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The Bowling Green Falcons visit the Miami (OH) RedHawks in the final game of Tuesday's MACtion schedule. Bowling Green fell to 3-7 after a 49-17 loss to Toledo last week. The Falcons are just 1-5 in MAC play, and Bowling Green faces a tough test against a Miami team that is 4-2 against MAC competition. The RedHawks have won three of the last four games, including a 45-18 victory over Buffalo last week.

Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET. The latest Bowling Green vs. Miami odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the RedHawks at -17, while the over-under for total points is set at 51.5. Before locking in any Miami vs. Bowling Green picks or MACtion predictions, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 12 of the 2021 season on a 36-23 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Miami vs. Bowling Green and locked in its MACtion picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are the odds and college football betting lines for Bowling Green vs. Miami:

  • Bowling Green vs. Miami spread: Miami -17
  • Bowling Green vs. Miami over-under: 51.5 points
  • Bowling Green vs. Miami money line: Miami -800, BG +550
  • BG: The Falcons are 7-3 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • MIA: The Redhawks are 4-6 against the spread in the last 10 games
Featured Game | Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Bowling Green Falcons

Why Bowling Green can cover

Bowling Green's stronger unit is its defense, but the Falcons do have weapons on offense as well. Quarterback Matt McDonald ranks in the top four of the MAC with 2,192 passing yards, and the Falcons have balance at the skill positions. Bowling Green has three rushers with more than 200 yards this season, and the Falcons have three pass-catchers with at least 360 receiving yards. Bowling Green also has the most accurate place-kicker in the MAC in Nate Needham, who is 15 of15 on field goal attempts in 2021. 

Defensively, Bowling Green is yielding fewer than 400 total yards per game, and the Falcons rank No. 2 in the MAC in passing yards allowed per game (190.4) and passing yards allowed per attempt (7.2). Finally, junior linebacker Darren Anders is one of the more dynamic defenders in the conference, leading the MAC with 102 tackles this season.

Why Miami can cover

Miami's defense is strong on its own, but this is also a tremendous matchup for the RedHawks. Bowling Green currently ranks last in the MAC in averaging 319.9 total yards per game, and the Falcons are also last in rushing offense, averaging fewer than 100 yards per contest. Bowling Green is averaging only 22.9 points per game, the second-lowest mark in the conference, and the Falcons have only 11 touchdown passes compared to nine interceptions. 

Miami's defense ranks No. 3 in the MAC with 26 sacks, and Bowling Green has been sacked 30 times in 2021. The RedHawks rank in the top three of the MAC in scoring defense (23.1 points allowed per game), total defense (357.3 total yards allowed per game) and rushing defense (135.5 yards allowed per game) and there is every reason to project an effective effort from Miami's stop unit.

How to make Bowling Green vs. Miami picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, projecting 50 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Miami vs. Bowling Green? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.