspension) and Heath Miller (retirement) for the season, Bell for four games and potentially now Ladarius Green (ankle/headaches) should hinder his production. And if Coates doesn't break out, this receiving corps might not be as exciting as potentially advertised.

Roethlisberger is being drafted as the No. 6 quarterback ahead of Carson Palmer, Tom Brady, Eli Manning and Philip Rivers, and I consider that a mistake. I'd rather settle for Roethlisberger instead of target him if Green doesn't play this year.

Running backs

Good value

Lamar Miller might eventually find his way into the first round, but he's being drafted in Round 2 at No. 17 overall, which still qualifies as tremendous value. He could be the No. 1 Fantasy running back this year.

He had four carries for 30 yards against the 49ers in the preseason opener, and the Texans will lean on him under coach Bill O'Brien, who has led Houston to two Top-5 finishes in rushing attempts the past two years. I plan to target Miller in the majority of my drafts.

Bad value

Matt Forte might end up as a good fit for the Jets, but I'm skeptical at this point in his career. And I definitely wouldn't take a chance on him at his current ADP in Round 4.

He's been dealing with a hamstring injury since the early part of training camp, and the Jets could easily make their backfield a shared situation with Bilal Powell. If Forte falls into Round 6 or later then he could be worth the risk, but you might be better off just waiting on Powell in Round 12 if you want a piece of the Jets running game.

Wide receivers

Good value

Mike Evans was a star as a rookie with 68 catches, 1,051 yards and 12 touchdowns, but he struggled as a sophomore with 74 catches, 1,206 yards and three touchdowns. I expect his third season to be the best of his career, and he's someone to target in Round 2 in most formats.

Evans is being drafted at No. 30 overall, and if you can get him in Round 3 then your team is off to a great start. I would draft Evans ahead of Sammy Watkins, Alshon Jeffery, Brandin Cooks, Amari Cooper, Brandon Marshall and T.Y. Hilton.

Bad value

Julian Edelman avoided a scare when he left a recent training camp practice because of a foot injury after he's had two foot surgeries since last year. We're glad he's fine, but he's not worth drafting in Round 4 in standard leagues based on his ADP.

Edelman still has plenty to overcome even if his foot is OK. Tom Brady is out for four games, and New England added more weapons in Martellus Bennett and Chris Hogan to go with Gronkowski, Dion Lewis and Danny Amendola. Edelman will still get his production, but he's better off as a Round 6 pick in standard formats.

Tight ends

Good value

Delanie Walker was the No. 5 tight end in standard leagues last season, and he's been a top-12 option each of the past three years. In 2015, he had a career year with 94 catches, 1,088 yards and six touchdowns, and he should still be a major focal point of Tennessee's passing game.

The Titans added other options this offseason with Rishard Matthews and rookie Tajae Sharpe, and the running game will definitely be Tennessee's primary source of offense. But Walker should still see plenty of targets (he led all tight ends with 134 last year) and is well worth the price of his Round 8 ADP.

Bad value

I was excited about Austin Seferian-Jenkins this offseason with the thought he would be healthy and get the chance to grow and develop with second-year quarterback Jameis Winston. But then Seferian-Jenkins was kicked out of an offseason practice, and he's apparently been in coach Dirk Koetter's doghouse throughout training camp. He's even behind Cameron Brate on the depth chart.

There's still hope for Seferian-Jenkins to become a playmaker for the Buccaneers, but he's not worth drafting in the majority of leagues. He's even risky with his Round 11 ADP, and you should wait to see him do well in the regular season and then add him off waivers.