Chris Hogan has emerged as a likely regular option in the Patriots offense after receiver Julian Edelman was lost to a season-ending ACL injury in late August. In fact, immediately following Edelman's injury, Hogan stepped up and scored two touchdowns in a preseason game. His ability to line up anywhere and run short and deep routes gives him the most potential he's ever had (catching passes from Tom Brady helps, too). In 15 games last year, Hogan had 38 catches for 680 yards and four touchdowns on 57 targets, but in the postseason (three games) he notched 332 yards on 17 grabs (23 targets) and two more scores. Given the chance to see a huge uptick in targets, Hogan is a candidate for as many as 65 catches and 950 yards with at least five touchdowns. That makes him a borderline bargain as a Round 7 or 8 depending on whether your league counts catches.
but it's doubtful he will build on those stats this season. The Patriots added Brandin Cooks from the Saints this offseason, and that will bump Hogan down the depth chart to No. 3 at best, although he could be No. 4 behind Malcolm Mitchell. The Patriots are loaded with all those guys, as well as Julian Edelman, Rob Grokowski, Dwayne Allen, Rex Burkhead, Dion Lewis and James White. Hogan is still worth a late-round flier in deeper leagues, but he will likely need an injury this season to help his Fantasy value in most formats.
Hogan downplayed a potential knee injury after Sunday's 36-20 win over the Saints, NESN's Doug Kyed reports. Hogan was spotted with an ice pack on his knee while sitting on the bench, but he never left Sunday's game for an extended period and finished with five catches for 78 yards and a touchdown on six targets. Per Pro Football Focus, Hogan played 65 of 76 offensive snaps, tying Brandin Cooks for the lead among New England wide receivers. While still not a high-volume target even with Danny Amendola (concussion) absent, Hogan turned in the kind of hyper-efficient performance that has become his standard in New England. Locked in as a downfield threat with a hefty snap count in a potent offense, Hogan is well positioned to improve upon last year's per-game averages of 2.5 catches, 45.3 receiving yards and 3.8 targets. It remains to be seen if he'll land on the injury report ahead of Week 3 against the Texans.
Hogan caught five of six targets for 78 yards and a score in Sunday's 36-20 win over the Saints. Hogan was lined up tight in the slot and then worked his way out in the flat for an easy-looking 13-yard score in the first quarter. It was a creative bit of play calling for a Patriots team that has caught the injury bug on the offensive side of the ball. Hogan might not only be one of the only men left standing, but he might be in the best position. The Patriots found success on Sunday working their backs and tight ends in the passing game. That will leave Hogan and Brandin Cooks singled up on the outside, Cooks speed likely attracting teams' top cover men.
Hogan was on the field for 73 of the Patriots' 81 snaps on offense in Thursday's 42-27 loss to the Chiefs, per ESPN's Mike Reiss. In the process, he hauled in just one of his five targets for eight yards and ran three times for 17 yards. Hogan's Week 1 production leaves something to be desired, but he actually led the Patriots' wideouts in playing time, with splashy offseason acquisition Brandin Cooks seeing action on 67 snaps, while Danny Amendola turned his 32 snaps into six catches for 100 yards before exiting the game with a head injury. Meanwhile, newcomer Phillip Dorsett saw 18 snaps, and his profile in the offense could expand if Amendola is forced to miss any time. Looking ahead, a potential shootout on the road against the Saints in Week 2 looks like an obvious bounce-back opportunity for Hogan, who seems destined for plenty of playing time this season, health permitting.
The Patriots likely will use a combination of Hogan and Danny Amendola to replace Julian Edelman, who is out for the season with a torn ACL, Jeff Howe of The Boston Herald's reports. Hogan has some experience playing the slot but primarily operated as an outside receiver last season while posting elite efficiency marks -- 11.9 yards per target, 17.9 per catch -- on limited volume (57 targets). He then exploded for 332 yards and two touchdowns in three playoff games, offering a glimpse of what he might've been able to do in the regular season with a more consistent role in the New England offense. While Edelman's absence does open up an opportunity, Hogan still figures to get most of his snaps outside and will be just one part of the plan to replace his injured teammate. James White, Dwayne Allen and Malcolm Mitchell join Hogan and Amendola as the prime candidates to take on larger passing-game roles. Amendola figures to handle the largest portion of slot snaps.
Hogan caught all four of his targets for 72 yards and a pair of touchdowns in Friday's 30-28 preseason win over the Lions. Hogan did significant damage early in the game while the first-team offense was in, hauling in a 32-yard touchdown pass from Tom Brady just 14 seconds after the duo had connected for a seven-yard strike. Most notably, His teammate Julian Edelman (knee) was carted off the field after suffering a non-contact injury. Hogan's role seemed likely to diminish after the team's offseason additions to the offense, but he could see an uptick in usage during the regular season is Edelman is forced to miss extended time, as suspected. Hogan seems unlikely to play during next week's preseason finale against the Giants.
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|5||10/06||@Tampa Bay Buccaneers||27||26.00|
|6||10/15||@New York Jets||30||27.00|
|8||10/29||Los Angeles Chargers||24||24.00|
|17||12/31||New York Jets||30||27.00|
|3 Year Avg||59||38||519||3||20||13.66||69|