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A trip to the NBA Finals is on the line when the Miami Heat host the Boston Celtics in Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals on Sunday evening. Both teams are coming off a grueling Game 6 battle in which the Heat came out on top 111-103. With their seasons on the line, we can expect high energy and intensity in this matchup.

Tip-off from FTX Arena is at 8:30 p.m. ET. Boston is favored by three-points in the latest Celtics vs. Heat odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 197. Before locking in any Heat vs. Celtics picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the conference finals of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 87-59 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns. 

Now, the model has set its sights on Celtics vs. Heat and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model's NBA picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Heat vs. Celtics: 

  • Heat vs. Celtics spread: Boston -3
  • Heat vs. Celtics over-under: 197 points 
  • Heat vs. Celtics money line: Miami +130, Boston -150
  • Heat vs. Celtics tickets: See tickets at StubHub 
  • MIA: The Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games
  • BOS: The Celtics are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite
Featured Game | Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics

Why the Heat can cover

Miami's playoff experience paid off on Friday night, as Boston was once again unable to book its trip to the NBA Finals. The Heat will have that same advantage on Sunday, as Jimmy Butler and Kyle Lowry lead the team with valuable experience deep in the postseason.

The Heat have lost twice at home in this series, but they have still won 10 of their last 12 home games overall. They could be boosted by the return of shooting guard Tyler Herro, who remains questionable due to a groin injury. Regardless, Butler has proven himself to be the best player on either roster and he is set up for success in front of his fans. The six-time All-Star is averaging 21.8 points, 6.0 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game at FTX Arena this season. 

Why the Celtics can cover

Guard Marcus Smart is a defensive specialist for Boston. The 2022 Defensive Player of the Year does a great job at being physical and doesn't back down from any matchup. Additionally, Smart is a pass-first playmaker with a nice jumper from the perimeter. He is putting up 14.9 points, 4.2 rebounds, 6.3 assists, and 1.1 steals per game during the 2022 NBA playoffs. 

Guard Jaylen Brown is an athletic scoring threat in the backcourt. Brown has the verticality to jump over any defender in the paint and slam it down with strength. He constantly attacks the basket and owns a nice-looking jumper. The 2021 All-Star is second on the team in scoring (22.9) along with 6.8 rebounds and 3.4 assists per game during the postseason. In Game 6, Brown tallied 20 points, six rebounds, five assists, and three steals. 

How to make Heat vs. Celtics picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the point total, projecting the teams to combine for 206 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model's NBA playoff picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Celtics vs. Heat? And which side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.