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Patrick Cantlay returns to defend his title at the 2022 BMW Championship as he looks to become the first golfer since Nick Price (1993-94) to go back-to-back in this tournament. It's the second event of the 2022 FedEx Cup Playoffs, and only 30 of the 70 golfers in the field will advance to the Tour Championship next week. Will Zalatoris, Rory McIlroy, Scottie Scheffler, Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas are among the experienced players looking to dethrone Cantlay and win the BMW Championship 2022, which awards 2,000 FedEx Cup points to the winner.

Play gets underway from Wilmington Country Club on Thursday, August 18, with the first tee times set for 9:10 a.m. ET. McIlroy enters this week's event as the 10-1 favorite, according to the 2022 BMW Championship odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Cantlay (12-1), Jon Rahm (12-1), Scheffler (14-1), Zalatoris (14-1) and Thomas (14-1) are next in line on the PGA odds board. Before locking in your 2022 BMW Championship picks, be sure to see the PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven golf model.

SportsLine's proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up over $9,600 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

McClure's model included J.T. Poston in its best bets to win the 2022 John Deere Classic. That bet hit at +5500, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned almost $1,100. At the 2022 Masters, McClure's model was all over Scottie Scheffler's first career major championship victory heading into the weekend.

In addition, McClure's best bets included Collin Morikawa winning outright at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he was listed as a massive 40-1 long shot. The model was also all over Jon Rahm's (10-1) first career major championship victory at the 2021 U.S. Open. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the weekend, but the model still projected him as the winner.

This same model has also nailed a whopping eight majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.

Now that the 2022 BMW Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the tournament 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

Top 2022 BMW Championship predictions 

One major surprise the model is calling for at the 2022 BMW Championship: Cantlay, the defending champion and one of the top favorites, stumbles and finishes outside the top-five. Cantlay has been one of the hottest players on tour in recent weeks, finishing T-8 or better in three of his last four starts. He's recorded a total of 10 top-10 finishes this season, which includes a victory at the Zurich Classic, the PGA Tour's only team event. 

However, Cantlay struggled mightily last week at the FedEx St. Jude Championship, finishing T-57 after shooting over par in his final two rounds. In addition, Cantlay currently ranks 96th in driving accuracy percentage (61.16%) and 185th in putting from 10-15 feet, which could cause major trouble this week. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the BMW Championship 2022 field.

Another surprise: Xander Schauffele, an 18-1 longshot, makes a strong run at the title. He has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

It's hard to find many holes in Schauffele's golf game right now. In fact, Schauffele enters this week's event ranked inside the top-10 in birdie average (4.41), scoring average (69.514) and putting average (1.721). His ability to consistently drain putts has allowed Schauffele to rack up 282 birdies this season.

Schauffele also ranks 12th in greens in regulation percentage (69.79) and strokes gained: tee-to-green (1.280), which has helped him secure three wins and five top-10 finishes this season. Those impressive stats, plus his long odds, make Schauffele a strong play for your 2022 BMW Championship bets. See who else to pick here

How to make 2022 BMW Championship picks

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 16-1 or longer who will make surprising runs. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big. You can only see the model's picks here.

So who will win the BMW Championship 2022? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the 2022 BMW Championship odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 BMW Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed eight golf majors, including this year's Masters.

2022 BMW Championship odds, field

See full BMW Championship 2022 picks, best bets, and predictions here.

Rory McIlroy +1000
Jon Rahm +1200
Patrick Cantlay +1200
Will Zalatoris +1400
Scottie Scheffler +1400
Justin Thomas +1400
Matt Fitzpatrick +1600
Tony Finau +1600
Collin Morikawa +1800
Xander Schauffele +1800
Sam Burns +2000
Viktor Hovland +2500
Sungjae Im +2500
Joohyung Kim +2800
Cameron Young +3000
Shane Lowry +3500
Joaquin Niemann +3500
Jordan Spieth +3500
Max Homa +4500
Hideki Matsuyama +4500
Adam Scott +5000
Corey Conners +5000
Tyrrell Hatton +5000
Aaron Wise +5500
Billy Horschel +5500
Russell Henley +6000
Cam Davis +6000
Davis Riley +6500
Keith Mitchell +6500
Brian Harman +6600
J.T. Poston +8000
Sahith Theegala +8000
Taylor Pendrith +9000
Seamus Power +9000
Maverick McNealy +9000
Si Woo Kim +9000
Denny McCarthy +10000
Mito Pereira +10000
Keegan Bradley +10000
Harold Varner III +10000
Alex Noren +10000
Brendan Steele +12500
Kevin Kisner +12500
Sepp Straka +12500
Troy Merritt +12500
Trey Mullinax +12500
Taylor Moore +12500
K.H. Lee +12500
Scott Stallings +12500
Emiliano Grillo +12500
Chris Kirk +12500
Wyndham Clark +15000
Sebastian Munoz +15000
Tom Hoge +15000
Andrew Putnam +15000
Chez Reavie +15000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout +15000
Marc Leishman +15000
Lucas Glover +15000
Adam Hadwin +15000
Alex Smalley +17500
Lucas Herbert +17500
Matt Kuchar +20000
J.J. Spaun +20000
Kurt Kitayama +20000
Cameron Tringale +20000
Luke List +20000
Mackenzie Hughes +27500