If you're in a league where Russell Wilson is available and you're missing Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, or Tua Tagovailoa there is a good chance Wilson is your best bet. For the season he is tied with Dak Prescott as QB12 on the season. Of the quarterbacks who have outscored him, the three mentioned above are on bye, Kirk Cousins and Justin Fields are out with injuries, and Will Levis has only played two games. In other words, amongst the QBs who have started at least three games and are definitely playing this week, Wilson is tied for QB5.
Wilson has three games with three touchdown passes and is averaging 25 yards per game on the ground, his best mark since 2020. His 6.9% TD rate leads the NFL, and while that is probably a sign of some coming regression, Wilson does have four prior seasons on his resume with a TD rate of 6.6% or higher.
A matchup with the Bills should have him chasing the game script against a defense that looks nowhere near as formidable as they were projected to be due to a litany of injuries. Wilson projects as a top-10 QB for me this week and it shouldn't surprise anyone if he produces his third top-six finish of the season. You can find more of my projections for Week 10 over at SportsLine.
41 -- Joshua Dobbs has 41 or more rushing yards in six of nine starts, including 66 yards on the ground last week. Even with his mediocre passing numbers, that makes him a borderline starter.
24.0 -- Sam Howell is QB6 per game since Week 5, at 24 FPPG. He's a must-start QB until further notice.
123.2 -- Joe Burrow has a 123.2 passer rating in his last two games against the 49ers and the Bills. No quarterback is playing better than him right now.
30.9 -- Brock Purdy is averaging 30.9 drop backs per game, the lowest amongst current starters. He'll need elite efficiency to be a top-12 QB.
1.2% -- Just 1.2% of Lamar Jackson's throws have been graded turnover-worthy. he is playing elite football despite the lack of touchdowns.
2,270 -- C.J. Stroud's 2,270 passing yards are the third-most ever for a 22-year-old in his first eight NFL games.
23 -- Each of the last three QBs the Bills have faced has scored at least 23 Fantasy points. Russell Wilson is up next.
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Russell Wilson, Joshua Dobbs, and Baker Mayfield were my top three options for a Week 10 streamer but as of Thursday night they're all rostered in more than two-thirds of leagues. If you missed out on them, the next best bet is Taylor Heinicke. Heinicke has a good matchup against the Arizona Cardinals and should have Drake London back. I project him for 18 FPPG and I'd rather start him than Geno Smith, Derek Carr, or Gardner Minshew.
Levis has been named the starter moving forward by Head Coach Mike Vrabel so he should be rostered in the majority of leagues as we wait to see whether his Week 8 or Week 9 performance was more indicative of what is to come.
We don't have Patrick Mahomes, Jalen Hurts, Tua Tagovailoa, or Josh Allen on the main slate. Even if we did, Burrow might be the best cash game option this week. He's averaging 30 FPPG in two games since the bye and a Week 10 shootout with C.J. Stroud and the Texans should keep his hot streak going.
I'm pretty terrified of the 49ers coming off a bye, but I won't pass up a player of Lawrence's pedigree at an extremely low roster rate in a week where we're short on QB1s. Doug Pederson has had a couple of weeks to draw up a good game plan against this defense. If he hits the right numbers, Lawrence could be a GPP winner stacked with Christian Kirk and Calvin Ridley.
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Heath's projections
My full set of Week 10 Fantasy Footballprojections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 10. Projected stats for all starting quarterbacks are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.
