The Ultimate

Super Bowl
Props Guide

Get the Inside Edge on all Lines & Props

The biggest game of the NFL season is on the horizon, as the 49ers and Chiefs are set to battle for the right to be called champions on Feb. 2 at Hard Rock Stadium. While the betting line suggests that we should expect a close game, it's the props that offer a preview into how the big game could go.

From fun angles like the length of the national anthem and whether the coin flip comes up head or tails, to key parts of the game like who scores first and last, and who's named MVP, there are over 1,000 ways to dissect the game and everything around it. Will the 49ers or Chiefs score first? Will Jennifer Lopez make two or three wardrobe changes? Will Patrick Mahomes win Super Bowl MVP?

We cover all that and more below as we share 54 props for the biggest game of the year. We'll also give you the picks we like to win each prop and why, as well as extra insight from SportsLine and CBS Sports. You can also check out SportsLine's top 30 prop plays​ from their experts and even find a printable prop game to the right so you can play along at home. Good luck, and enjoy the game!

National Anthem Props
Odds Provided by SportsLine
How long will it take for Demi Lovato to sing the national anthem?
Over 2 minutes -220
Under 2 minutes +180
Expert Analysis: Lovato blazed past two minutes when she sang the anthem at Mayweather-McGregor in 2017, but her previous renditions, which all came outdoors, finished shy of the two-minute mark. While the Over is more likely to hit, the value play is on the Under.
INSIGHT
Only five of the last 10 national anthems went longer than two minutes.
Length of final word ‘Brave’ during national anthem
Over 5.5 seconds -155
Under 5.5 seconds +135
Expert Analysis: Lovato likes to sing three different notes on “Brave” but cuts off relatively abruptly once she reaches the third. This should be a close call, so the play is to take the value on the +135 payout and hope it sneaks Under.
Will any scoring drive take less time than it takes Demi Lovato to sing national anthem?
Yes -250
No +170
Expert Analysis: Both these offenses proved able to score quickly during the regular season, with each logging 20 scoring drives of less than two minutes. While both defenses averaged less than one such scoring drive per game, their totals weren’t quite low enough to find value on the No side.
INSIGHT
The Chiefs actually allowed fewer scoring drives of less than two minutes (11) than the 49ers (12) in the regular season.
First Props
Odds Provided by William Hill
Will opening kickoff be a touchback?
Yes -150
No +130
Expert Analysis: The odds tell you that the Yes is more likely to hit in this prop, and that’s likely based on the NFL’s kickoff rate since moving touchbacks to the 25-yard line. But with the juices flowing as the Super Bowl gets underway, it’s hard for return men to take a knee on the opening play. That’s why there have only been two touchbacks to start the Super Bowl in the last 26 years (2013, 2017).
First offensive play of scrimmage
Run play -140
Anything else +120
Expert Analysis: The 49ers call a run play on first down just over 60 percent of the time, while the Chiefs opt for a first-down run about 44 percent of the time, per Sharp Football Stats. This could come down to which team gets the ball first, and if you consider that 50-50, then there’s about a 52 percent chance the first play is a run. That means we’re getting better value fading the run here.
INSIGHT
Four straight Super Bowls started with a pass before Sony Michel’s 13-yard run in Super Bowl LIII.
Will either team score in first 5 1/2 minutes of the game?
Yes +120
No -140
Expert Analysis: The Chiefs scored in the first 5 1/2 minutes in just three games (including playoffs) this year despite their identity as an explosive offense, and it’s the 49ers who have gotten points on the board quickly, with six scoring drives in the first 5 1/2 minutes. Both these defenses allowed these quick scores in five of their 18 games, including both playoff games for Kansas City. Those 49ers stats suggest the Yes is a pretty good value, but I’ll bank on conservative play-calling in the early going here.
Which team will score first?
49ers -110
Chiefs -110
Expert Analysis: The Chiefs started slow in both their playoff wins, having to rally back from two double-digit deficits before scoring a single point. The 49ers spent their first two playoff games dominating the opposition. All it takes is one breakdown, but the 49ers seem well equipped to take the early lead here.
