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USATSI

The UTSA Roadrunners will stay in state for their bowl game, but they will play in Dallas instead of Frisco, and they'll take on the 19th-ranked Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns in the 2020 First Responder Bowl on Saturday. UTSA (7-4) agreed to face SMU in the Frisco Bowl, but that game was canceled. Instead, it heads to Gerald J. Ford Stadium on SMU's campus to face Louisiana (9-1), which was named co-Sun Belt champion after the conference title game was scrubbed. Both teams lean on the running game, with the Roadrunners boasting the nation's second-leading rusher in Sincere McCormick. 

Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Ragin' Cajuns as 14-point favorites in the latest Louisiana vs. UTSA odds, and the over-under for total points scored down to 54 after opening at 60. Before making any UTSA vs. Louisiana picks, check out the college football predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of over $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It enters bowl season a sizzling 55-35 on all top-rated picks, returning over $500. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Louisiana vs. UTSA in the First Responder Bowl 2020. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the college football odds and trends for UTSA vs. Louisiana:

  • Louisiana vs. UTSA: Ragin' Cajuns -14
  • Louisiana vs. UTSA over-under: 54
  • Louisiana vs. UTSA: Ragin' Cajuns -650, Roadrunners +450
  • LOU: RB Elijah Mitchell has rushed for at least 90 yards in four of the last five games
  • UTSA: RB Sincere McCormick is averaging 155.2 rushing yards per game over the past five

Why Louisiana can cover

Louisiana is 6-1 against the spread in its last seven non-conference games, and the Ragin' Cajuns score nearly 34 points per game behind a powerful ground game. They average 208.2 rushing yards per game, with Elijah Mitchell and Trey Ragas combining for 1,411 yards and 16 touchdowns. The team is tied for 12th in the nation at 5.4 yards per rush behind Mitchell (6.2), Ragas (5.6), running back Chris Smith (5.6) and quarterback Levi Lewis (6.5).

The Ragin' Cajuns are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after totaling less than 275 yards in the previous game. They were held to 227 in a 24-21 win against Appalachian State, but they average 422.6 per game. Lewis has thrown for 2,128 yards and 17 TDs, and three receivers have topped 300 yards. Jalen Williams averages 18.2 yards per catch, and he and Kyren Lacy have three TDs apiece. The defense allows 21.8 points per game and has 21 takeaways.

Why UTSA can cover

UTSA is 5-1 against the spread in its last six against a team with a winning record, and McCormick was in top form in the regular-season finale. He rushed for a school-record 251 yards and two scores in a 49-17 rout of North Texas as the Roadrunners amassed 624 yards. He has 1,345 yards and 10 TDs this season for an offense that averages 215 rushing yards per game and 5.3 yards per carry. Quarterback Frank Harris has run for 437 and eight touchdowns.

The Roadrunners are 4-0 ATS in their last four games on fieldturf, and receivers Zakhari Franklin and Joshua Cephus can make plays when needed. They have combined for 99 catches, and both have topped 500 yards to help Harris throw for 1,422 yards and 10 scores. The defense is tied for 17th in the nation with 18 takeaways, and Rashad Wisdom (four interceptions) and linebacker Jamal Ligon (four sacks, two fumble recoveries) lead the way.       

How to make UTSA vs. Louisiana picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, suggesting the teams will combine for more than 60 points. It also says one side of the spread is hitting in well over 60 percent of the simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Louisiana vs. UTSA? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the UTSA vs. Louisiana spread to back, all from the advanced model on a 55-35 run on its top-rated college football picks this season.