Duke vs. Florida State odds, line: 2019 ACC Tournament Championship picks, top predictions from model on 11-5 run

The Duke Blue Devils edged the Florida State Seminoles on a last-second 3-pointer during the regular season. The rematch is Saturday night, with the 2019 ACC Tournament championship on the line. The game tips from Charlotte at 8:30 p.m. ET. Duke (27-5) is playing for its 12th ACC Tournament title since 1999, while Florida State (27-6) seeks its second title in its third-ever finals appearance (with a title in 2012). The latest Duke vs. Florida State odds have the Blue Devils favored by eight points, with the over-under, or total points Vegas thinks will be scored, at 146.5. Before locking in any Duke vs. Florida State picks of your own, you'll want to check out the 2019 ACC Tournament Championship predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, has raked in the winnings for those following its picks. During the past two years, the SportsLine Projection Model has returned over $4,000 to $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks. It also entered Conference Championship Week on a strong 11-5 run on all top-rated college basketball picks. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now it has analyzed all relevant data and crunched the numbers for Duke vs. FSU. We can tell you it's leaning over, but it also has a strong point-spread pick that hits in almost 60 percent of simulations. That pick is available only at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account that Williamson is a difference-maker that few teams can emulate. After missing most of six games (knee), Williamson returned for the 2019 ACC Tournament. He had 29 points on 13-of-13 shooting in a 12-point win over Syracuse Thursday, then had 31 points and 11 boards in Friday's 74-73 victory over rival North Carolina.

Williamson (21.9 ppg), paired with fellow freshman phenom RJ Barrett (23.3 ppg), make up arguably the most-dynamic force in college hoops. When both of them are on the floor, Duke is 24-2. It's a given Duke will be ready for this game. The Devils are 11-2 since 1999 in the ACC Tournament championship game, with the victories by an average of 16.4 ppg.

But just because the Blue Devils are loaded with talent doesn't mean they'll cover the Duke vs. Florida State spread in the ACC title game on Saturday night.

The model also knows Florida State has won 13 of 14 games, highlighted by Friday night's 69-59 victory against top-seeded Virginia. Senior David Nichols had a team-high 14 points, the fourth Seminole to lead the team in scoring the past four games. FSU has a unique level of balance, with eight players averaging at least 6.3 points.

Few teams have been able to hang with Duke this season, but FSU has been one of them. The Devils edged the Seminoles 80-78 on Jan. 12 on a Cam Reddish 3-pointer with 0.8 seconds left. FSU held Williamson to a season-low 11 points and has covered four in a row against Duke.

Who wins Florida State vs. Duke? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the FSU vs. Duke spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed college hoops, and find out.

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