What will the first score of the game be?
Touchdown -180
Field goal/safety +160
Expert Analysis: Touchdown seems like the smarter play in this era of wide-open football, but coaches tend to be more conservative at the beginning of Super Bowl games, and as a result we see field goal/safety hit over 50 percent of the time, making this a great value play.
INSIGHT
The scoring in three of the last four Super Bowls has started with a field goal.
Player to score first touchdown of game
Raheem Mostert +600
Damien Williams +700
Travis Kelce +700
Tyreek Hill +800
George Kittle +1000
Sammy Watkins +1000
Emmanuel Sanders +1200
Deebo Samuel +1200
Kendrick Bourne +1200
Tevin Coleman +1400
Patrick Mahomes +1400
Matt Breida +1500
Expert Analysis: While Samuel doesn’t get a ton of touches, he’s proven to have a nose for the end zone, scoring a touchdown in four of the team’s final six regular season games. In three of those contests, he was the first 49er to score. That touchdown frequency makes him the best value on the board for this prop.
Jersey number of first player to score first touchdown
1-10 +700
11-20 +220
21-30 +400
31-40 +550
41-79 +2800
80-99 +200
No TD scored +25000
Expert Analysis: By taking the 11-20 range, we’re getting about 30% of the rushing/receiving TDs scored by these teams during the regular season. In addition to our first player to score option in Deebo Samuel, we’re getting Emmanuel Sanders, Dante Pettis, Sammy Watkins, Mecole Hardman, Demarcus Robinson and Patrick Mahomes.
What will happen first: sack or touchdown?
Sack +115
Touchdown -135
Expert Analysis: The 49ers scored 56 touchdowns during the regular season but saw their QB sacked just 36 times. The Chiefs had an even better ratio, scoring 51 touchdowns and suffering 25 sacks on offense. And while the two defenses had about 10 more sacks each than touchdowns allowed, that doesn’t quite even out the ratio. Since we’re talking early in the game, we’ll also see fewer situations where the defense can pin its ears back knowing the offense has to throw.
Team to commit first turnover
49ers -125
Chiefs +105
Expert Analysis: The Chiefs had the better turnover differential and offensive turnover rate, and though we think of the 49ers as the opportunistic defense, the Chiefs managed more interceptions in the regular season (16 to 12). With Jimmy Garoppolo much more prone to throw a pick as well, that leaves anyone taking the Chiefs to rely largely on fumble luck.
Result of first coaches challenge
Overturned -140
Upheld +120
Expert Analysis: Neither of these coaches have a great track record when it comes to challenges in recent years, though both had excellent records in their first seasons with their current teams. Since then, neither has been better than 50% of the year. So why is Overturned the better play? The league-wide overturn rate during regular season games shoots up in the Super Bowl, and while laying -140 isn’t great value, it’s just enough to take that side over Upheld in this prop.
INSIGHT
Andy Reid has won 51.2% of his challenges with the Chiefs, while Kyle Shananan has been successful on 55.6% of challenges.
Scoring Props
Odds Provided by William Hill
Longest touchdown of game
Over 44.5 yards -110
Under 44.5 yards -110
Expert Analysis: It’s easy to think about the Chiefs offense and envision this Over hitting, but the more critical side of the equation is the defensive side, and each of these defenses allowed just three TDs longer than 44.5 yards during the regular season. Even if the Chiefs offense is able to execute some chunk plays, odds are none will end in a long touchdown.
INSIGHT
There has only been one touchdown of 45 yards or longer in the last 10 Super Bowls.
Shortest touchdown of game
Over 1.5 yards +140
Under 1.5 yards -160
Expert Analysis: The 49ers scored or gave up 12 TDs that fall under this number during the regular season, while the Chiefs scored or gave up 11. All four of their combined playoff games also featured a one-yard touchdown, so the likelihood we see one in this game is high.
INSIGHT
Five of the last seven Super Bowls have featured a touchdown shorter than 1.5 yards.
