While we'd all agree Caleb Williams had a down year in 2023 at USC, there's of course still a strong possibility he's the No. 1 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft.
It'll be Williams, Drake Maye and Jayden Daniels as the first three quarterbacks off the board -- it's just that no one knows the order in which they'll be picked.
While I'm trying a new order for those quarterbacks this time around, I am sticking with a Bears trade of Justin Fields. This time, to the Las Vegas Raiders.
Here are the parameters of that mock trade:
Raiders get: QB Justin Fields, 2025 sixth-round pick
Bears get: No. 74 overall (third-round pick), a conditional 2025 third-round pick that becomes a second-round pick if Fields plays 75% of the 2024 snaps
Important: The draft order is based on all the games played through Week 15. Thanks to Tankathon for compiling it.
For more draft coverage, you can hear in-depth analysis twice a week on "With the First Pick" -- our year-round NFL Draft podcast with NFL Draft analyst Ryan Wilson and former Vikings general manager Rick Spielman. You can find "With the First Pick" wherever you get your podcasts: Apple Podcasts, Spotify, YouTube, etc. Listen to the latest episode below!
NFL Mock Draft
Round 1
From
Carolina Panthers
Round 1 - Pick 1
While I don't think this is a lock, we should of course entertain the possibility of Williams going No. 1 to Chicago.
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Round 1 - Pick 2
Maye is a pure pocket passer with mobility and the full franchise quarterback skill set. The Patriots turn the page at the position.
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Round 1 - Pick 3
The Cardinals would have quite the conundrum here: In this mock, they stay with Murray and get him the premier weapon in the class.
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Round 1 - Pick 4
The Commanders would have a major decision to make here: go Caleb Williams, pick a stellar offensive tackle prospect, or trade down. In this mock, they go with the brick-wall blocker from Penn State who boasts All-Pro upside.
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Round 1 - Pick 5
If Robinson erupts at the combine, which is distinctly possible, he could be picked this high and would be a fun complementary pairing with Montez Sweat.
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Round 1 - Pick 6
The Giants are thrilled with this development and can't pass on Daniels here, Daniel Jones contract be damned.
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Round 1 - Pick 8
Newton is a freaky specimen at defensive tackle with serious pass-rush capabilities.
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Round 1 - Pick 9
Let's get Will Levis a young dynamic separator. That's precisely what Nabers is.
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Round 1 - Pick 10
Latu is the big-bodied, bendy, pass-rushing specialist the Falcons need.
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Round 1 - Pick 11
McKinstry is the exact cornerback the Packers probably need moving forward in their secondary.
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Round 1 - Pick 12
Odunze and Davante Adams would make a fun pairing for Fields in Las Vegas.
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Round 1 - Pick 13
Bowers is simply too tremendous of a talent for the Saints to pass on him here.
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Round 1 - Pick 15
Leave it to the Seahawks to make a surprise Round 1 selection every year. Check their draft history. Kinchens here would feel a touch early, but he's arguably the finest safety prospect in the class.
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Round 1 - Pick 16
It's a Penn State reunion in the Steelers secondary. Joey Porter Jr. and King usher in a new, lockdown era at cornerback in Pittsburgh.
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From
Houston Texans
Round 1 - Pick 17
Verse is a premier pass-rush prospect, and the Cardinals defense certainly needs an alpha outside defender on its front.
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Round 1 - Pick 18
Franklin was a multiyear big-time producer at Oregon and is a winner at all three levels.
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Round 1 - Pick 19
Coleman would be the ideal replacement if Mike Evans bolts in free agency.
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Round 1 - Pick 21
The Rams could use more youthful playmaking ability in their secondary, and DeJean is always around the football.
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Round 1 - Pick 22
While not quite as eye-poppingly disruptive as he was in 2022, Taylor is still a strong, athletic, physical specimen at defensive tackle, who'd represent the future inside for the Colts defensive front.
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Round 1 - Pick 23
More reinforcement up front in front of Trevor Lawrence with the polished guard-tackle prospect from Duke.
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Round 1 - Pick 24
A bit of a curveball here from the Bengals, who get the top speedster wideout in the class.
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Round 1 - Pick 25
Morgan is a sizable, athletic pass-pro specialist who'd be a sensible pick in Kansas City, especially with the long-term future in mind.
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From
Cleveland Browns
Round 1 - Pick 26
It's back to Alabama for another edge-rushing infusion to the Texans defense. Turner has had a fantastic year for the Tide.
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Round 1 - Pick 27
Oh just another first-round cornerback from Nick Saban's defense. The Lions will likely be looking to add a lockdown perimeter cornerback to the defense next season.
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Round 1 - Pick 28
No team likes restocking the defensive line shelf early in the draft more than the Eagles, and Trice is one polished rusher with surprising power.
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Round 1 - Pick 29
The Dolphins invest in the offensive line with an athletic masher from Oregon State.
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Round 1 - Pick 30
Cooper is a fun, do-everything linebacker who could become the quarterback of the Dallas defense.
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Round 1 - Pick 31
Legette is the gritty YAC monster the 49ers would adore to incorporate into their offense.
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Round 1 - Pick 32
Mims is an enormous specimen at tackle who'd blend well with the Ravens punishing style. There's a tie to offensive coordinator Todd Monken too.
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