MLB Picks
Today's Top Free Expert Picks
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Matt Snyder+394(75%)6-2 in Last 8 MLB PicksLOSSPicked: Aug 12 @ 10:50pmWe're gonna continue to ride that Fade the Mariners gravy train. They're now 23-36 on the road and 9-21 since July 5. Logan Gilbert is better than the first two M's starters in this series, but Max Fried is on the hill for the Yankees, and he's only given up 1 run in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Cubs and Braves. Those offenses are much more capable than the hapless Mariners. -
Micah Roberts#5+957(57%)24-18-2 in Last 44 MLB PicksLOSSPicked: Aug 12 @ 10:55pmAnalysis
The Yankees have won the last four meetings with the Mariners and also eight of the last nine. The Mariners come into this game in a world of hurt with a six-game losing streak and a 56-65 record, 4.5 games out of the last AL wild card spot. The Yankees have won their last two against the Mariners and look for the sweep on Thursday. The welcomed news is that they put 10 runs on the board Wednesday. Logan Gilbert has lost his last two outings against the Yankees, including March 31st when he gave up five runs in Seattle. Max Fried bounced back to his old self in his last outing against the Braves, allowing no runs in 6.1 innings. Yankees to win. -
Eric Cohen#1+2039(67%)41-20 in Last 61 MLB PicksWINPicked: Aug 12 @ 9:59pmAnalysis
Guardians starter Parker Messick has given up two or fewer runs in six straight starts and 8 of his last 9 outings for Cleveland. Keider Montero hasn't been as effective of late for Detroit, but 9 of the last 12 games he's pitched in have gone under 8.5 runs dating back to June. These two pitchers faced each other head-to-head on May 19th in Detroit, a 4-3 Cleveland victory (and under this total). With these two teams separated by half a game in the American League Central, look for another close, low-scoring affair in the Motor City on Thursday afternoon. -
Matt Severance#3+1472.5(63%)166-98-2 in Last 266 MLB PicksWINPicked: Aug 13 @ 7:10amAnalysis
While they did lose last night, the Tigers are doing that thing the Indians did in Major League where they are winning to spite ownership giving up. Good for them. Getaway game and end of a trip for the Guardians, who probably won't have excellent closer Cade Smith (31 saves, 2.30 ERA) available after he threw 38 pitches on Wednesday. With two solid starting pitchers in Parker Messick and Keider Montero (do parents not name their kids Matt or John, etc., any longer?) it should be a low-scoring game and that obviously increases the +1.5 chances of hitting. -
Bob Konarski+218(56%)15-12 in Last 27 MLB ML PicksLOSSPicked: Aug 13 @ 9:25amAnalysis
Pittsburgh’s postseason hopes have been dwindling, losing seven of the last eight games. The Pirates offense has regressed as well as Braxton Ashcraft, allowing 21 runs in his last 24 innings. Tyler Phillips owns a 1.68 home ERA and backed by an offense that has outscored their opponents by a combined 24 runs over Miami’s last four games. -
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MLB Sports Betting Terms:
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With several games on the schedule almost every day during the season, including extensive day baseball slates on Wednesday and Sunday, MLB offers sports bettors the opportunity to take positions on baseball outcomes for a large part of the calendar from April through October. Here are some terms worth knowing if you want to become more familiar with MLB betting:
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Lines
The term “lines” refers to odds for bettable outcomes in MLB games, including money lines, run lines and totals. Betting on the money line involves taking one of the two sides to win the game regardless of the final score. The team that’s favored will return a lower potential profit than the underdog, with the odds offered by sportsbooks correlated to the projected likelihood of each side winning. Money lines listed as negative numbers indicate the size of a wager required to earn $100 in profit. Positive money lines show potential profit on a $100 bet. For example, a -250 favorite would require a $250 bet to have the opportunity to win $100, while a +250 underdog would pay $250 in profit for every $100 wagered if that side wins. Run lines, which are typically set at 1.5, result in adjusted payouts for each side under different win conditions. A favorite of 1.5 on the run line (listed as -1.5) requires the team to win by at least two runs in order to be marked as a winning wager, while an underdog of 1.5 on the run line (listed as +1.5) allows that side the opportunity to cash if the team wins the game or loses by just one run. Close matchups allow for much greater profit potential if bettors are willing to risk laying 1.5 runs, while backing the underdog in projected mismatches becomes more palatable on the run line.
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Totals
Totals wagering involves betting on how many runs will be scored in a game or in a portion of a game, such as the first five innings. Totals will be listed with a line and interested bettors choose whether the combined scoring output of both teams will be more (Over) or less (Under) than the line, with payouts listed on each side of the total. For example, a total of 8.5 with an Over of -105 and an Under of -115 would return $100 in profit on a $105 Over bet if the combined score of both teams is nine runs or more, while a $115 bet on the Under would return $100 in profit if the two teams combine for eight runs or fewer.
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Props
MLB props (or proposition bets) have become a major part of MLB betting, allowing bettors the opportunity to wager on outcomes outside the standard game result. These can include player props, game props and team props. Player props are a core component of MLB betting for a lot of people and play a big part in same-game parlays. Players on each team in a matchup have lines assigned to their statistical outcomes, which allows bettors to make wagers on whether those outputs will finish over or under the line. This could involve the number of hits, runs or walks a player accumulates in a game, or sometimes a combination of those stats like the popular market H+R+RBI (hits plus runs plus RBI). Bettors can also back batters to hit a home run, starting pitchers to record a certain number of outs, and many other options. Team props include team totals, which allow bettors to play over or under the scoring total of just one team in a particular game. Some markets can also involve the first team to score a certain number of runs, or which team will score first in the game. Game props involve betting on other outcomes not related to a specific player, such as whether there will be a run in the first inning of a particular game or whether a game will go to extra innings.
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Live betting
In addition to the action that comes before first pitch, sportsbooks also offer a way to bet during MLB games via live betting, adjusting the lines and odds in available markets to reflect the flow of the game, key injury or other factors. This allows bettors to react to changing information or evolving matchup advantages and place bets against the real-time odds offered by a sportsbook. Live betting can bring strategy into play by providing opportunities to back a trailing team that might have an increased chance of scoring the third time through the lineup against a starting pitcher or when facing a lower-rated or overworked bullpen. Certain at-bats with perceived matchup advantages or disadvantages are also a key component of MLB live betting. Hedging is also a strategy in live betting, giving interested bettors the chance to make a second bet opposite their position taken prior to first pitch at better odds. For example, if a pregame underdog bet at +1.5 on the run line takes an early lead, backing the pregame favorite with a +1.5 live run line bet gives the opportunity to win both bets if the final margin is one run.
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Futures betting
MLB futures betting involves making bets based around futures outcomes instead of those involving a specific game. These could involve betting on who will win the World Series, win each pennant or make the playoffs. Another popular futures market involves win totals, where bettors can back a team to win more or fewer games in a season than the line set by the sportsbook. For example, a win total bet of Over 89.5 would pay out if a team wins at least 90 games. Awards betting is also available in some states, allowing bettors to back a particular player to win a season-ending award such as MVP, Cy Young or Rookie of the Year. Some players also have lines associated with their season-long outputs, such as how many home runs they will hit during the season.


