Total touchdowns by both teams
Over 6.5 +110
Under 6.5 -130
Expert Analysis: The last three Chiefs games featured seven touchdowns or more, including the offensive explosions against the Texans and Titans. The 49ers saw their game against the Packers get to seven TDs, so that’s another mark in favor of the Over. But the best value here is on the Under, as these teams both rank in the bottom half of the league at scoring TDs in the red zone. If this props goes Over, it’ll be by a hair.
Will there be a special teams or defensive touchdown?
Yes +200
No -240
Expert Analysis: While a non-offensive touchdown certainly seems unlikely, these teams combined for nine of them during the regular season but haven’t had any in their four playoff games. While that doesn’t mean this prop is due to hit, there’s a better chance of it happening than the listed odds imply.
INSIGHT
There have been eight non-offensive TDs in the last 11 Super Bowls.
Will there be a successful two-point conversion?
Yes +250
No -300
Expert Analysis: This is expected to be a close game, which increases the chance we see a two-point try late. But these teams aren’t that inclined to go for two, especially the Chiefs, who have attempted a two-pointer in just one game all season. While the game script suggests a late two-point try is in play, we’ll lean to the No side here.
Shortest made field goal of game
Over 26.5 yards -110
Under 26.5 yards -110
Expert Analysis: Each of these teams made six field goals of less than 26.5 yards this season, but their defenses typically don’t give up field goals that short, with the 49ers and Chiefs combining for just five field goals that short. With the pressure to score touchdowns, I expect both teams to be more willing to go for it inside their opponent’s 10-yard line.
INSIGHT
There has been a field goal of less than 27 yards just once in the last six Super Bowls.
Will both teams make field goals of 35 yards or longer?
Yes +135
No -155
Expert Analysis: This prop is harder to hit than you may think. Robbie Gould has only made eight field goals of at least 35 yards all year, and the pressure should be on Kyle Shanahan to go for it on fourth down rather than try a long field goal knowing that it’ll take touchdowns to beat the Chiefs. Harrison Butker should do his job for the Yes to hit, but I liked the value on No when it opened as I’d put Gould’s chances of getting one at less than 50%. As it is now, the lean is to Yes, but try to find places where you can take the No side for longer yardage to try and middle.
INSIGHT
There have been field goals of 35 yards or longer by both teams in just four of the last 15 Super Bowls.
Total field goals made by both teams
Over 3.5 +100
Under 3.5 -120
Expert Analysis: Again, we’re making the value play here, as Gould’s accuracy issues and the need to be aggressive should limit successful field goals in this game. Recent Super Bowls have tended to come in under 3.5 field goals more often than not as well, and though we lost value on where this opened, we’ll stick with it.
Will there be three unanswered scores in game?
Yes -180
No +160
Expert Analysis: The Chiefs have managed three unanswered scores in six of their seven games since the bye, and the 49ers have done it in four of their last five. Of course, that means one of these offenses will have to cool off for this to happen. We’ll count on the Chiefs to either get this one done or fall into an early hole for the third straight game.
INSIGHT
There have been three unanswered scores in just one of the last four Super Bowls.
Halftime Props
Odds Provided by SportsLine
Which song will Jennifer Lopez sing first at halftime?
Get Right -400
Anything else +300
Expert Analysis: A supposed leaked set list is out with “Get Right” as J-Lo’s opener, so it’ll be hard to find this prop available, but use that information to your benefit if you can and you believe the leak to be real.
Which song will Shakira sing first at halftime?
She Wolf -400
Anything else +300
Expert Analysis: That same leaked setlist lists 11 songs, including a “I’m Real” performance with Ja Rule combined with a “Jenny From the Block” mashup as the fourth song. Then Shakira is scheduled to hit the stage, and “She Wolf” is expected to be her first song.
Number of Jennifer Lopez wardrobe changes
Over 2.5 -140
Under 2.5 +120
Expert Analysis: J-Lo will almost certainly pull off a wardrobe change in the middle of her opening set, so that gets us to two, and one would figure she’d come back for the finale in a different outfit as well. Logically, the Over seems like a nice value here.
