N0. 17 Utah spoiled No. 10 Oregon's national championship dreams in a regular-season matchup in November, and now the two sides are set to meet again in the 2021 Pac-12 Championship Game on Friday. The Utes claimed a 38-7 win in their first meeting with the Ducks. Oregon, however, has a 23-11 all-time record against Utah and the Ducks have won nine of the last 14 head-to-head matchups between the programs.
Kickoff at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas is slated for 8 p.m. ET. The latest Utah vs. Oregon odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Utes as three-point favorites. The over-under for total points is set at 57.5. Before making any Oregon vs. Utah picks or Pac-12 Championship Game 2021 predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,700 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Championship Week 2021 on a 42-28 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Oregon vs. Utah and locked in its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting trends for Utah vs. Oregon:
- Oregon vs. Utah spread: Utah -3
- Oregon vs. Utah over-under: 57.5 points
- Oregon vs. Utah money line: Utes -145, Ducks +125
- ORE: The total has gone over in seven of the Ducks' previous nine games against the Utes
- UTAH: The Utes are 5-0 straight in their last five games
Why Oregon can cover
Oregon's just 5-6 ATS but has the tools to cover against most teams. The Ducks' rushing attack flopped against Utah earlier this season but has dominated most other opponents. Anthony Brown and Travis Dye have combined for 1,678 rushing yards and 23 rushing scores this season. Oregon's 34 team rushing touchdowns can only be topped by three programs. Moving the chains on the ground could help the underdogs produce the offense required to cover, but their defense could also get a boost.
After leaving the field with a first-half injury, star cornerback Verone McKinley III missed the second half of this year's first Oregon-Utah matchup. He's back in the mix, though, and will likely help slow down the Utes. McKinley is Oregon's second-leading tackler and has hauled in a team-high five interceptions. The star cornerback is back on the field and could limit a Utah offense that averages only 200 passing yards per game.
Why Utah can cover
Utah has been respectable against the spread during its five-game winning streak. The Utes have covered in three of their last five contests to improve to 5-7 ATS overall. Their consistent ground attack has powered them to success. Star running back Tavion Thomas has dominated Oregon once and could do so again on Friday.
Thomas finished his last run-in with the Ducks with 94 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 21 carries. While Oregon snapped his streak of two games with more than 100 rushing yards, he's averaged 143 yards per game over in his previous four outings. If the sophomore running back continues the chains efficiently, the Utes have a chance to cover again.
How to make Utah vs. Oregon picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 50 combined points. It also has generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get the model's Pac-12 Championship Game picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Oregon vs. Utah? And which side of the spread hits over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Utah vs. Oregon spread to back, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.