There are plenty of people around the NFL who believe Kyler Murray is going first overall in the 2019 NFL Draft, with the Arizona Cardinals finding some way to move on from Josh Rosen and acquire a guy they think is a perfect fit for Kliff Kingsbury's system. There are also plenty of people around the NFL who believe the Cardinals are doing their due diligence as holders of that first pick, cranking up the smoke screen machine to 11 and letting rumors fly wild. 

What's the end game? To increase the value of the top pick and potentially trade down with someone else who desperately wants Kyler. One team that could fit the bill is the Oakland Raiders, who by all accounts also love Murray. Oakland has Derek Carr, but his contract isn't an impediment to landing a quarterback in the draft. 

In this particular instance, I'm having the Raiders move all the way up to No. 1 overall, trading with the same team that they helped get Rosen last year, and the Cardinals moving down. 

Like last year, the deal isn't overtly expensive: the Raiders give up No. 4, No. 27 and No. 35 in order to move up to No. 1. That doesn't meet the full value of the trade chart, but Jon Gruden cut Steve Keim a decent deal last season and now Keim is returning the favor. Like my "Kyler first overall and Rosen to the Redskins" mock two weeks ago -- before the combine, a mock that looked prescient as those rumors began to swirl -- this is a thought exercise. If you're the Raiders, are you OK with this haul? If you're the Cardinals, are you OK moving down and getting more picks?

I think the answer to both is yes. If you hate the picks, let me know by yelling at me on Twitter @WillBrinson and make sure to subscribe to the Pick Six Podcast to get a daily NFL pod sent straight to your phone plus our weekly dose of NFL Draft action.


Mock trade with Cardinals

Kyler Murray, QB, Oklahoma
We are all talking about the Cardinals taking Kyler Murray with the first overall pick and I think that's entirely possible/likely, but I do want to explore another universe -- perhaps one the Cards like even more -- where they get to keep their current quarterback, trade down and, you know, give him some help.
Nick Bosa, EDGE, Ohio State
Talk about a DREAM scenario for the 49ers. No one loves all this business about Kyler going No. 1 overall more than San Francisco, which needs edge help and would have it fall in its lap here.
Quinnen Williams, DL, Alabama
The Jets pairing Quinnen with Leonard Williams would not only be a real problem for opposing offenses but it would present an opportunity to try and create some kind of Williams-related nickname. 

