Congratulations to @sarsdell, now HOF projection/Tracker unskewing champ three years running. Impressive work. https://t.co/NiTT7gZbA8
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 27, 2021
Baseball Hall of Fame voting results: 2021 has empty class as Curt Schilling, Barry Bonds fall short
The BBWAA has not voted in any new players for the first time since 2013
On Tuesday, the Baseball Writers Association of America revealed the 2021 Hall of Fame voting results. No players appeared on at least 75 percent of this year's ballots, meaning no one will earn induction through the traditional avenue. The 2021 class is empty. Entering the day, three individuals had received votes on more than 70 percent of the publicly available ballots: Curt Schilling, Roger Clemens, and Barry Bonds. None of them hit the 75-percent voting threshold needed for induction, however.
This is the ninth time the BBWAA did not vote a player into the Hall of Fame. It also happened in 1945, 1950, 1958, 1960, 1965, 1971, 1996, and 2013. Although no players were voted into Cooperstown in 2013, eight players on that year's ballot were eventually voted in by the BBWAA.
Schilling ended up with the highest vote total (71.1 percent) on this year's ballot and was just 16 votes shy of induction.
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This was the penultimate year on the ballot for Bonds, Clemens, and Schilling. All three are set to appear on the ballot for the 10th and final time next year. However, shortly after the results were announced Tuesday night, Schilling wrote on Facebook that he wants to be removed from the 2022 ballot. If Schilling, Bonds and Clemens are not voted in next year, their Hall of Fame fates will be passed on to the Eras Committees, which meet every few years to consider players not voted in my the BBWAA.
Here are the full results from this year's ballot for players who earned at least five percent of the vote:
2021 Hall of Fame voting results
Player | Votes | Percentage |
---|---|---|
Curt Schilling | 285 | 71.1% |
Barry Bonds | 248 | 61.8% |
Roger Clemens | 247 | 61.6% |
Scott Rolen | 212 | 52.9% |
Omar Vizquel | 197 | 49.1% |
Billy Wagner | 186 | 46.4% |
Todd Helton | 180 | 44.9% |
Gary Sheffield | 163 | 40.6% |
Andruw Jones | 136 | 33% |
Jeff Kent | 130 | 32.4% |
Manny Ramirez | 113 | 28.2% |
Sammy Sosa | 68 | 17.0% |
Andy Pettite | 55 | 13.7% |
Mark Buehrle | 44 | 11.0% |
Torii Hunter | 38 | 9.5% |
Bobby Abreu | 35 | 8.7% |
Tim Hudson | 21 | 5.2% |
And here are four things to know about the voting results.
1. Bonds, Clemens, Schilling head into last chance
Entering the day, three candidates had received votes on more than 70 percent of the publicly revealed ballots: Barry Bonds, Roger Clemens, and Curt Schilling. Voters who keep their ballots private tend to be more conservative, and so it's a good rule of thumb to assume the public percentage will often, if not always overstate the final results. Indeed, that's what happened with Bonds, Clemens, and Schilling.
Bonds, who received votes on 73.5 percent of the public ballots, finished at 61.8 percent overall. That's a small increase over the 60.8 percent he recorded last year.
Clemens, present on 72.8 percent of public ballots, checked in at 61.6 percent overall. That is, again, just a slight boost over his 61 percent figure from 2020.
As for Schilling, he was running at 73.8 percent publicly. Private ballots reduced that figure to 71.1 percent, another marginal year-to-year increase over his 70.0 percent.
2. Rolen, Helton among gainers; Vizquel falls
As our Matt Snyder covered elsewhere, the biggest gainers this year were Scott Rolen, Todd Helton, Gary Sheffield, Billy Wagner, and Andruw Jones.
Rolen went from 35.3 percent to 52.9 percent; Helton from 29.2 percent to 44.9 percent; Sheffield from 30.5 percent to 40.6 percent; and Wagner from 31.7 percent to 46.4 percent.
Omar Vizquel, conversely, fell from 52.6 percent to 49.1 percent. Presumably the since-publicized domestic abuse allegations against him played a role.
3. Hunter avoids falling off; others not so lucky
One of the unfortunate parts of the balloting process is that individuals who fail to earn at least five percent of the vote are removed from consideration.
Torii Hunter, Bobby Abreu, and Tim Hudson were in the danger zone, in between five and 10 percent, but were able to move on to another year of balloting.
The same cannot be written for Aramis Ramirez, LaTroy Hawkins, Barry Zito, A.J. Burnett, Michael Cuddyer, Dan Haren, Nick Swisher, and Shane Victorino. Though all had good careers, none will make it into Cooperstown.