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More Game Props
Odds Provided by William Hill
Total kickoff returns in game
Over 5.5 -140
Under 5.5 +120
Expert Analysis: We can certainly understand wanting to make something happen, but the 49ers returned just 20 kicks all season, so it would be surprising to see them try and break off a big play with regularity in this game. The Chiefs had nearly twice as many returns at 37, but combined we’re still south of four per game.
Total net yards in game
Over 781.5 yards -110
Under 781.5 yards -110
Expert Analysis: Even if you think there will be a lot of offense in this game, this is a high total. These two teams combined for 760 yards per game on the offensive side, and when you factor in the quality of their defenses (particularly on San Francisco’s side), it seems like the Under is the better play.
Most rushing yards in game
49ers -36.5 -110
Chiefs +36.5 -110
Expert Analysis: The 49ers are much more apt to run the ball, and I don’t believe they’ll abandon that principle unless they’re down big late. That’s how you exploit the Chiefs defense. But even if Kansas City gets ahead, are the Chiefs really going to run up the middle against this stout San Francisco defense? Expect them to put the game in Patrick Mahomes’ hands, no matter the score.
INSIGHT
The 49ers rushed for 46 more yards per game than the Chiefs in 2019.
Team with more time of possession in game
49ers -150
Chiefs +130
Expert Analysis: The 49ers rank fourth in time of possession this season at 31:40 per game, while the Chiefs don’t hold on to the ball nearly as long 29:15 per game. That largely stems from their inability to get off the field, with the average drive against their defense at 2:59, 30th in the NFL. I don’t like laying -150 for this prop, but the 49ers are likely going to come out on top in this battle.
Team with longest play from scrimmage
49ers +120
Chiefs -140
Expert Analysis: There’s a reason the Chiefs are the favorite in this prop, as they’ve managed seven plays of 50-plus yards and 14 of 40-49 yards. The 49ers only managed four plays of 50-plus and another eight of 40-49 yards. With Kansas City’s excellent speed at the receiver position, it’ll only take one mistake for Patrick Mahomes to make the 49ers pay.
Total players with a pass attempt
Over 2.5 +115
Under 2.5 -135
Expert Analysis: This is likely going to come down to whether a quarterback gets hurt or Emmanuel Sanders throws a pass on a trick play, something he’s done three times in his career, including once this season for a touchdown. The Super Bowl certainly seems like the time to open the bag of tricks, but these teams haven’t done much of this in the regular season, and I doubt they start here.
Total interceptions in game
Over 1.5 +140
Under 1.5 -160
Expert Analysis: There’s been a massive swing toward the under since this prop opened, as Patrick Mahomes seems unlikely to throw a pick and the 49ers will pound the ball via the run as much as possible. If you think Jimmy Garoppolo is going to have to throw in the second half if the 49ers are going to win, I’d try and play an interception prop over on the 49ers quarterback on his own, but on this one the play is to the under.
Total sacks by both teams
Over 4.5 -120
Under 4.5 +100
Expert Analysis: These two teams have largely protected their quarterbacks this season, allowing a total of 61 sacks combined, which is less than four per game. But these two defenses have combined for 93 sacks, with both ranking in the top 12 in the league. With the adrenaline flowing, I would expect these two teams to get to at least five.
Team with most penalty yards
49ers +100
Chiefs -120
Expert Analysis: In terms of number of penalties, the matchup between these teams is basically a coin flip. But the Chiefs were docked 185 more penalty yards over the course of the regular season than their opponents, while the 49ers were slightly better than even in penalty yardage splits.
Largest lead in game
Over 13.5 -185
Under 13.5 +165
Expert Analysis: We’re going to take the value side here even though the odds clearly favor a bigger lead. That’s because there have been six recent Super Bowls with spreads of three or lower only saw a 14-point lead three times. I expect the odds of this prop hitting to be closer to 50% than this line implies.
Will game be tied after 0-0?
