Despite the fact that we're over halfway through the season, I am still not sure we have a good grip on exactly what the Rams passing game is going to look like with Matthew Stafford, Cooper Kupp, and Puka Nacua all healthy. Hopefully, we'll get more clarification in Week 11 when they face off against the Seattle Seahawks. One thing we should feel confident in is that Stafford is going to pepper the duo with targets. Since Kupp returned he's earned 33.3% of the targets, Nacua is right behind at 32.5%. But the results have been mixed.
The first time we saw all three on the field together was in Week 5 against Philadelphia. Stafford threw 37 times with 12 targets going to Kupp and 11 to Nacua. Kupp had more catches, and yards, but Nacua scored a TD and more Fantasy points. The following week the Rams beat the Cardinals easily and Stafford only threw 24 passes. Nine went to Kupp, seven to Nacua, but Kupp thoroughly dominated with 27 fantasy points while Nacua struggled to six. One week later, in another low-volume game, Nacua dominated volume and production while Kupp scored 4.9 PPR Fantasy points. Finally came a blowout loss to the Cowboys when both were miserable.
Like I said, we know nothing, other than they are going to dominate targets. For that reason, I am ranking both as must-start, top-12 wide receivers in Week 11. But I am certainly open to more information that might clarify things.
Tyler Boyd is a borderline WR2 and Trenton Irwin is a flex.
WR Preview
Numbers to Know
63.8 -- Tank Dell's 63.8 yards per game is the third-best mark ever for a Round 3 rookie behind only Keenan Allen and Terry McLaurin. Cooper Kupp was fourth at 57.9.
33% -- Garrett Wilson now ranks No. 1 at wide receiver with a 33% target share.
15.4 -- Amari Cooper's 15.4 ADOT is by far the highest of his career and second only to Rashid Shaheed this season.
Wilson saw a 19% target share in his first game with Kyler Murray and is currently averaging a remarkable 11.2 yards per target. He'll be on the other side of that shootout with the Texans so there should be plenty of pass volume to go around. View Wilson as a boom/bust WR3 with room to grow.
Douglas is actually my favorite waiver wire wide receiver rest of season, but he's on bye in Week 11 so you'll have to wait a week to use him. Since Kendrick Bourne went down, Douglas leads the Patriots with a 23.8% target share and has averaged 12.5 PPR FPPG in those two games. I like him as a solid WR3 rest of season. He'll be slightly better in full PPR.
The Dolphins are coming off a bye, at home, against a terrible Raiders team. I would not be surprised at all if they hang 50 on Las Vegas this week and I project Tyreek Hill for a ridiculous 21.8 FanDuel points. Start your cash games with him and find value elsewhere.
Thielen is trending in the wrong direction, and it can be dangerous to catch a falling knife, especially against this Cowboys defense. Still, he is down to $7,000 on FanDuel and he still has double-digit target upside every week. Betting on the No. 10 wide receiver in Fantasy at a discounted price and roster rate is a sneaky way to get ahead of the field.