4. Yes, there's still a ceremony in July
Despite the shutout, the Hall of Fame will still hold a ceremony on July 25 to honor the 2020 class that had its induction postponed by the COVID-19 pandemic. That means Derek Jeter, Larry Walker, Ted Simmons, and Marvin Miller will be honored in five months.
Live updates
My take-home from tonight's results. I'll have my candidate-by-candidate breakdown later tomorrow. https://t.co/DIVen8m257
— Jay Jaffe (@jay_jaffe) January 27, 2021
I'm still on vacation but I always have time for first-time voters. Congratulations on your ballot, John! https://t.co/6YV6bsK6mu
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 27, 2021
This HOF podcast with me and @JPosnanski is free to all, even if you’re not a subscriber https://t.co/LaxCiSBf5I
— Jayson Stark (@jaysonst) January 27, 2021
Statement from Jane Forbes Clark, chairman of the board for National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum: pic.twitter.com/Xsii1WCYpw
— Gabe Lacques (@GabeLacques) January 27, 2021
Before I step away from screens for somewhere between 20 minutes and 24 hours: 401 ballots were cast. We had estimated 396. The list of voters is here: https://t.co/D0MrmVcnb9
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
Thank you to the great many of them who once again graciously tolerated my nonsense and nagging.
/deletes annual Chris Russo tweet
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
Buehrle, Hudson and Hunter all stay on the ballot
14 blank ballots, per BBWAA: https://t.co/utlIFrP08A
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
Tim Hudson: 5.2%
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
we'll have all kinds of reaction here and also a look toward next year's vote. Stay tuned.
No candidates elected in 2021 Hall of Fame voting. https://t.co/UIrFl3JaOX
— BBWAA (@officialBBWAA) January 26, 2021
full percentages here: https://bbwaa.com/21-hof/
Schilling 71.1 percent. 16 votes shy
yep, empty class
Schilling, Bonds, and Clemens will see a tenth and final ballot.
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
In the 2021 BBWAA Hall of Fame voting, no candidate received votes on at least 75 percent of all ballots cast. https://t.co/PCvTfClVMO pic.twitter.com/rp1KVskX80
— National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum ⚾ (@baseballhall) January 26, 2021
again, expect no one to make it. The percentages are what we care about moving forward
here comes the announcement
With ballot #206. And now we're done. pic.twitter.com/PKd1Ph8yCT
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
Scratch that. He's ballot #206. A blank ballot, our 7th this cycle. https://t.co/Fpwoh0NhDG
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
That'll do it for the pre-results announcement portion of our tracking. Thank you for following along these past two months!
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
Snyder is the Dave Wasserman of this. If he say he's seen enough, then that's the ballgame.
https://twitter.com/theaceofsp...
Curt Schilling is currently on his livestream — doesn’t bode well for his chance at being inducted into the Hall of Fame here shortly... that coupled with the fact that he just said “we’re out, we’re not going to make it.”
— Ryan M. Spaeder (@theaceofspaeder) January 26, 2021
With ballot 205 added... pic.twitter.com/UOebpBcglu
— Ryan Thibodaux (@NotMrTibbs) January 26, 2021
Ballot #205 is from Joe Henderson. Sheffield (+21) gains a vote and Ramírez (net +6) loses one
— Adam Dore (@ShutTheDore) January 26, 2021
In the Tracker: https://t.co/YrdwECAo4x pic.twitter.com/ohPqPNfGLw
Because I can't help myself, here are my 2021 #HOF projections using my simpler but less accurate 2019 methodology. A shutout no matter which way you slice it. https://t.co/2uevLWC4eE pic.twitter.com/5ILnoeHKW0
— Nathaniel Rakich (@baseballot) January 26, 2021
I think it's a foregone conclusion no one is making 75%, so here are my players to watch regarding their progress: Rolen, Helton, Jones top three. Lesser extent: Wagner, Sheffield and Abreu. And, yes, watch Vizquel and how much it goes down from last year's 52.6 percent
The moment is here. Join Brian Kenny on @MLBNetwork with Hall of Fame President Tim Mead live from the Plaque Gallery as they reveal the results of the 2021 BBWAA Hall of Fame vote. (Milo Stewart Jr./National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum) pic.twitter.com/BOJVAnw9Ka
— National Baseball Hall of Fame and Museum ⚾ (@baseballhall) January 26, 2021
they are in a very similar ballpark for me