Yes -110
No -110
Expert Analysis: This prop has hit in four of the last five Super Bowls, and three of those times it was because the team that fell behind after the first score of the game was able to erase that lead on the next scoring drive. In a close game, we’ll look for this game to be retied either early or near the end.
Chiefs Player Props
Odds Provided by William Hill
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Patrick Mahomes passing yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 305.5 -110
Under 305.5 -110
Expert Analysis: Mahomes topped this total in five straight games to open the year, but he’s gone over it in just three of his last nine games, including playoffs. The 49ers have allowed this to go over just four times all year, so the odds favor this one falling short of the number.
SPORTSLINE MODEL
Patrick Mahomes throws for 247 yards in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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Damien Williams rushing yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 53.5 -110
Under 53.5 -110
Expert Analysis: Williams has gotten at least 12 carries in each of his team’s last four games, and while that hasn’t translated into success during his team’s two playoff wins, his 4.5 yards per carry mark is equal to what the 49ers defense allows, ranking 23rd in the league. If he gets 12 carries on 4.5 yards, this prop squeaks over, but I’d expect Andy Reid to put the game in his quarterback’s hands in the second half unless the rout is on.
SPORTSLINE MODEL
Damien Williams rushes for 56 yards in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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Tyreek Hill receiving yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 71.5 -110
Under 71.5 -110
Expert Analysis: Hill has squeaked over this total just once in his last seven games, though he’s come close in virtually all of them. The 49ers have the No. 1 defense in terms of passing yards allowed, and that’ll make it hard to go over this prop.
SPORTSLINE MODEL
Tyreek Hill has 68 receiving yards in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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Travis Kelce receiving yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 77.5 -110
Under 77.5 -110
Expert Analysis: Kelce topped this mark in each of his first four games but just four times after that, including the playoffs. It’ll be tough for him to beat the mark here, as only one tight end has had even 65 yards against the 49ers this year (Tyler Higbee, Week 16).
SPORTSLINE MODEL
Travis Kelce has 67 receiving yards in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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Will Frank Clark record a sack?
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Yes -120
No +100
Expert Analysis: Clark was quiet in his first few weeks with the Chiefs, but he’s come on over the second half of the year, including recording at least one sack in each of his last four games. If the Chiefs are ahead in the second half as expected, Clark should be able to get his sack.
Remaining Player Props are Locked.
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49ers Player Props
Odds Provided by William Hill
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Jimmy Garoppolo passing yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 239.5 -110
Under 239.5 -110
Expert Analysis: The 49ers want to control possession by running the ball as much as possible, but even if they fall behind there’s no guarantee Garoppolo tops this total. He’s topped this number in just one of his team’s three losses this year.
SPORTSLINE MODEL
Jimmy Garoppolo throws for 217 yards in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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Raheem Mostert rushing yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 73.5 -110
Under 73.5 -110
Expert Analysis: This is a high total for Mostert, his 220-yard explosion vs. the Packers notwithstanding, but he averaged a tidy 5.6 yards per carry in the regular season and will now face a team that ranked 29th in yards per carry on defense. He’d just need 14 carries at his regular season per-rush average, and it’s hard to imagine him not getting them after that huge game.
SPORTSLINE MODEL
Raheem Mostert rushes for 98 yards in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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Emmanuel Sanders receiving yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 43.5 -110
Under 43.5 -110
Expert Analysis: Sanders has seen just two targets in his team’s two playoff games, and with the Chiefs being far stronger defending the pass than the run, it’s going to take an unexpected volume of targets for Sanders to hit this number.
SPORTSLINE MODEL
Emmanuel Sanders has 47 yards receiving in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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George Kittle receiving yards
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Over 73.5 -110
Under 73.5 -110
Expert Analysis: Only one tight end has reached 70 yards against the Chiefs this year, but I’m going to go against the grain and take the Over here. The 49ers will have to get chunks of yards in the passing game in order to compete in this game, and I’d expect Garoppolo to lean on his security blanket as much as possible, with Kittle seeing double-digit targets in this game.