Mock trade with Raiders

Josh Allen, EDGE, Kentucky
The beauty of the trade down for the Cardinals is they are able to secure one of the three star defenders in this draft and pick up a bunch of extra picks in the process. 
Greedy Williams, DB, LSU
Williams tested well enough (and was good enough to begin with) that it's not difficult to imagine the Bucs taking him here given their needs at cornerback and the other positional setup they have elsewhere.
Jawaan Taylor, OL, Florida
I'm not sold the Giants are drafting a quarterback. They look like they might be rebuilding after the Landon Collins dump, but I still think they believe they can contend this year with a little more protection for Eli Manning. 
Dwayne Haskins, QB, Ohio State
The Jags are going to need a quarterback to contend and until I see them sign Nick Foles I'm going to pencil them in for taking a quarterback here. By all accounts (aka Pete Prisco) they love Haskins and why wouldn't they? He fits their style and what Tom Coughlin wants in a quarterback. 
Montez Sweat, EDGE, Mississippi State
Monster combine leads to a top 10 selection for Sweat, as the Lions seek to replace Ziggy Ansah and get some pressure going from the edge. 
D.K. Metcalf, WR, Ole Miss
This isn't reactionary, I promise! OK, maybe it is. But Metcalf was a monster at the combine, I think he vaulted himself into top-10 status and imagine Josh Allen's arm and Metcalf's speed. Good luck stopping that if Allen has time to throw.
Jonah Williams, OL, Alabama
Joe Flacco has to be protected if the Broncos want to actually succeed and it seems to me that with Vic Fangio coaching the team, this will be a defensive-based team first and foremost. 
Devin White, LB, LSU
This is a team to watch for a quarterback if either of the top guys fall, but I also think they need a lot on defense and White would be a very nice fit as a modern linebacker with crazy speed.
Noah Fant, TE, Iowa
Pick your poison on whatever Iowa tight end you want to add -- both Fant and Hockensen look like potential monsters. The skillsets might be different, and I'm not sure the Packers will care as much about having the blocker so much as a the athletic guy for Aaron Rodgers. 
Rashaan Gary, EDGE, Michigan
You know what the best thing to give your boss? A stud defensive player from his alma mater in your first draft. Gary has concerns about his tape at Michigan and his production, but there's not doubt he has the upside to be a monster. 
Ed Oliver, DL, Houston
Who knows where Oliver will actually end up going, but this feels like a pretty decent floor considering the Falcons need help on defense, Oliver is that malleable type of lineman who fits their scheme and he has a massive amount of upside. 
Daniel Jones, QB, Duke
Look, the bottom line is the Redskins are either going to have to sign a quarterback in free agency, trade for one or use this pick on a guy who is decently ready to play at the pro level. 
Garrett Bradbury, C, NC State
Is No. 16 too high for a center? No way, not with the concerns Carolina has about protecting Cam Newton and the upside that Bradbury has shown so far. He tested incredibly well in Indy and I think he goes in the first half of the first round. 
Andre Dillard, OL, Washington State
Sneaky good combine for Dillard, who might not be perfectly ready to be the starting left tackle in this offense, but is a position of need where, if the Browns shore it up now, they might be in really good shape for the long haul. This is a team built to win at the moment. Freddie Kitchens can coach up the offense to work around a rookie tackle. 
Cody Ford, OL, Oklahoma
This is just going to be one of those teams who keep getting an offensive lineman every single mock until they figure out a way to get protection for Kirk Cousins. 
Brian Burns, EDGE, Florida State
Is this too late for Burns? I think this would be a dream scenario for the Titans, getting to stand pat at No. 19 and land a stud edge rusher. There could also be consideration here for a wide receiver but they still believe in Corey Davis. 
Byron Murphy, CB, Washington
It's easy to imagine a revenge situation where the Steelers take a replacement for Antonio Brown, but I think they're going to be more concerned with beefing up the defense and then landing another wide receiver in a later round (the same way they've done for the last 10 years).
T.J. Hockensen, TE, Iowa
A seam-running, in-line monster that falls this far and gives Russell Wilson a weapon who can create major problems and help in the run game? Wheeeeeeeeew.
N'Keal Harry, WR, Arizona State
There are suddenly a LOT of areas in which the Ravens could improve their roster, but there's no doubt they need help for Lamar Jackson. Let's give them a big bodied wide receiver who tested well in the 40 and can be a playmaker out of the gate.
Dalton Risner, OL, Kansas State
Another team that has to spend this offseason getting better on the offensive line in an effort to run the ball better and protect Deshaun Watson. It's just clearly the fatal flaw on this roster. 
Hakeem Butler, WR, Iowa State
The Raiders are taking a wide receiver in the first round. I will bet any amount of money on it. Doubly so if they go up and grab Kyler -- they can't have the entire world wondering why Murray doesn't have any help. And Butler can be a big help, capable of taking even misses and running them to the house. 
Devin Bush, LB, Michigan
This is a good trade out spot I think, because the Eagles need more picks, but if not they could easily take a defensive piece instead. 
Kelvin Harmon, WR, NC State
The Colts want to get physical and Harmon is a physical receiver.

Mock trade with Raiders

Clelin Ferrell, EDGE, Clemson
This right here is why you trade down out of the top spot and acquire more picks. Ferrell here? It's ridiculous, but the draft is loaded and full of deep talent. Everyone should be trying to trade down. 
Christian Wilkins, DL, Clemson
Clemson run! The Chargers need more help elsewhere perhaps, but this is just a good value here for them to snag Wilkins instead. 
DeAndre Baker, CB, Georgia
The Chiefs are doing a pretty huge overhaul on their defense right now and adding a potentially stud cornerback late in the first round would be pretty solid. 
Nasir Adderley, S, Delaware
Another great trade down spot because of the lack of edge rushers here. Instead we're going to give the Packers a safety here instead. I don't care if they've drafted 42 defensive backs in the first few rounds over the last three years. 
Dexter Lawrence, DL, Clemson
DREEEEEEEEEEEEEAAAAAAM scenario for the Rams. I think Lawrence, who suffered an injury at the combine and didn't get to test, should be a pick in the top half of this draft. Instead he falls here and they pair him with Aaron Donald? My God. 
Irv Smith, Jr., TE, Alabama
This is not a Rob Gronkowski replacement ... or is it? Smith might have to step in right away, since we don't know what Gronk is planning on doing next year just yet.