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USATSI

Heading into last week there was quite a bit of talk about how much deeper tight end is this year. This is nothing new; we do it every year. I think I even did it earlier this year. And it almost always ends up the same way. 

In Week 10 it ended with T.J. Hockenson, Dawson Knox, Dalton Schultz, and Dallas Goedert combining for 9.9 PPR Fantasy points. And "poof!" there goes our supposed depth. 

The truth is, tight end has been a little bit deeper this year. Through Week 10 we have 12 tight ends averaging at least 10 Fantasy points per game. That's more than we've had each of the past two seasons. But not by much, we had 11 in both 2019 and 2020. And that includes Rob Gronkowski, who has only played four games and George Kittle, who has only played five. It also includes Dawson Knox and Hunter Henry, who have built their house of cards entirely on an unsustainable touchdown rate. 

In other words, tight end is still a debacle.

That's what makes it so surprising that Dan Arnold is still only 51% rostered. I think that's at least partially because his time in Carolina pulls down his scoring average. But Arnold has now scored at least 10 PPR Fantasy points in four of his past five games, and that's without a touchdown. He's like Bizarro Hunter Henry, and I'd much rather bet on Arnold's catches and yards holding up than Henry's touchdowns. 

Here's everything else you need to know about tight end in Week 11: 

Week 11 TE Preview
TE Preview
Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play Week 11 at this time. Here's what it means:

WAS Washington • #83
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
John Bates will be the starter if Logan Thomas isn't ready.
PHI Philadelphia • #88
Age: 27 • Experience: 4 yrs.
DeVonta Smith could see a target share boost if Goedert is out.
TE Preview
Numbers to Know
  • 60 -- Darren Waller has only topped 60 yards once since Week 2.
  • 4 -- Dawson Knox has one game with more than four catches this season.
  • 29 -- Pat Freiermuth has 29 targets in his past four games.
  • 22% -- Cole Kmet has a 22% target share since Week 5, the fourth-best mark in the league.
  • 1 -- T.J. Hockenson saw one target in the first week of Dan Campbell calling plays for the Lions.
TE Preview
Matchups that matter
ATL Atlanta • #8
Age: 21 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs NE NE -7 O/U 47.5
OPP VS TE
4th
PROJ PTS
13.8
TE RNK
8th
YTD Stats
REC
40
TAR
64
REYDS
606
TD
1
FPTS/G
11.8
DAL Dallas • #86
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ KC KC -2.5 O/U 56
OPP VS TE
28th
PROJ PTS
10.3
TE RNK
14th
YTD Stats
REC
38
TAR
51
REYDS
438
TD
3
FPTS/G
11.1
MIA Miami • #88
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ MIA -3 O/U 45
OPP VS TE
20th
PROJ PTS
11.7
TE RNK
5th
YTD Stats
REC
44
TAR
70
REYDS
529
TD
2
FPTS/G
11.1
TE Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Week 11 Streamers
JAC Jacksonville • #85
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs SF SF -6.5 O/U 45.5
OPP VS TE
8th
TE RNK
9th
ROSTERED
51%
YTD Stats
REC
34
TAR
50
REYDS
399
TD
0
FPTS/G
8.2
Arnold is the only tight end widely available who I think is actually more than a streamer. In fact, I think what we've seen the last month is closer to his Fantasy floor than ceiling, because he hasn't yet reached the end zone.
NYG N.Y. Giants • #88
Age: 27 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ TB TB -11.5 O/U 49.5
OPP VS TE
22nd
TE RNK
16th
ROSTERED
36%
YTD Stats
REC
26
TAR
36
REYDS
224
TD
2
FPTS/G
8.3
Engram and Arnold are the only tight ends who have scored double-digit Fantasy points in each of their past three outings. Yes, the bar is that low at tight end.
WAS Washington • #82
Age: 30 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CAR CAR -3.5 O/U 43
OPP VS TE
14th
TE RNK
NR
ROSTERED
52%
YTD Stats
REC
12
TAR
14
REYDS
117
TD
2
FPTS/G
8.4
Thomas would be No. 2 on the list if we knew he was actually playing. For now he's more of a stash than a streamer, but he could be a top-12 guy rest of way once he gets back.
TE Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
SF San Francisco • #85
Age: 28 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ JAC SF -6.5 O/U 45.5
OPP VS TE
21st
PROJ PTS
15.5
TE RNK
2nd
YTD Stats
REC
30
TAR
43
REYDS
378
TD
2
FPTS/G
13.1
It's much easier to pass on Jacksonville than to run against them, so I'd expect a little uptick in volume for Kittle this week against a bad secondary. Kelce is right there with Kittle, but I would expect his roster rate to be higher, which is a nice tiebreaker.
Contrarian Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
DET Detroit • #88
Age: 24 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CLE CLE -10 O/U 44.5
OPP VS TE
18th
PROJ PTS
11
TE RNK
6th
YTD Stats
REC
48
TAR
65
REYDS
448
TD
2
FPTS/G
11.9
He just saw one target in a game! Does it get any more contrarian than that? In all seriousness, Hockenson's targets have bounced all over the place this season and I expect them to bounce back in Week 11.
TE Preview
Heath's Projections

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