SPORTSLINE MODEL
George Kittle has 64 yards receiving in the simulations. Visit SportsLine.com for full Super Bowl prop picks.
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Will Dee Ford record a sack?
Player Performance Analysis Powered by SportsLine
Yes +110
No -130
Expert Analysis: Ford is pretty much a toss-up to record a sack, having done so in seven of his 13 appearances this year. His 34 snaps against the Packers were more than he’s had in all but the season opener, so while I don’t expect him to be limited in terms of playing time, the value on the +120 is too good to pass up.
Late Game Props
Odds Provided by William Hill
Will either team score in final 3 1/2 minutes of fourth quarter?
Yes -190
No +170
Expert Analysis: This is a prop that has hit in almost every recent Super Bowl, and with the total indicating that there’s expected to be a lot of scoring, it would be wise for it to hit again here. Even last year, when only 16 points were scored all game, the Patriots tacked on a field goal with just 1:16 left in the fourth quarter.
INSIGHT
There has been a score in the final 3:30 of the fourth quarter in 11 of the last 12 Super Bowls.
Team to score last in game
49ers -110
Chiefs -110
Expert Analysis: You can flip a coin for this one, as the Chiefs have scored six times in the last 3:30 of a game and given up six scores in that same span, while the 49ers have scored and given up eight scoring plays. I’ll give the slight edge to the Chiefs offense.
Last score of game
Touchdown -180
Field goal/safety +160
Expert Analysis: Though the scoring ended with a field goal in the last two Super Bowls, touchdowns have been much more frequent in this prop, with the last score being a touchdown in 11 of the previous 13 Super Bowls.
Player to score last touchdown of game
Raheem Mostert +600
Damien Williams +700
Travis Kelce +700
Tyreek Hill +900
George Kittle +900
Sammy Watkins +1000
Emmanuel Sanders +1200
Deebo Samuel +1200
Kendrick Bourne +1200
Tevin Coleman +1500
Patrick Mahomes +1500
Matt Brieda +1500
Expert Analysis: Williams has proven to have a nose for the end zone in the playoffs, scoring eight times in his four playoff games over the last two years. If the Chiefs do get the last score, he figures to be the most likely candidate to punch it in.
Last play of game will be a QB rush
Yes -150
No +130
Expert Analysis: On this prop, you’re mostly projecting whether the game ends in a kneeldown, and only eight of the last 20 Super Bowls have done so. So the No appears to offer great value based on recent trends.
INSIGHT
Only two of the last eight Super Bowls have ended on a kneeldown.
Will game go to overtime?
Yes +800
No -1300
Expert Analysis: No is always going to be the better bet in this prop, but with the betting line so close, there’s no harm in making a very small play on the Yes if you want to play the lottery.
Game decided by exactly three points
Yes +400
No -500
Expert Analysis: It’s tempting to take the Yes here with the betting line so low. But when you look at games in the 2019 season with a three-point spread or lower, you get an 81-game sample, where only 11 have landed on three. That 13.6% mark falls well short of what we’d need to play Yes.
INSIGHT
NFL games landed on three points in 10.5% of NFL games in 2019.
Who will be named Super Bowl LIV MVP?
Patrick Mahomes -130
Jimmy Garoppolo +250
Raheem Mostert +700
Damien Williams +1000
George Kittle +1500
Emmanuel Sanders +1500
Travis Kelce +1800
Deebo Samuel +1800
Tyreek Hill +1800
Sammy Watkins +3000
Kendrick Bourne +3000
Expert Analysis: Patrick Mahomes is the most likely option to win the Super Bowl MVP award, but if you think the Chiefs are going to win the game, you should just take the moneyline if those odds are better than Mahomes’ MVP odds. So we’re going with a value play on the other QB, who figures to earn the award if his team pulls off the victory. A longshot lottery ticket here: Tyrann Mathieu at 100-to-1.

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KC -1, O/U 54.5 | Open: KC -1.5, O/U 52.5
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-1
over 54.5

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